USAF Plans to sell F22's to "trusted allies" very soon

J.D.

New Member
Hi guys! First up post so bear with me...

Having read most of what has already been discussed here, I can only say that from an Australian point of view, the F/A-22 is an aircraft we need. However, it cannot be our only aircraft. We are trying to replace two types with one, which I think was a pie-in-the-sky proposal at best. The only way that little dream could be fulfilled would be with the Su-27/37/34 or the F/A-22/ F/B-22. Since the F/B-22 looks like a dead duck at the moment, that is unlikely to happen at all. The Sukhoi proposal (they did actually bid) would have been unacceptable for two reasons. The Sukhoi could never have been integrated into the ADF for compatibility reasons and secondly, the US government would never allow us to put Western avoinics into a Sukhoi.

That leaves the JSF. IMHO, the JSF would be a good back-up to the F/A-22, enabling the RAAF to fly the missions it is required to, particularly anti-shipping. However, its reduced stealth capability and marginal performance renders it unsuitable for interception/air superiority missions if we are to maintain a capability edge. Add to that the fact that the JSF will be sold to us as an "export" version with downgraded stealth, RAM and a non-stealthy engine nozzle. In reality, it is only stealthy in the forward hemisphere. The F/A-22 would not allow us any special privileges either but at the very least we would be getting a more capable aircraft, especially in the field of range. If we are going to defend a country the size of the continental United States, we need a very significant range capability. The F/A-22 is the only aircraft which can do it.

A force mix of 48/48 would give us a very credible long-term capability and would even allow a greater level of mission flexibility than what we currently have. In my mind, the acquisition of a fleet comprised solely of JSF's is a significant backwards step and that's before we even get talking about power projection. It offers us few advantages over the Superhornet...and it's a single.

Australia needs the F/A-22 and should buy it if it becomes available. The cost will become much more reasonable should the US decide to sell it to bolster their fleet numbers and justify the enormous development costs to an increasingly hostile Congress. The obsession with increasing the F/A-22's capabilities is further pricing it out of the market and having the added effect of reducing its numbers. The Australian Labor Party has proposed buying it on the basis that it is more cost-competitive than the Government would have us believe. The Federal Government is also trying to sell the JSF as a "mini Raptor" which it clearly is not. My view is that since the Government went into overdrive following Howard's rather precipitous decision to override the selection process and buy the JSF because they knew it would come up short. Look at the way they went about it. They sold it only on the basis that it would be good for Australian business. The problem is that the general public understand nothing but the bottom line. The original budget for this was AU $16b but this now appears to have been reduced to AU $12b. The public likes the idea of the JSF because they know nothing about it. I don't really see this as a policy battle the Labor Party could ever hope to win on that basis rather I see it as a Beazley influence. The stupid part about it is that it has only been discussed in terms of costs and no debate has been entered into on capability.

Cost is only one consideration in the defence equation but when the defence of such a vast and relatively unpopulated country is the question there are some things which should not and cannot be compromised. At that level, the JSF, as a sole type, is a very, very bad buy for us. The argument the the US will never sell the F/A-22 has become more speculative than anything else now because Lockheed applied for - and got - a licence to export the aircraft. See here:

http://www.military.com/NewContent/0,13190,Defensewatch_062204_Raptor,00.html

In the end, the US needs to sell the Raptor just to make up for the horrendeous amount of money which has been poured into its development. We need it because it is the only aircraft which can do what we need it to do.

"ACQUISIONS 1:
HOW TO PICK 'EM

The best acquisitions will look overpriced and you'll be tempted to veto them on that score. Don't - not if everything else looks right.

A bag of snakes will come disguised as an ever-loving blue eyed bargain."

Robert Townsend: "Further Up the Organisation"
 

Big-E

Banned Member
Rich said:
We dont even give them F-16s let alone raptors. I also dont see how we are, "making India stronger to use it against China". I cant think of one major weapons system we have supplied India with. Please qualify your remark. Conversely giving Pakistan, or India, such highly advanced systems might tilt the balance between them and precipitate a war. Which is in no-ones interest.
Really, I don't think we are making India stronger than Pakistan, I think Russia is doing that far more than we are. Leasing nuclear subs, selling an AC with Mig 29s, I think Isreal does more than the US in technology transfers to India to make them stronger than Pakistan.
 
A

Aussie Digger

Guest
Rich said:
We dont even give them F-16s let alone raptors. I also dont see how we are, "making India stronger to use it against China". I cant think of one major weapons system we have supplied India with. Please qualify your remark. Conversely giving Pakistan, or India, such highly advanced systems might tilt the balance between them and precipitate a war. Which is in no-ones interest.
How about those latest generation AN-TPQ/37 Firefinder "counter battery" radar systems? USA is also trying VERY hard to sell Super Hornets/F-16's, P-3C Orions, E-2C Hawkeye 2000 AWACS and Patriot SAM systems to India. Sounds to me like USA IS trying very hard to bolster India's defence capabilities, and earn it's companies some work...
 

Big-E

Banned Member
Aussie Digger said:
How about those latest generation AN-TPQ/37 Firefinder "counter battery" radar systems? USA is also trying VERY hard to sell Super Hornets/F-16's, P-3C Orions, E-2C Hawkeye 2000 AWACS and Patriot SAM systems to India. Sounds to me like USA IS trying very hard to bolster India's defence capabilities, and earn it's companies some work...
We offer everything you listed to Pakistan as well. . . the Patriot deal was all hype. . .

No Patriot missile deal in the offing for India
By Khalid Hasan

WASHINGTON: Indian Defence Minister Pranab Mukherjee has denied press reports that India is on the verge of acquiring Patriot missiles from the US.

Asked by Daily Times during an appearance Mukherjee made at Carnegie Endowment, a local think tank, on Monday to clear up the confusion on the issue, he said the confusion was confined to the pages of newspapers; their being none as far as the Indian and US governments were concerned.
 

old faithful

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
sure ern the U.S some work, and at the same time, take a couple of customers from russia and china. I think the US should sell wpns to both Pak and India,keep a balance, and know intimatly both countrys capabilities. I think if south asian countrys operate western systems then western counties can "pull strings" to a certain extent....logistics etc.
 

meatball88

New Member
The question I got is whether these F-22 sold to "friendlies" will be of the same standard as those the US use. Has the US downgraded hardware that it sells to its allies, even the closest one, e.g. Britain?
 

Big-E

Banned Member
meatball88 said:
The question I got is whether these F-22 sold to "friendlies" will be of the same standard as those the US use. Has the US downgraded hardware that it sells to its allies, even the closest one, e.g. Britain?
If and I mean IF the deal were to go down the version the JASDF got would be a watered down version. I don't think this deal will come to fruition in the expected time frame. The F-22 has too many top-secret technologies to be handed off to even a strategic ally like Japan. I think the best they could get would be the F-35.
 

coolieno99

New Member
Big-E said:
If and I mean IF the deal were to go down the version the JASDF got would be a watered down version. I don't think this deal will come to fruition in the expected time frame. The F-22 has too many top-secret technologies to be handed off to even a strategic ally like Japan. I think the best they could get would be the F-35.
Japan already have many of those "top-secret" techologies except for maybe the turbofan engine. Japan had the AESA radar since the early 1990's. The Mitsubishi F-2 fighter was co-developed with Lockheed(maker of the F-22) in the early 1990's. The co-cured method of making F-2's composite wings were transferred from Japan to Lockheed. The F-2's fuselage make use of titanium. RAM were applied to wing leading edges, engine inlet, and nosecone. Cockpit has LCD MFD, holographic HUD. Navigation uses a laser inertia system. FBW software developed in-house. The only thing that's not indigenous was the turbofan engine- it uses an GE engine.
The decision for Japan to buy the F-22 is more political than strategic. It might be use to offset the trade imbalance between the U.S. and Japan. The only techology Japan might gain from F-22 sale is the low-bypass turbofan engine(with supercruise capability). But even that technology Japan should have no trouble developing themselves.:cool:

http://af.xuexue.net/fighter/eng/f2.htm
 

Occum

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Cogent Argument

Originally Posted by J.D.
A force mix of 48/48 would give us a very credible long-term capability and would even allow a greater level of mission flexibility than what we currently have. In my mind, the acquisition of a fleet comprised solely of JSF's is a significant backwards step and that's before we even get talking about power projection. It offers us few advantages over the Superhornet...and it's a single.
J.D.

You put forward a cogent argument.

Am surprised none of the gurus have come back to you on this one as it is a valuable contribution to the discussion.

The one thing that is of concern in both Defence's plans and what appears on many of the posts to this forum is the reliance on aerial refueller tanking. There is a post on this or another forum from one of the gurus that says the five MRRTs are only a training capability (the number being a carry over from the five B707s which were bought as a training capability).

Looking at the ASPI paper, 'The Big Deal', and doing some further figuring, the F/A-18 with its duty externals and the JSF (on internal) will not get to, say, Bali (on a real world strike/interdiction or air intercept mission) without tankers. The F-22 would not be that much better without externals though, by all reports, its external fuel carriage capability is impressive and it does not have the structural load limitation on its outboards that the JSF has.

Let's hope we see some worth while and thought provoking contributions to your post.


;)
 

rjmaz1

New Member
J.D. said:
The Federal Government is also trying to sell the JSF as a "mini Raptor" which it clearly is not. My view is that since the Government went into overdrive following Howard's rather precipitous decision to override the selection process and buy the JSF because they knew it would come up short. Look at the way they went about it.

...The public likes the idea of the JSF because they know nothing about it.
Actually i disagree, i've seen the real numbers used for comparison and the JSF fits our requirements perfectly.

First off, if you ignore the capability of the F-111 and look for an aircraft as a replacement for our FA-18 hornets, the JSF is the perfect choice by far in everyones books. It is an improvement in nearly every way however mostly in regards of its longer range, better avionics and its stealthy design. The JSF has more than double the internal fuel of a Hornet and even has more internal fuel than a F-15E..

Then you look at our F-111, this aircrafts primary role is that of deep strike missions. This role has somewhat been made redundant with the latest cruise missiles australia is ordering. Also we only have a dozen 100% operational f-111's at any given moment so its not like we will be missing much.

Our F111's have to fly low and fast when it penetrates enemy territory and this greatly reduces its range. The JSF can fly high up and use its stealthy design to reduce detection and its range extremely good for an aircraft of its size.

Then you take into account our F111's need to carry bombs externally increasing drag. This again reduces the range of the F-111's. Bomb capacity is not a concern as you can just send two JSF's with two 2000lb JDAMs each the same capacity of a fully loaded F-111. When you strap two fuel tanks under the wings of a JSF it can now reach 90% of the targets an F-111 can. The numbers i have seen are quite impressive indeed.

What sealed the deal was the fact the JSF can defend itself against other aircraft. The F-111 is a sitting duck if detected and will require some form of escort at all times.

This gives us increased flexibility as those aircraft busy escorting could be used conducting missions elsewhere.

That is why Australia made the best choice by far. With the new wedgetail and inflight refueling capabilities it will make us the most dominent military in the region.
 

norinco89

New Member
F-22a are no joke. they are the ruler of the skies and u can rule rule the skies too for a price. How they cost? 90 mi?
 

Big-E

Banned Member
coolieno99 said:
The decision for Japan to buy the F-22 is more political than strategic. It might be use to offset the trade imbalance between the U.S. and Japan. The only techology Japan might gain from F-22 sale is the low-bypass turbofan engine(with supercruise capability). But even that technology Japan should have no trouble developing themselves.:cool:
I disagree, F-22 is more strategic than politcal IMO. No doubt Japan is very technologically capable but their R&D capabilities are geared more towards commericial products than military technologies. If Japan wanted they could have built the F-22 by themselves but it would have meant a fundametal shift in policy and would be seen as an arms buildup. They could build nuclear bombs if they want to but they don't for this very reason.
 

rjmaz1

New Member
norinco89 said:
F-22a are no joke. they are the ruler of the skies and u can rule rule the skies too for a price. How they cost? 90 mi?
HA! Double the price and your getting close!

You can get more than three JSF's for the price of a single F-22. No one will buy F-22 besides the USA, as you get less bang for your buck compared to the JSF.

Australia for example plan to buy between 70-100 JSF's.. If they went with F-22 they would only be able to afford between 30-40 aircraft which would be laughable.

Too many people read Air Power Australia, they try to sound like experts by quoting magazine articals written by people who dont even have access to crucial information. :coffee
 

norinco89

New Member
How is japan going to afford a squadron of F-22 if they cost like 150mil each. They already destroyed their budget on F-2s. a squaron of 30 would cost 4.5 billion!
 

Occum

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Just in case you are not familiar with it, here is the USAF Aim Points URL -

http://aimpoints.hq.af.mil/index.cfm

DepSec Gordon England's independent review of their tactical fighter force has recommended an additional 40 to 80 F-22s for the USAF. House Armed Services Committee has recommended an additional $1.4bn to enable 20 F-22s to be procured in 2007.
 

rossfrb_1

Member
rjmaz1 said:
HA! Double the price and your getting close!

You can get more than three JSF's for the price of a single F-22. No one will buy F-22 besides the USA, as you get less bang for your buck compared to the JSF.

Australia for example plan to buy between 70-100 JSF's.. If they went with F-22 they would only be able to afford between 30-40 aircraft which would be laughable.

Too many people read Air Power Australia, they try to sound like experts by quoting magazine articals written by people who dont even have access to crucial information. :coffee
Sounds like you have the crucial information.
Given that F-22 production is currently slated to cease on or around 2008 and JSF production starts maybe 2011/2 at the earliest. Can you describe your costing of one F-22 = three or more JSFs?
Occum posted a url stating that a 2007 buy in of twenty F-22s by the US would cost $1.4 billion USD. That's $70 million USD each.
(http://aimpoints.hq.af.mil/display.cfm?id=10921)
What's your guesstimate for a 2012 JSF flyaway cost?

rb
 

Whiskyjack

Honorary Moderator / Defense Professional / Analys
Verified Defense Pro
Occum said:
Just in case you are not familiar with it, here is the USAF Aim Points URL -

http://aimpoints.hq.af.mil/index.cfm

DepSec Gordon England's independent review of their tactical fighter force has recommended an additional 40 to 80 F-22s for the USAF. House Armed Services Committee has recommended an additional $1.4bn to enable 20 F-22s to be procured in 2007.
US$70 mil does not sound right to me most reports I have seen quote the flyaway price as US$135m (not including spares training etc..), at a guess maybe the rest of the funds are being diverted from elsewhere and they need a further injection to buy the 20 F-22s?
 

Big-E

Banned Member
long live usa said:
i wonder how long until these will be deployed over seas im guessing they will be deployed in japan south korea perhaps
I can't really say when, but if you want to know where just look at the overseas F-15 squadrons and that is where the F-22s will be.
 

Magoo

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Big-E said:
I can't really say when, but if you want to know where just look at the overseas F-15 squadrons and that is where the F-22s will be.
There are no permanently overseas-based F-22s planned. The four F-22 Wings will be based the FF jets at Langley (Virginia), AK jets at Elmendorf (Alaska), HI jets in Hawaii, and CC jets at Cannon (New Mexico).

If you take away the test and training ED Edwards, OT Nellis and TY Tyndall jets plus those offline for maintenance, that leaves about 130-odd frontline fighters. You can't replace 500+ F-15s with 130 F-22s.

Magoo
 
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