Pakistan Navy (PN) News, Updates & Discussions

Aliph Ahmed

Banned Member
Of course.
But the situation is now, that the Pakistani government would like to buy this submarines from a German company.
The German Company would like to sell the subs too. But, they need an O.K. of the German Government.
In Principle no problem (I completly understand the arguments of all of you).
It is good for economy it creates jobs and it may help in Afghanistan, no question.

The problem is: There will be no public support. Even worse, there will be a lot of resistance against it (and was already in the parliament) and if they don’t hurry up it will be in a critical time.

That’s everything I want to say.

It would be a favour, because they would have to break the national and European moral codex.
You are not getting the main point:

Germany needs this sale to go through as much as Pakistan needs the subs for very different reasons.

Dont forget, Germany dont have the option of another potential buyer for the subs with everything to go. Whereas, Pakistan has the option of another supplier with everything ready to go. :)

You mean to say that France do not follow the European Moral codex ?because that is one country that has been selling naval equipment to Pakistan for decades.

It is the government of Germany's job to enlighten the people of advantages such as economical benefits, (This deal will keep couple of thousand Germans on job for couple of years I believe ?) and etc.

Both countries have their own very different reasons. No one is doing any favor to any one.
 
Scientist said:
It would be a favour, because they would have to break the national and European moral codex.
If that was the case why did the German and French defence ministers travel on to Pakistan to persue this deal? I guess this so called European moral codex doesn't matter to them.


The deal was controversial (and still is).
For sure Israel is a democracy and the other states in the near east are not (or fake democracies with some strong militaries or secret services in the background).
And Germany is traditionally Israels most important partner besides the US.
So what is the problem.
Lets see you talk about Germany not exporting weapons to hot spots. They have.
You talk about Germany not exporting weapons to countries who haved commited/accused of human rights violations. They have.

Your agruements just doesn't hold water.


Because in my opinion in this constellation public opinion on Pakistan and its politics (and the presidents PR is not the best) will play an important role for the decision of this or the next German Government if they give their OK for this weapon deal or not (and I guess not, but of course I might be wrong).
It is not a military, strategic, economic decision, it’s a political decision
Well if its political decision, then i guess the Govt. was behind this deal since the defence minister went lobbing for it.
 
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Scientist

New Member
Dont forget, Germany dont have the option of another potential buyer for the subs with everything to go. Whereas, Pakistan has the option of another supplier with everything ready to go.
There is always a difference between a company’s interest and a countries interest. In France, the differences are often smaller than in Germany.
Jobs play a role, an important role, but they are not the only argument.
It is the government of Germany's job to enlighten the people of advantages such as economical benefits, (This deal will keep couple of thousand Germans on job for couple of years I believe ?) and etc.
That was exactly my argumentation. To change the public opinion they need the help of the media, but the media are opposing the deal.
The opposition in the parliament is although against this deal (in some cases this might change if they are in power). With the green party, there is a strong force with pacifistic background in the parliament that acts quite rational in the government, but will oppose a deal with Pakistan (and is doing it) in every case. And there might bet he situation that they will be needed to form a government and the Pakistan deal will be sacrified as price for it.

You mean to say that France do not follow the European Moral codex ?because that is one country that has been selling naval equipment to Pakistan for decades.
I would say they are a bit more flexible about rules and laws than German, Dutch or Scandinavian People in general (for example traffic rules) but of course if it is about their national interest.
In Germany there are always two lost World Wars and a Holocaust in mind. People care about what happens with German weapons. Politicians do not do in every case but the media remind them.
The influence of German history on Pakistani defence politics. That’s Globalisation.

Lets see you talk about Germany not exporting weapons to hot spots. They have.
You talk about Germany not exporting weapons to countries who haved commited/accused of human rights violations. They have.

Your agruements just doesn't hold water.
I never said that. And your argument doesn’t hold water, because you will not be able to quote it. In my first posting, few days ago I already said:
The deal would be against the 10 year old moral codex which allows weapon exports only in stabile nations which respect human rights. They sometimes break it (if nobody has a close look on it) but I would not bet on it in this situation.
It was not about that they always followed that rule in the past. But my opinion is that in this case there is a big chance that they will not break the moral code.

Well if its political decision, then i guess the Govt. was behind this deal since the defence minister went lobbing for it.
It needs some background information about party and state level politics to understand why he is defence minister (and sometimes lack support), but OK.

This support for the deal was in the past. Now the elections are coming nearer and they are running out of time. This government will for sure not be the next government (however it will look like). In some way it is going to become a lame duck.
So we have to think about possible developments in the future.
Think about how some US politicians changed their opinion about Iraq during the presidential election campaign and Germany as a parliamentary democracy has no strong man (or woman like a French or US President) and governments are always coalitions of two or more Parties.



But maybe I am talking bullshit. So: Explain me, why should the German government under this conditions give OK to the deal.
What can be the arguments to explain a break of the moral codex to the parliament, to the media and to the public (to the people who will elect very soon).
 
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Aliph Ahmed

Banned Member
In Germany there are always two lost World Wars and a Holocaust in mind. People care about what happens with German weapons. Politicians do not do in every case but the media remind them.
Such as selling Israel submarines with extended torpedo tube size guranateed to deploy cruise missiles with nuclear warheads. :). Sure. Or were the German public misled by the then government.

It was not about that they always followed that rule in the past. But my opinion is that in this case there is a big chance that they will not break the moral code.
That is okay. Like I said: It is not a big deal. Pakistan will simply buy the subs from France (all the paper work and technical analysis are already readied) and still induct atleast one before final Indian Scorpenes start descending in water. Germany can order more subs for her navy or for some other client or keep the lines closed untill more clients are found.

But maybe I am talking bullshit. So: Explain me, why should the German government under this conditions give OK to the deal.
What can be the arguments to explain a break of the moral codex to the parliament, to the media and to the public (to the people who will elect very soon).
Money talks. :)

and oh yes, The ones sold to Israel, atleast one out of three (if not two) was free with the German taxpayers paying for it. Pakistan is paying for all three from her pocket. There is a difference.
 
But maybe I am talking bullshit. So: Explain me, why should the German government under this conditions give OK to the deal.
What can be the arguments to explain a break of the moral codex to the parliament, to the media and to the public (to the people who will elect very soon).
Well they send the defence minister to lobby for this deal on multiple occasions thats the bottom line. He is part of the govt. and need the ok from the govt. to do that so all this other stuff you are writing about is irrelevant.
 

rabirizvi

Member
both french and german companies are competing for the contract. If one fails to provide the guarentee, the other will win.it may not be as bigger loss to Pakistan than to Germany.
on a side note,like someone said earlier, Pakistan now has options. scientist, you may not know, we do have a new democratically elected government in Pakistan and Musharraf (president) doesnt run it.
 

Sea Toby

New Member
If I were Pakistan, I wouldn't buy from Germany, not with their noses so high. I would buy French submarines. When did foreign military sales have to be approved by the media and/or the public?

I understand the US has had its problems with political grandstanding. Its my opinion doing so has been a mistake. The buying nation tends to remember arms embargoes with the next purchases.
 

divedeep

New Member
If I were Pakistan, I wouldn't buy from Germany, not with their noses so high. I would buy French submarines. When did foreign military sales have to be approved by the media and/or the public?

I understand the US has had its problems with political grandstanding. Its my opinion doing so has been a mistake. The buying nation tends to remember arms embargoes with the next purchases.
The Germans don't have that kind of 'oiled' relationship with the Pakistanis as the French do so that is a major disadvantage for HDW/TKMS. In addition the U214 is competing for the upcoming Indian tender for 6 SSK so any SSK deal with Pakistan is a no-no at this stage. Given current economic conditions I expect the PN to order 2-3 Scorpene customised to PN requirements as they are not expected to invest in the untested new Marlin design due to shortage of funds.
 

IceCold

New Member
The Germans don't have that kind of 'oiled' relationship with the Pakistanis as the French do so that is a major disadvantage for HDW/TKMS. In addition the U214 is competing for the upcoming Indian tender for 6 SSK so any SSK deal with Pakistan is a no-no at this stage. Given current economic conditions I expect the PN to order 2-3 Scorpene customised to PN requirements as they are not expected to invest in the untested new Marlin design due to shortage of funds.
Going the french way is the way to go. Firstly we are already operating french equipment and so are relatively familar with technology and have required infrastructure to support that. Secondly based on previous history French seem to be more reliable arms supplier after China then any other western nation. Third there was some news that if we go the french way, they are willing to upgrade Agusta. Last but certainly not the least, French being very eager to get this contract may incoperate some stuff from their Barracuda class submarine into their Marlin offer.
 

BilalK

New Member
I'm sure it would like to have that many, but where is it going to get the money to induct that many? Especially since it would like to build them under ToT
It could be an overall figure including the 3 Agosta-90B & 2 Agosta-70...hence 7 remain and 3-4 of those would be the ones of the current tender. The remainder could be additional Agosta-90B/Type-214 or a smaller type like Type-210.
 

divedeep

New Member
It could be an overall figure including the 3 Agosta-90B & 2 Agosta-70...hence 7 remain and 3-4 of those would be the ones of the current tender. The remainder could be additional Agosta-90B/Type-214 or a smaller type like Type-210.
You would be seriously deluded to believe the PN could actually afford more than a maximum cap of 6 boats at any one time given rising global fuel costs and the precarious state of the Pakistani economy not to mention the amount that gets skimmed off by the Army to "missile developmental programs" and corruption. TP is spot on with his analysis but you too have valid points in the fact that boats with a smaller (~1000t) displacement such as the SMX-21 and Type 210 Mod could be procured to make up the numbers. IIRC a senior PN flag officer stated no Chinese SSKs would be procured so that leaves the above two options and the Scorpene or U214 although the latter is unlikely according to a few friends in the PN. They state the German side is unreasonably inflating costs for planned partial ToT involving subsystems in addition to the delays surrounding legislative approval in Germany. I've also noticed the Indians are floating a tender of their own and the U214 is sure to be put up given existing IN Type 209s. I think that's the real reason why.
 

kay_man

New Member
You would be seriously deluded to believe the PN could actually afford more than a maximum cap of 6 boats at any one time given rising global fuel costs and the precarious state of the Pakistani economy not to mention the amount that gets skimmed off by the Army to "missile developmental programs" and corruption. TP is spot on with his analysis but you too have valid points in the fact that boats with a smaller (~1000t) displacement such as the SMX-21 and Type 210 Mod could be procured to make up the numbers. IIRC a senior PN flag officer stated no Chinese SSKs would be procured so that leaves the above two options and the Scorpene or U214 although the latter is unlikely according to a few friends in the PN. They state the German side is unreasonably inflating costs for planned partial ToT involving subsystems in addition to the delays surrounding legislative approval in Germany. I've also noticed the Indians are floating a tender of their own and the U214 is sure to be put up given existing IN Type 209s. I think that's the real reason why.
Maybe when they say12 subs they mean the total aquisition over the next decade or so.
I mean they may be considering phasing out the current 5-6 subs they have over the next couple of years.
They will eventually have around 5-7 modern subs which is quite right.
 

kay_man

New Member
Maybe when they say12 subs they mean the total aquisition over the next decade or so.
I mean they may be considering phasing out the current 5-6 subs they have over the next couple of years.
They will eventually have around 5-7 modern subs which is quite right.
Ofcourse i maybe wrong. Maybe they want to expand their underwater capability.
Even Indian Navy has plans to expand their submarine fleet from 13-14 to about 30 subs!!
This programme is meant to counter China's already immense submarine fleet.

Frankly i wont be surprised even if Sri Lanka and Bangladesh plan to have a submarine fleet.......everyones increasing their inventory now-a-days.

However things will be more clearer if some1 lets us know in how many batches / stages is PAK navy planning to acquire these subs and what subs for that matter.
 
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