Well he's business survivor, he has ups and down so does much of businessman. However what matters is, the way that his politics style has reflection on how his businesses style. So understanding his business style seems will give insight how's he approach on doing his POTUS style.
His personal business survival is often accompanied by the failure of the businesses he runs, so other shareholders find themselves holding worthless paper, workers are laid off, & suppliers don't get paid, while he walks off with a lot of money.
Voting for him on the grounds of his business acumen seems to me to be about as wise as investing in a minority stake in one of his businesses, or selling to one of his businesses on credit.
His personal business survival is often accompanied by the failure of the businesses he runs, so other shareholders find themselves holding worthless paper, workers are laid off, & suppliers don't get paid, while he walks off with a lot of money.
Voting for him on the grounds of his business acumen seems to me to be about as wise as investing in a minority stake in one of his businesses, or selling to one of his businesses on credit.
Yup, about as wise as paying tuition fees at failed Trump University....mind you, what kind of moron would hire a Trump U graduate if Trump U hadn't gone down the drain? Whoops, forgot about the MAGA feeble-tons.
Meme of the day:
Link to related article (Ukrinform)
IMO, this is a nice trick to tell Trump that if he wants his rare earths, Ukraine, with the help of the US, should first liberate territories occupied by Russia.
It could backfire if Putin offers Trump to mine rare earths directly in Russia. But I don't think that he will do so, or that Trump will be able to accept a proposal from Putin.
This is nonsense. Israel is both a buyer of EU made weapons & equipment & a supplier to EU countries.
For example, Italy operates Israeli AEW systems, fitted to US business jets in Israel, & is buying more. Israel has Italian jet trainers & ground-based systems which work with them. The Israeli navy has German submarines & corvettes, with Italian guns. Germany is buying Israeli radars, e.g. for warships, & MRLS & ATGMs. In 2019-23 30% of Israel's military equipment imports were from Germany. Denmark is buying Israeli 155mm SP guns & MRLs, & Israeli firms are competing to supply air defence systems. A few years ago Lithuania was complaining about Israel - because weapons Lithuania had ordered from Israel weren't being delivered on time. It was settled after a while, & Lithuania's now buying more. Estonia has Israeli ATGMs, anti-ship missiles & UAVs. Latvia has ATGMs (20 EU countries have bought Spike). Sweden - UAVs.
EU -> Israel
Multiple key nations imposing arms embargos or obstacles for trade.
2019-2023 were peak years because of the delivery of Sa'ar 6 ships and submarines. Germany was uniquely positioned to supply such vessels as one of only few builders in those categories, and besides Germany is the only country in Europe that's actually an ally to Israel and has the capacity to be useful.
Other friendly nations lack the defense industry.
Defense imports from the rest of Europe are minimal because they're not dependable. They're cut off immediately when there's war, chief among them the UK which sees it as a national sport.
Israel -> EU
Israel's MIC is focused on local maintenance capability and low rate production of critical items. It's able to produce its own ammo for example, but at least not at all sufficient to support an ongoing war effort.
Due to Israel's frequent wars, its MIC would essentially be restocking in between, and would be of little use to Europe in terms of total work done.
What it can contribute is reference designs to facilitate local production in Europe. That much is assured no matter how hostile these nations become.
That is not what makes one a strategic arms supplier. Far from it.
This brings me back to my point that the US is irreplaceable for Europe, no matter how hard they try. It could be replaceable, had Europe not abandoned security these past 30 years.
EU -> Israel
Multiple key nations imposing arms embargos or obstacles for trade.
2019-2023 were peak years because of the delivery of Sa'ar 6 ships and submarines. Germany was uniquely positioned to supply such vessels as one of only few builders in those categories, and besides Germany is the only country in Europe that's actually an ally to Israel and has the capacity to be useful.
Other friendly nations lack the defense industry.
Defense imports from the rest of Europe are minimal because they're not dependable. They're cut off immediately when there's war, chief among them the UK which sees it as a national sport.
Israel -> EU
Israel's MIC is focused on local maintenance capability and low rate production of critical items. It's able to produce its own ammo for example, but at least not at all sufficient to support an ongoing war effort.
Due to Israel's frequent wars, its MIC would essentially be restocking in between, and would be of little use to Europe in terms of total work done.
What it can contribute is reference designs to facilitate local production in Europe. That much is assured no matter how hostile these nations become.
That is not what makes one a strategic arms supplier. Far from it.
This brings me back to my point that the US is irreplaceable for Europe, no matter how hard they try. It could be replaceable, had Europe not abandoned security these past 30 years.
Lots agree with but the US (albeit to a lesser degree) screwed up as well cutting back key programs like the F-22 and Sea Wolf SSNs, both of which would be more useful now in larger numbers. The manufacturing MIC has shrunk somewhat as well; but worse still, just like other NATO members, ammo inventory was allowed to shrink. Yes, like Russia, they can ramp up, but compared to China, a decade or more is needed. The Asia-Pacific $hitstorm is probably happening sooner.
The U.S is ramping up its production of 155mm shells according to this article also that older shells do age out over time ,the U.S will refurbish its stockpile quickly a question would be would it sell to Ukraine ? did the expense of the upgrade to capacity to manufacture come out of funds that were assigned to Ukraine
Eleven charts illustrate the extraordinary level of support the United States has provided Ukraine in recent years—though there has been no significant U.S. aid legislation since 2024, and combined European aid tops U.S. contributions.
Well he's business survivor, he has ups and down so does much of businessman. However what matters is, the way that his politics style has reflection on how his businesses style. So understanding his business style seems will give insight how's he approach on doing his POTUS style.
In his business only he and his family matter, his employees, investors and customers suffer, If he treats the US like this, and given the Trump merch he has sold them to date is anything to go by, he intends to treat the US in the same way.
I never understood, why EU even supported the Kurds that heavily to begin with. The YPG were an alliance of covenience, against Isis. Turkey both as a member of NATO and a check on Russia in the caucus region is too valuable for EU to lose over a small ethnic militia group.
Look at the company who voted against condemning Russia. I mean we all kind of expected Trump to be a bit biased to Putin, but this level of kowtowing is insane. His supporters are convinced that this is 4D chess and will ensure Chinese-Russian seperation. But man does that seem wild.
I never understood, why EU even supported the Kurds that heavily to begin with. The YPG were an alliance of covenience, against Isis. Turkey both as a member of NATO and a check on Russia in the caucus region is too valuable for EU to lose over a small ethnic militia group.
Look at the company who voted against condemning Russia. I mean we all kind of expected Trump to be a bit biased to Putin, but this level of kowtowing is insane. His supporters are convinced that this is 4D chess and will ensure Chinese-Russian seperation. But man does that seem wild.
Even the Abstention list. There is Argentina, Milei prior to election win was heavily pro Ukr and very antti Russia. But the man will take his cues from Trump.
On the voting for list- I am surprised to see Nepal vote for it. The two nations that have the most influence on them voted to abstain.
North of Sverdlikovo Russian forces have broken into Lebedevka and in the east they've recaptured now most of Cherkasskaya Konopel'ka. South of Sverdlikovo Russia has reached the border and there are reports Russian forces have entered Sumy region, aiming for the villages of Noven'koe and Basovka. If accurate, this is a serious threat to the MSR into Sudzha. Though the Loknya river does separate this incursion from the road, it's not a major river.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1095: Situation on Kursk front: At Sudzhansky district Russian Army recaptured most of the locality of Cherkasskaya Konopel'ka. In addition, Russian forces entered in the locality of Lebedevka from Sverdlikovo. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1093: Situation on Kursk front: Russian Army secured the border with Ukraine south of Nikolaevo-Dar'ino. In addition, Russian forces developed the operations in Sumy oblast reaching the outskirts of Basivka (so far troops didn't manage to consolidate the positions...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on Kursk front: At Sudzhansky district during the last three days Russian Army recaptured new positions between Fanaseevka & Cherkasskaya Konopel'ka. In addition, Russian forces expanded the buffer zone around Sverdlikovo & crossed the border into Sumy...
Бои за Лебедевку: Бойцы ВС РФ уничтожили австралийский бронетранспортёр "Бушмастер" В районе н.п. Лебедевка Курской области оператор разведывательного БпЛА ГВ "Север" обнаружил бронетранспортёр "Бушмастер" с пехотой врага. После попадания по цели дроном-камикадзе Северян, украинские фашисты...
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Russian drone strike on a Ukrainian dugout, reportedly Kursk area.
Разведывательным БпЛА в лесопосадке Курской области был обнаружен блиндаж с двумя ВСУшниками. Операторы FPV морской пехоты ГВ "Север" приняли решение нанести по цели удар дроном-камикадзе на оптоволокне. В виду отсутствия нормальной подготовки в ВСУ, ни единая пуля, выпущенная из автомата...
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Russian bomb strike landing near Sudzha, and the bomb apparently detonated when it hit the tree branches.
Красивый момент прилета ФАБ с УМПК по посадке в окрестностях Суджи. Видео: @DKulko Было ли там что-то в момент удара сказать сложно, но вышло крайне эффектно - бомба сдетонировала в воздухе. Военный Осведомитель
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FAB-3000 strike landing near Kurilovka, west of Sudzha.
Удар ФАБ-3000 с УМПК по урочищу Потапенково недалеко от подконтрольного ВСУ села Куриловка на западе от Суджи, Курская область. Видео: @epoddubny Военный Осведомитель
Уничтожен украинский ББМ “Козак” под Суджей. Понимая, что выезжать на трассу это самоубийство, укропы пытались пробиться в город полями через п.Меловой, но и здесь их настигли дроноводы 810-й бригады ВС РФ.
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Mystery guided missile (Bulsae-4?) striking a BMP-2 near Sudzha.
Еще одно видео применения неизвестного управляемого боеприпаса, на этот раз для поражения украинской БМП-2 под Суджей. Видео: @rustroyka1945 Военный Осведомитель
Корявенький макет 155-мм САУ M109 украинской армии, попавший в объектив российского FPV-дрона, Курская область. Военный Осведомитель
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Another Ukrainian CV90 taken out in Kursk region. This is probably the most capable IFV on the Ukrainian battlefield but even it is vulnerable to the trio of drones, artillery, and land mines.
В Курской области подбита очередная шведская БМП CV9040. Осведомитель
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A series of Russian FPV drone strikes in Kursk region, hitting a Bushmaster MRAP, a VAB, a Bradley (1st link), an MRAP, a Stryker, and unknown targets (2nd-3rd links), a BMP and a M777 or decoy (4th link).
Очередные удары российских FPV-дронов по украинской бронетехнике в Курской области. Под удар попали МРАП Bushmaster PMV, бронетранспортер VAB и БМП M2 Bradley. Осведомитель
‼️☠️Бои на Курском фронте: 34-я бригада уничтожает НАТОвскую бронетехнику у Погребков и Марьевки ▪️Бойцы горной 34-й отдельной гвардейской мотострелковой бригады уничтожают боевую технику ВСУ с десантом, пытавшуюся атаковать в районе Погребков. ▪️Техника врага ликвидируется точными ударами...
Разведка 30-го полка залетает в Суджу, громит американские М777 и танки! ▪️Новые кадры уничтожения американской артиллерии и бронетехники разведкой 30-го "подмосковного" полка в самом городе Суджа в Курской области. ▪️ Бойцы 30-го мсп 44-го корпуса уничтожили уже множество единиц боевой техники...
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We have our first look at Pbv 302s getting hit near Noven'koe village, Sumy region, near the Kursk region border. It burns down and the close-up shows off a cage armor but likely too close to the main hull to be effective.
Старые шведские бронетранспортеры Pbv 302 на седьмом десятке жизни получили свою первую войну - видео уничтожения такой машины российским FPV-дроном у селения Новенькое на границе Сумской и Курской областей (с) @russian_airborne
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A series of Russian drone strikes in Sumy regions, they hit something netting, unclear, a van, an armored car of unknown type on the move, another armored car parked, a truck parked in the trees, some other unidentified vehicle under netting, a pickup on the move, and some vehicle also on the move. These strikes on vehicles entering a major combat area are reminiscent of the road of death into Artemovsk/Bakhmut when Wagner forces had the road under fire.
Красивое уничтожение пусковой установки ЗРК "Бук-М1" украинской армии прилетом "Искандера" в лесу между селами Великий Бобрик и Малый Бобрик, Сумская область. Военный Осведомитель
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Russian Iskander hits Ukrainian vehicles, on the north-eastern outskirts of Sumy city.
Удар "Искандера" по автомобильной технике ВСУ, сконцентрированной на территории закрытого детского лагеря "Ровесник" в квартале Барановка города Сумы. Координаты: 50.951823, 34.853400 Проблема с данным ударом аналогична предыдущему - для поражения рассредоточенных скоплений техники одной...
t.me
Russian Tornado-S hits Ukrainian vehicles, in the village of Boromlya south of Sudzha.
Удар "Искандера" с воздушным подрывом по крупной стоянке украинской техники в районе села Боромля Сумской области. Среди припаркованных в лесу машин были зафиксированы 300-мм РСЗО "Ольха" (или Смерч). Для поражения столь крупных разрозненных скоплений техники хотелось бы видеть применение...
t.me
Another knocked out Stryker in Kursk region. It has an interesting looking turret. It might be the same one we see in the links above getting hit.
Трофейный российский бронеавтомобиль «Козак-2», который к сожалению был подбит в Курской области. Был захвачен у ВСУ морпехами 155 бригады в ходе боев в ДНР в 2024 году. Осведомитель
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Russian soldiers examine smashed Ukrainian vehicles. There's a MT-LB, a BMP-1, and a Kozak armored car. Note the clean MT-LB with the robust drone cage in the first link is Russian. In the second link you can see the Ukrainian MT-LB covered by snow and without such a cage.
Разбитая колонна всушников (ББМ Козак, БМП-1 и МТ-ЛБ) в Курской области. Пытались контратаковать, но сгорели. @motopatriot78
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Some footage of Russia's VVS 1st Motor-Rifle Rgt formed presumably out of airfield security formations. This unit first went into combat around Korenevo when Ukraine went into Kursk region. Apparently they're still active.
Бойцы 1-го полка ВКС работают на передовой в Курской области. Да, у ВКС есть не только самолёты, но и пехота, которая давно героически сражаются на передовой. Из-за отсутствия упоминаний их подразделения в сводках, как и из-за отсутствия госнаград, называют себя "ихтамнеты". Очень надеюсь...
t.me
Ukrainian CV90 and M1 Abrams near the border of Kursk region.
Боевая работа расчёта 122-мм гаубицы Д-30 сводной артиллерийской группы «Пресса» спецназа «Ахмат» в Курской области. Военный Осведомитель
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Russian Tornado-G in the Kursk area from the 52nd Artillery Bde. Pre-war Russia produced 1 btln per year, but we've had no news of deliveries during the war. On the other hand before the war all 122mm rocket artillery was in tank and motor-rifle units. Artillery brigades had BM-27s. I've never heard of this unit before so it's possible this is a new unit. There is a practice of forming new units from scratch and handing them new equipment from fresh deliveries.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1096: Situation north of Kahrkov: Inside the city of Vovchansk small changes were made at the frontline due to the positional battles between Ukrainian Army & Russian Army during the last week. Map: [...
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Kupaynsk area.
Russian forces have taken all or almost all of Topoli on the Russian border. It's still a good distance to the other crossing, but this bridgehead can be supplied from the Russian side of the border and can be expanded westwards along the line of Ukrainian defenses on the border, instead of into the teeth. It can also go southward to meet up with Russian forces heading north out of Figolevka. East of Kupyansk Russian forces have restarted advances, biting off a couple of tree lines.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1096: Situation on northeastern front: two days ago Russian Army took full control over the locality of Topoli. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=50.00158994436464%2C37.87006670542032&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on northeastern front: - At Dvorichna axis Russian Army recaptured most of the border locality of Topoli. - At Kupiansk axis Russian forces continue advancing northwest of Orlyanske. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation on northeastern front: Russian Army made small advances south of Lozova. On the other hand, Ukrainian Army made new advances north of Zahryzove, which is practically recaptured. Map: [...
⚔Армия России ворвалась в Тополи и заняла большую часть посёлка в Харьковской области ▪️В приграничье на Купянско-Харьковском направлении российские войска продвинулись на северном плацдарме на западном берегу реки Оскол, выбили ВСУ и заняли застройку в центральной части населённого пункта...
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Russian drones stalk the streets of Kovsharovka, south of the Kupyansk-Uzlovoy town. A local civilian waves at the drone as it passes by. This isn't the first time we've seen Russian drones offer good enough resolution to easily bypass civilians and strike only military targets.
Операторы дронов из центра «Рубикон» в ходе выполнения боевого задания в н. п. Ковшаровка Харьковской области сперва поражают бронеавтомобиль HMMWV, следующий дрон в ходе работ по поиску новой добычи сперва запечатлел приветственный взмах рукой от местного жителя, а после выявил украинского...
Применение дронов-камикадзе Darts самолетного типа расчётами 3-й отдельной штурмовой бригады (экс-«Азов») ВСУ в районе посёлка Боровая в Изюмском районе Харьковской области. Военный Осведомитель
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Across from Terny Russian forces have expanded northward and captured Novolyubovka. In the south they've taken all of Yampolovka.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1094: Situation on Luhansk front: Russian Army recaptured completely the locality of Novolyubivka. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.139832732173346%2C38.01357924390979&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on Luhansk front: During the last five days Russian Army crossed Zherebets River southwest of Nevs'ke & advanced north of Ivanivka, thus entering in the locality of Novolyubivka, which is now contested. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation north of Donetsk: Russian Army retook full control over the locality of Yampolivka & continue surrounding the forest area east of it. Map: [...
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Russian Grad operations on the Krasniy Liman axis. Note the anti-drone picket. This Grad doesn't have armored plates on the cabin, just a drone cage of dubious value.
Расчёт разведывательных БПЛА «Мерлин-ВР» помогает корректировать огонь 130-мм артиллерийских орудий М-46 25-й общевойсковой армии на Краснолиманском направлении. БПЛА «Мерлин-ВР» оснащён камерой с 90-кратным увеличением и может находиться в воздухе до 10 часов. Кадры: @zvezdanews Военный...
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Seversk salient.
It appears Russia has finally taken all of Belogorovka, all of the refuse mound, and the area between the two.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1095: Situation on Siversk front: During this week Russian Army obtained an important success in this front, taking the fortified zone in the north of the chalk-quarry and the forest in the southwest of Bilohorivka. As a result, the locality is practically under...
⚔️Армия России взяла неприступную крепость ВСУ - Белогоровку! ▪️Северское направление: ВСУ выбиты из стратегически важного узла обороны - с Белой Горы (изрытого норами и огневыми точками Мелового карьера) и самого поселка на границе ЛНР и ДНР. ▪️"Русские закончили зачистку Белогоровки и...
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Chasov Yar.
South of Chasov Yar Russian forces have retaken the entire mine complex area and are advancing on Stupochki. North of Chasov Yar Russian forces have taken all of Grigorievka.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1096: Situation on Chasov Yar front: During the last week Russian Army took control over several positions south of the town & northeast of Stupochky village. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on Chasov Yar front: Russian Army took full control over the locality of Hryhorivka after months of positional battles with Ukrainian Army. Map: [...
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Russia's 98th VDV evacuates a wounded vehicle driver near Chasov Yar. The vehicle looks like it might be a BMP-3 or BMD-4M.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation on Toretsk front: During the last three days Ukrainian Army counterattacked & recaptured a series of positions at the central part of Scherbynivka. Map: [...
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This is allegedly December footage of a Russian soldier interacting with civilians in Dzerzhisnk/Toretsk. However I have some doubts. The buildings look very intact, and there are only a few areas of apartments like that in Toretsk, all of which saw heavy fighting. If this is indeend the general area of Toretsk, I suspect this is Artemovo/Zheleznoe, the town south-east of Toretsk, between it and Gorlovka. That are was taken faster and it's far likelier that some intact areas survived.
Декабрьские кадры от «Ястребов» из Дзержинска - бойцы встречают местных жителей, оставшихся в городе. Подписаться @ZParaBellumMD
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Pokrovsk area.
South-west of Pokrovsk Russian forces have taken the village of Zaporozhye, all of Nadeevka, and have taken a number of fields. In Kotlin Russian forces have retaken all the positions in the village and the mine offices, but haven't retaken the farm buildings north of it or the mine ventilation shaft. On the eastern flank Ukrainian forces have retaken the intersection for the third time.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1094: Situation on Pokrovsk front: At the beginning of the week Russian Army began reentering in Lysivka & recaptured part of the lost positions at the beginning of February. In addition, Russian forces completely captured the locality of Nadiivka. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1093: Situation on Pokrovsk front: Russian Army made new advances north of the locality of Zaporizhia & captured several positions south of Yasenove & west of Slov'yanka. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on Pokrovsk front: Russian Army captured most of the locality of Zaporizhzhia & recaptured all the positions five days ago east of Kotlyne. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation on Pokrovsk front: Russian Army recaptured Pokrovskoye Mine Nº2 Management complex & parts of the locality of Kotlyne which were lost four days ago. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation on Grodovskaya front: Ukrainian Army recaptured the level crossing of H-32 east of Malynivka. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.32116633065606%2C37.52063563937905&z=13 ]
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Ukrainian Bradley counter-attacking near Nadeevka. It and the dismounts get hit.
Враг бросил американские Bradley с десантом в контратаку на Надеждинку ▪️Противник пытается перехватить инициативу. ВСУ предприняли контратаки на Надеждинку, высадив десант у крайних домов на западной окраине села. ▪️Благодаря мощному огневому воздействию наши бойцы вынудили врага почти сразу...
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Russian forces hit a Kirpi MRAP near Udachnoe. The vehicle looks stuck.
Российский FPV-дрон уничтожил роботизированную платформу снабжения ВСУ в районе н.п. Бельгийка
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Russian VT-40 drone strikes near Zverevo, one hits allegedly a mine-clearing vehicle (hard to tell, something on a tracked chassis and engineering related), another an armored car or MRAP of some sort that's unloading troops.
Покровское направление. В районе н.п. Зверево операторами FPV-дронов "ВТ-40" поражены БМР на базе Leopard 2 и ББМ с л/с ВСУ. Продолжаем бить врага. Работает группа Вани Иванова.
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A series of Russian drone strikes in the village of Zaporozhye.
‼️«️тважные» добивают ВСУ, штурмуя Запорожье ▪️Уральские разведчики 90 дивизии группировки войск «Центр» продолжают зачистку последней окраины н.п. Запорожье, расположенного за н.п. Серебряное, вблизи границы ДНР и Днепропетровской области. t.me/RVvoenkor
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Novonikolaevka, Dnepropetrovsk region, Ukraine attempts to set up defenses but a Russian drone strikes the truck.
ВСУ продолжают строительство новой линии обороны под н.п. Новониколаевка, в непосредственной близости к Днепропетровской области. Оператор FPV-дрона "КВН" нанёс поражение грузовику Daewoo Novus с краном-манипулятором. Работает группа Вани Иванова. @sudoplatov_official
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Russian Buk-M2 radar, uparmored with what looks like rusty sheet metal, near Pokrovskoe. The armoring looks surprisingly neatly made, not typical of improvised up-armoring, but it's unpainted and firmly rusted, so factory made kits are unlikely.
Дополнительное бронирование на радиолокационной станции 9С36 подсвета целей и наведения ракет ЗРК 9К317 «Бук-М2» группировки войск «Центр» на Покровском (Красноармейском) направлении. Военный Осведомитель
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Kurakhovo area.
Ulakli has fallen completely to advancing Russian forces. Konstantinopol' is also contested. All of Andreevka is under Russian control and west of Andreevka Russian forces continue to advance
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1096: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: - West of Kurakhove: Following the capture of Andriivka Russian Army began advancing towards the locality of Oleksiivka - North & West of Velyka Novosilka: Russian forces made significant advances south & southeast of...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1094: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: - West of Kurakhove: Russian Army took full control over Ulakly & a series of positions along Vovcha & Sukhi Yaly rivers. - North & West of Velyka Novosilka: Russian forces made new advances south of Burlatske. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: - West of Kurakhove: Russian Army entered in the southern part of Kostyantynopil & is now carrying out combing operations in Andriivka and Ulakly after having expelled Ukrainian Army from both settlements - North & West of...
Russian pushes in this area are continuing. West of the village Russian forces are pushing north, approaching Burlatskoe. Across the river Russian forces have grabbed the village of Novoocheretovatoe. They're also advancing on the east shore of the river northward.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1096: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: - West of Kurakhove: Following the capture of Andriivka Russian Army began advancing towards the locality of Oleksiivka - North & West of Velyka Novosilka: Russian forces made significant advances south & southeast of...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1095: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: Russian Army continue advancing south of Burlatske & captured a series of positions north of Novyi Komar along Mokri Yaly River. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1093: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: Russian Army took full control over Novoocheretuvate. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.862240721692615%2C36.78770138606002&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1094: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: - West of Kurakhove: Russian Army took full control over Ulakly & a series of positions along Vovcha & Sukhi Yaly rivers. - North & West of Velyka Novosilka: Russian forces made new advances south of Burlatske. Map: [...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: Russian Army made new advances south of Burlatske. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.86955139737408%2C36.76974430683947&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1091: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: - West of Kurakhove: Russian Army entered in the southern part of Kostyantynopil & is now carrying out combing operations in Andriivka and Ulakly after having expelled Ukrainian Army from both settlements - North & West of...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1090: Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: Russian Army continue advancing northwest of Vremivka & crossed Mokri Yaly River southwest of Novyi Komar, reaching the edges of Komarskaya hromada. Map: [...
Штурмовики 5-й гвардейской танковой бригады освободили важный поселок Новоочеретоватое в районе Великой Новоселки. Его освобождение позволит нарастить наступательные действия в направлении трассы Запорожье-Донецк.В поселке появились флаг России, знамя Победы с серпом и молотом и флаг...
‼️5-я бригада подняла флаги над Новоочеретоватым! ▪️Российский флаг и Знамя Победы развернуты в освобожденном н.п. Новоочеретоватое воинами-дальневосточниками 5 гвардейской танковой бригады группировки "Восток". t.me/RVvoenkor
Штурмовики 5-й гвардейской танковой бригады освободили важный поселок Новоочеретоватое в районе Великой Новоселки. Его освобождение позволит нарастить наступательные действия в направлении трассы Запорожье-Донецк.В поселке появились флаг России, знамя Победы с серпом и молотом и флаг...
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Russian mechanized assault on Novoselka, from the 57th Motor-Rifles. Note this is the same unit we saw using an up-armored GAZ-66 to deliver an infantry team. Now they appear to have armored vehicles and an MBT. They drop off the infantry and pull out.
⚔️Кадры прорыва 57-й бригады в тыл ВСУ в Новосёлке ▪️Механизированная колонна с десантом 57 бригады совершила успешный штурм обороны врага в Новоселке, расположенной западнее Времевки за Великой Новосёлкой. ▪️Впереди шли танки и вся техника была с РЭБ, защитив колонну от ударных дронов ВСУ...
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Russian D-30SN strike destroys a bridge between Komar and Fedorovka north of Velikaya Novoselka.
Удар по путепроводу между Комаром и Фёдоровкой – разрушена ключевая логистическая артерия 18 февраля 2025 года, около 11:00, нанесён высокоточный удар управляемыми авиационными бомбами Д-30СН по мосту на автодороге между с. Комар и с. Фёдоровка. В результате удара переправа полностью разрушена...
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1092: Situation on Zaporizhia front: For the first time since 2023 Russian Army started an assault to the locality of Piatijatky & managed to reach the first houses from the southeast. (Some corrections were made north of Zhereb'yanky as some positions are under...
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Allegedly Russian strikes on Ukrainian infantry and a tank near Pyatihatka. The tank explodes and then burns.
⚔️Наступление на Запорожском фронте: боевики ВСУ бегут из Пятихаток, которые штурмуют наши войска ▪️Как мы сообщали, российские войска перешли в наступление на Запорожском фронте, ворвавшись в Пятихатки. ▪️ Наши штурмовые подразделения продвигаются при поддержке ударных дронов, уничтожающих...
⚔️Наступление на Запорожском фронте: разведка уничтожает бронетехнику врага, поддерживая штурм Пятихаток ▪️Как мы сообщали, российские войска перешли в наступление на Запорожском фронте, ворвавшись в Пятихатки. ▪️ Наши штурмовые подразделения продвигаются при поддержке ударных дронов...
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Dnepr front.
Russia hit the shipyards in Kherson with gliding bombs, allegedly Ukrainian drone operators were staged there. Note the shipyards themselves are non-functioning and most of the city remains empty.
Прошедшей ночью по целям на территории Украины было запущено рекордное количество дронов-камикадзе «Герань-2» и их обманок – сразу 267 штук, сообщает противник. Военный Осведомитель
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A large attack wave, some reports have it at over 50 UAVs hit Kiev. It appears almost none got intercepted.
Пикирование БПЛА-камикадзе «Герань-2» на цель в Киеве. Любопытно, что впервые за долгое время дрон-камикадзе смог поразить цель в столице Украины - ранее беспилотники не могли преодолеть противовоздушную оборону города. Возможно, дело в переводе в пехоту военнослужащих мобильных групп ПВО...
‼️Киев в дыму: огромный пожар после удара дронов, атака продолжается ▪️"Обломки" российского БПЛА упали в Киеве. Имеется возгорание на территории промышленного предприятия. Также горят машины", — заявил мэр Виталий Кличко. ▪️Над столицей до сих пор летают ударные дроны. ▪️В сторону Киевщины...
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At least some downed UAVs hit residential buildings.
Бровары. "Титаны ППО" подбили одну из "Гераней" в результате чего та попала в верхние этажи многоэтажки.
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Unrelated and earlier then the striker above, Russian Shaheds hit rail infrastructure near Belaya Tserkov, Kiev area. I'm not sold they're aiming for those train tracks, it might be a miss or a downed Shahed.
Момент прилёта «Герани» 20 февраля в н.п Белая Церковь, Киевская область. Судя по локации предполается, что целью были ж/д пути, которые можно заметить с 4 по 8 сек. на втором видео. 49.7848979, 30.1429942 - место сьемки. @divannyevoini
Последствие прилета БПЛА-камикадзе «Герань-2» по железнодорожным путям где-то в Киевской области. Российские дроны стали достигать целей вокруг украинской столицы как из-за перевода экипажей мобильных групп ПВО в пехоту, так и из-за установки на «Герани» серии КЦ новых 12-канальных CRP-антенн...
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Russia hit a Ukrainian gas works near Mirnoe, Kharkov region. This is the second such strike after the recent one in Poltava, and it seems that Russia is targeting these as part of some new approach. Some sources claim that as a combination of these strikes Ukraine has lost 40% of their natural gas production, though presumably this is temporary.
Об украинских нефтебазах В ночь на 21 февраля "Герани" посетили нефтебазу в н.п. Карловка Полтавской области. Судя по спутниковым снимкам нефтебазы больше нет. @The_Wrong_Side
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Russian strike on alleged Ukrainian munition storage in the Fedorovskoe area of Dnepropetrovsk region. Reportedly the target was initially hit by a Kh-59 or 69, and then finished off by drones.
Удар по складу БПЛА и боеприпасов в районе Фёдоровского: поражена техника и инфраструктура противника 20 февраля 2025 года российская авиация нанесла высокоточный удар по складу хранения беспилотных летательных аппаратов (БПЛА) и боеприпасов ВСУ в районе населённого пункта Фёдоровское...
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Russia hit a restaurant in Krivoy Rog with an Iskander. A gas station across the street also blew up but it's unlikely to be the target.
По информации от местных жителей: В Кривом Роге ракеты прилетели в ресторан "Природа" и в отель возле. Также повреждена АЗС через дорогу. Координаты 47.981849833762695, 33.426087820997424 @The_Wrong_Side
Момент одного из сегодняшних прилетов в Кривом Роге.
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Russia hit Odessa region. Targets include power grid substations and the Il'chevskiy fishery port. Reportedly there were 15 explosions across the region. Note footage is from two waves of strikes.
Одесса: разрушение подстанции ПС “ГРЭС” – нарушение энергоснабжения военной инфраструктуры и логистики ВСУ 19 февраля 2025 года, около 21:15, нанесены удары по подстанции ПС “ГРЭС”, расположенной в Одессе (координаты: 46.5156234, 30.7258094). В результате поражения ключевых силовых модулей...
‼️Впечатляющие кадры боя над Одессой: массированная атака «Гераней». ▪️Взрывы и прилёты в городе продолжаются уже час. ▪️ В результате обстрела возникли пожары на трансформаторе и складских зданиях, также повреждены административное здание, автомойка, проезжая часть, погибших нет. t.me/RVvoenkor
Прошедшей ночью украинские дроны-камикадзе атаковали Сызранский НПЗ в Самарской области, атаку подтвердил губернатор региона Вячеслав Федорищев. В результате прилетов на НПЗ вспыхнул пожар, однако крупных повреждений и пострадавших, по словам губернатора, удалось избежать. Одновременно с этим...
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Ukrainian inbounds over Belgorod, Russian air defenses are firing.
Обломки сбитого некоторое время назад украинского БПЛА в районе проспекта Победы в Севастополе. Осведомитель
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A Russian Kamaz with an AK-306 ship-based SHORAD mounted on it, presumably for drone defense. Not the worst idea, assuming they have some sort of decent fire control.
C-RAM у нас дома: в Крыму была замечена корабельная АК-306, установленная в кузов КамАЗа. Непонятно как это изделие должно наводиться и попадать, но теперь вы видели еще больше. Военный Осведомитель
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Interesting bits.
Another Russian Buk-M3 decoy gets hit. The fact that they hit 3 should have been a giveaway. There are tiny quantities of Buk-M3s in the entire Russian armed forces. The last we saw was in Zaporozhye, in the last update, this one has no location, but the flurry of footage suggests at least some quantity was delivered recently and deployed.
Тем временем украинские ресурсы продолжают рапортовать об успешной борьбе с ЗРК ВС РФ, но всё бы ничего, но, по крайней мере, и в данную подборку вошли удары украинских FPV-дронов по трём макетам ЗРК «Бук-М3». Осведомитель
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Ukraine hit what appears to be a Koksan DPRK SP howitzer. If correct, this is the first time one got hit, but it was always a matter of time.
Предположительно, первое зафиксированное поражение противником 170-мм САУ М1989 Koksan производства КНДР в зоне СВО. Украинский дрон сбросил боеприпас на верхнюю часть САУ, однако серьезных последствий от попадания не было зафиксировано. Вероятно, самоходка лишь получила повреждения и может...
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A knocked out Russian T-80BVM with the new turret-based expanded drone cage. It also has smoke launchers set up over the cage (the circles on the back). This new cage design showed up in 2024.
Зенитно-ракетный комплекс С-350 «Витязь» в зоне проведения СВО. Осведомитель
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A new Russian interceptor drone has been spotted, it's unclear if it's a factory model or something improvised, though the paintjob suggests the former.
A Russian BTR-82A with an improvised mine trawl of questionable effectiveness. There's still no factory-made solution for BMPs, BTRs, or the various MRAPs Russia fields.
Могучий тюнинг БТР-82А из РФ, Уберите от экранов детей и смотрите ))) Спереди самодельный трал сомнительной эффективности, ТМ от него не сработает, может какие-то штыревые и противопехотные мины сработают. Трал для колесных машин в СССР и РФ так и не разработали. А то ,что разработали находится...
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Another Russian Sarmat-3, this one with a drone cage. These armored cars are one of the few new vehicles Russia has started accepting for service during this war and it appears some quantity continue to be getting delivered as rare but regular sightings persist.
Бортовой тягач КамАЗ-6350 с защищенной кабиной К - 5350 от компании АО «Ремдизель» в зоне проведения СВО.
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Russian BMP-2 tank sheds, with smoke launchers mounted on the exterior. Note the extra-armor kit on the actual vehicle. It's ironic that pre-war many commentators criticized the Kurganets-25 for being too tall, and now this is the norm.
Российская БМП-2 с огромной десантной будкой поверх крыши корпуса и системой РЭБ. Из-за неудобства и тесноты штатного десантного отделения штурмовики вынуждены городить будки с широкими дверьми для удобства и простоты своей высадки, как и в случае с МТ-ЛБ. Военный Осведомитель
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A Russian soldier poses with a Turkish Hatsan BTS12 shotgun, unclear if that's his weapon or a trophy.
A quick look at recent Russian recruitment efforts, advertising 2.3 mln to 4 mln rouble bonuses. It also advertises debt forgiveness of up to 10 mln roubles, a pardon for crimes, and free land alottments. I wonder if it's possible to rack up 10 mln rouble in debts just to have them written off this way.
Румынские 122-мм РСЗО APR-40 на вооружении 117-й ОТМБр ВСУ. Военный Осведомитель
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Ukraine's 44th Mech with Leo-1A5s. We've seen a lot of Leo-1s in recent training footage from a variety of units but they remain relatively rare on the front line. It suggests Ukraine is holding some forces back.
В продовження теми - Leopard 1A5DK і навчання танкових екіпажів 44-ї ОМБр⚔️ з 105-мм танковими ОФ-снарядами M1010 [фото 4]. Танки по класиці дообладнані ДЗ «Контакт-1», «Ніж» і складаними сітками. cred
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Another look at the Archers of Ukraine's 43rd Arty Bde. The unit also operates PzH-2000, 2S7s, and Giatsint cannons.
Еще одно видео распаковки и применения ВСУ американских 155-мм корректируемых снарядов M712 Copperhead, наводимых на цель по лучу лазера. Огонь ведется из 155-мм САУ M109A6 Paladin. Военный Осведомитель
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Ukraine will reportedly get another aid package from Sweden, 107 mln euros, in the form of MANPADS and AAA.
Шведское издание Svenska Dagbladet сообщает, что Швеция выделит 107 миллионов евро (1,2 миллиарда крон) на системы ПВО для Украины. На эти средства планируется закупка ПЗРК RBS 70 (Robotsystem 70), уже давно поставляемых ВСУ, и Tridon Mk2, представляющих собой 40-мм зенитное орудие Bofors 40...
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There are reports that Belgium will delay their F-16 deliveries to Ukraine by a year.
To note here, the American resolution had passed in the UNSC, with the UK, France, and Denmark, in particular, abstaining. Something something louder than words? I’d say so.
I never understood, why EU even supported the Kurds that heavily to begin with. The YPG were an alliance of covenience, against Isis. Turkey both as a member of NATO and a check on Russia in the caucus region is too valuable for EU to lose over a small ethnic militia group.
ISIS was never an issue in itself. There were and still are plenty of terrorist orgs like it and some even more extremist - Hamas, Al Qaeda, Hezbollah.
It was always a casus belli.
Russia came in to allegedly defeat ISIS, but stayed past its destruction and allied itself with other terrorist organizations like Hezbollah in the process.
The US came in to allegedly defeat ISIS but practically also overstayed, guarding its Kurdish allies, resources, and an important junction between Iraq-Syria-Jordan (Al Tanf base).
Turkey may be in NATO but NATO does not limit its members freedom to pursue independent policies, even against allies in and out of NATO.
Turkey won't leave NATO on its own even if pushed. Its rule is fragile, it lacks a nuclear deterrent, conventionally it is in many ways also a paper tiger per regional custom, and it has surrounded itself with enemies for very little strategic gain in return.
Another reason the US has to step in and keep Turkey off Syria is to prevent a power competition between Turkey and Israel. With Erdogan promising to succeed Iran as the regional center for export of terrorism, it'll need, similarly to Iran, spend huge resources it doesn't have, to try and compete. This will, however, leave Turkey vulnerable from every other direction, and will put its territorial and political integrity at severe risk.
Even the Abstention list. There is Argentina, Milei prior to election win was heavily pro Ukr and very antti Russia. But the man will take his cues from Trump.
Milei is hawkish, it makes sense.
"This resolution is about condemning Russia" - is an overly simplistic view. Here we are supposed to analyze things a bit deeper.
"This resolution is part of a Euro-US tug of war regarding Ukraine policy" - is a more accurate view. There's more to it, but this at least should be the basis.
So while Russia indeed voted against it, the US's vote against has less to do with its sentiment toward Russia, and more to do with the way it wants to move forward regarding European security.
Look at the company who voted against condemning Russia. I mean we all kind of expected Trump to be a bit biased to Putin, but this level of kowtowing is insane. His supporters are convinced that this is 4D chess and will ensure Chinese-Russian seperation. But man does that seem wild.
A handful of African nations - Russia gained influence in some African areas recently, makes a lot of sense. Some are also more aligned with the US and want to get some cookie points.
Micro nations and Americas - always vote together with the US. Also makes a lot of sense. It's automatic. If you don't believe me, just look at their usual voting pattern.
Pro-Russia European nations - Belarus, Hungary. Does it really surprise you?
Israel - Only one that surprised some people, not me. Like micro nations it also votes automatically with the US in exchange for US almost always voting in its favor. Also Ukraine has a long record of voting against Israel, so this may also be political retaliation.
I cannot find a single voter against that doesn't make at least some sense.
It's a common narrative that Trumpy runs foreign policy the same way he runs businesses, and that he's some clumsy buffoon that doesn't realize what he's doing. Once again an overly simplistic view that, like a broken clock it'll get you the right conclusion from time to time, but it won't be consistent.
Barring some decisions that IMO are net harmful, like opposition to the TikTok ban, it seems Trumpy's policies can be simply derived from a hawkish worldview on enemies, and egalitarian worldview on allies.
If we look at the grand picture, Ukraine is just part of a larger issue called "European security". And European security won't be guaranteed until Europe takes its security seriously.
But to that there are also prerequisites. Europe once did have armies and navies and air forces and such. Why all of a sudden were they nearly entirely disbanded?
Because naturally you need an enemy to prepare for (or perish at his hands). Russia invaded in 2008, then again in 2014, then again in 2022. Why throughout this period did Europe not prepare? Because they already had an army - The US Army. And an air force - The US Air Force. And a navy - The US Navy. Why would they make any defense investments if in a hypothetical Russian invasion they'll only lose Poland, Ukraine, the small baltics, and nordic countries? Small sacrifices anyway. And if Russia moves even further west it'll just meet an American armed force.
So to me it seems the best solution isn't to show Europe an enemy, but to show that their shield has expired, and now they need to pay for one of their own.
I honestly don't know what Trumpy is doing exactly right now. I can only guess. But I'm observing from the side and I'm seeing European countries starting to talk about finally ramping up defense production and forming armed forces, and that's amazing!
I don't judge people by their words. I judge by their actions. And the actions I see are yielding a positive effect. If European politicians that cowardly slashed defense budgets to a pathetic ~2% (or sub-2%) feel like they need to lash out at Trumpy to justify things, so be it. As long as they can actually fight.
Votes are cheap. Especially when you can immediately apologize for voting that way afterwards. Let's see them actually provide Ukraine with sufficient materiel to win the war (as opposed to losing slowly). That would show some unity.
A Ukrainian government source has said there is a plan for the accord to be signed by both sides "very soon".
news.sky.com
Also FT. Ukrainian officials say Kyiv is now ready to sign the agreement on jointly developing its mineral resources, including oil and gas, after the US dropped demands for a right to $500bn in potential revenue from exploiting the resources.
Right on cue.
For a country seemingly upset about US disengagement and "siding with Putin", they sure seem glad to sign a deal with major strategic importance (with ramifications for generations to come), even when the hate wagon generated an allegedly more "fair" Ukraine-EU deal proposal.
Truth is, there is not going to be any disengagement. Trumpy just gave his voter base the "casus belli", a deal that shifts Ukraine from "freeloaders" to strategic partners.
With or without American re-engagement in Europe, aid to Ukraine will likely soon shift to a higher gear.
Oh and the draft I read yesterday, if it hadn't changed drastically, contained a section lifting Ukraine's investment commitment to the joint fund from 50% to 66% for resources extracted from currently designated "Russian occupied Ukrainian territories".
Ukraine already has an inherent interest in returning its territories. What it does is it increases the US's interest in those territories, specifically under Ukrainian control.
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