I hadn't forgotten the thread. It seems to me that Arjun is a perfect example of how hard it is to initiate a tank building program.
What excuses did I make? I thought I gave logical reasons to qualify and quantify my statement.
Leo 2 has sold 3924 vehicles total, according to my calculations (excluding support vehicles). Of these 1215 were transfers from German Army stocks (57% of its fleet). Most of the sales have been in Europe, and most at bargain price that includes manufacturer's support, along with a change in name to Euro-Leopard
. Chile and Singapore have been the only purchasers outside of Europe, and it is not clear why these two countries would buy these tanks other then the price of the package.
M1 is in the same boat. Outside of Australia, which got a very good price and package (waiting 10 years to do so) for a very small quantity, only the very rich Arab states have bough M1. However they buy almost anything. Egypt is an exception due to its reliance on US aid package. I suspect there are oil money behind the Egyptian production pland in any case.
T-90 is to be produced in India in thousands, while also being sold to Pakistan and Algeria. However the tank has only recently gone into production. The fact that it is an improved, a very much improved, version of T-72, the possibility is there to offer significant upgrade to current T-72 operators. Wiki lists T-72 models to have been employed by Algeria, Angola, Armenia (102), Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Canada (display,tests), Croatia(40), Czech Republic, the former East Germany (scrapped or sold for a song), Finland (195), Georgia, Hungary, India, Iran, Iraq (largely scrapped, but reintroduced from former East German fleet), Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Libya, Macedonia, Malaysia, Poland (597), Romania, Russia (9,944), Serbia (238), Slovakia, Slovenia (54), Syria, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, the United States (display, tests), and Uzbekistan. To this can be added the Chinese Type 98 and the Polish PT-91. Adding value to these is a far more profitable business in the age when countries just don't buy, never mind build tanks. Even those interested in new tanks are likely to think twice about purchasing NATO's last generation given fuel prices and technology intensive support they require. The Russian tanks are built for conscripts, and not just the pick of the best as is the case in Germany.
And T-90 has been on the market only a decade.
A successful design is one that sells, and sells again. If I was a tank salesman I would want to sell T-72/90s.
Why would the T-72 designers and builders want to distance themselves from it after GW1? (I really prefer Kuwait war)
If I was selling tanks, I would tell every potential buyer to consider their defeat, and buy the whole suit of systems that make up a national armed force
Consider that the Kuwait and Iraq wars have made poignant lessons to most countries, and even dictators now know better then to appoint military leaderships for their loyalty rather then ability.