Todjaeger
Potstirrer
A few reminders about the SH purchase
As has been mentioned by a few people, the Super Hornet purchase is a Bridging Air Combat Capability purchase, to cover the Strike role currently filled by the F-111. It is expected to cover a ten year period, from roughly 2011 to 2020-ish. At the end of the period, the expectation is that the JSF would be in service and taking over the strike role. However, as mentioned, the SH might be retained in that role, possibly due to costing for the JSF, and/or strategic situation at the time.
The SH was not purchased with the intent of using it as an Air Superiority fighter, though it can be used in this role, to an extent far greater than the F-111 can. I would expect, given the current status of the regional air arms, that an RAAF F/A-18F Super Hornet properly supported, would be able to defeat other fighters, except for RSAF fighters (F-15SG in particular) similarly supported.
As for the discussion of Su-XX vs. SH or JSF. In an air-to-air engagement, the issue of who wins revolves around which aircraft will be able to detect and lock onto the other, and then fire it's AAM from within the NEZ. Given the relatively large (vs. SH or JSF) RCS of the Su-XX series and lack of LO features, I feel it safe to say that the SH or JSF will detect the Su-XX first. The issue will then revolve around what the NEZ of the RAAF AAM would be vs. a Su-XX fighter and how that relates to the detection range of an Su-XX. If the Su-XX would enter the NEZ of the AAM before it can detect the SH or JSF (something I consider quite possible for the JSF) then the JSF would win. If, on the other hand, the Su-XX detects the SH or JSF first, it would then become a direct comparison of NEZ of the AAM for each aircraft and see which one has a greater NEZ.
One thing I'm not convinced of is the ability of an Su-XX, even a heavily modified or upgraded one, to detect the JSF. As certain websites discuss, situational awareness improvement paths are available to the Su-XX. However, the discussion is about possible upgrades available in the future, if development work is done on these programs. In a few respects, the possibilities are less than the current work that is becoming available on the SH and even more so on the JSF. What some these websites which suggest that the JSF would perform poorly against an Su-XX fail to take into account is the potential availability of an appropriately upgraded Su-XX (i.e. how many years before one is available) and what sort of upgraded JSF would be available at the same time. Short of a significant and unexpected breakthrough, I don't forsee the Su-XX being able to spot a JSF first, or achieve a lock first. Therefore, as long as the NEZ of the AAM is kept at the same range as the target lock range, the JSF will win.
As for AEW&C support, I'm not so certain that other air forces will be adding that soon. Currently in the ASEAN/Oceania region, only the RSAF has an AEW capacity, with the RAAF adding one soon. Of the air forces in the same area, those two seem to be the most advanced and best maintained (not counting the RNZAF since no air combat arm). In order to make effective use of an AEW&C capability, the training, doctrine and underlying technology needs to be in place. It will likely be some time before other nations are able to bring their air forces to that point.
-Cheers
As has been mentioned by a few people, the Super Hornet purchase is a Bridging Air Combat Capability purchase, to cover the Strike role currently filled by the F-111. It is expected to cover a ten year period, from roughly 2011 to 2020-ish. At the end of the period, the expectation is that the JSF would be in service and taking over the strike role. However, as mentioned, the SH might be retained in that role, possibly due to costing for the JSF, and/or strategic situation at the time.
The SH was not purchased with the intent of using it as an Air Superiority fighter, though it can be used in this role, to an extent far greater than the F-111 can. I would expect, given the current status of the regional air arms, that an RAAF F/A-18F Super Hornet properly supported, would be able to defeat other fighters, except for RSAF fighters (F-15SG in particular) similarly supported.
As for the discussion of Su-XX vs. SH or JSF. In an air-to-air engagement, the issue of who wins revolves around which aircraft will be able to detect and lock onto the other, and then fire it's AAM from within the NEZ. Given the relatively large (vs. SH or JSF) RCS of the Su-XX series and lack of LO features, I feel it safe to say that the SH or JSF will detect the Su-XX first. The issue will then revolve around what the NEZ of the RAAF AAM would be vs. a Su-XX fighter and how that relates to the detection range of an Su-XX. If the Su-XX would enter the NEZ of the AAM before it can detect the SH or JSF (something I consider quite possible for the JSF) then the JSF would win. If, on the other hand, the Su-XX detects the SH or JSF first, it would then become a direct comparison of NEZ of the AAM for each aircraft and see which one has a greater NEZ.
One thing I'm not convinced of is the ability of an Su-XX, even a heavily modified or upgraded one, to detect the JSF. As certain websites discuss, situational awareness improvement paths are available to the Su-XX. However, the discussion is about possible upgrades available in the future, if development work is done on these programs. In a few respects, the possibilities are less than the current work that is becoming available on the SH and even more so on the JSF. What some these websites which suggest that the JSF would perform poorly against an Su-XX fail to take into account is the potential availability of an appropriately upgraded Su-XX (i.e. how many years before one is available) and what sort of upgraded JSF would be available at the same time. Short of a significant and unexpected breakthrough, I don't forsee the Su-XX being able to spot a JSF first, or achieve a lock first. Therefore, as long as the NEZ of the AAM is kept at the same range as the target lock range, the JSF will win.
As for AEW&C support, I'm not so certain that other air forces will be adding that soon. Currently in the ASEAN/Oceania region, only the RSAF has an AEW capacity, with the RAAF adding one soon. Of the air forces in the same area, those two seem to be the most advanced and best maintained (not counting the RNZAF since no air combat arm). In order to make effective use of an AEW&C capability, the training, doctrine and underlying technology needs to be in place. It will likely be some time before other nations are able to bring their air forces to that point.
-Cheers