Why isn't Polar Class 5 required? The waters around Antarctica and the Antarctic coast are becoming more attractive to both state and non state actors, as competition for protein and resources intensify because of depletion of resources in other regions of the planet.
The Protector Class OPV are
Finnish Swedish Ice Class 1C, meaning that they can only enter unconsolidated ice channels during the summer where the ice is no more than 0.6 m thick. IC doesn't even feature on the
Polar Class Scale. PC 5 is year round first year medium ice and old ice inclusions. As fish stocks further deplete, we will have problems in the region and we will require ships capable of operating in the conditions down there. It's no good having a ship that can only do half the job.
The other thing is that once the ice sheets start melting, as the climate and oceans warms, there will be an increase in the number of icebergs in the adjacent waters as there are more frequently calvings. With the increase in calving and melting, there is an increase in ice river flow velocity from the hinterland to the coast recharging the sheets. The ice sheets melt from the bottom rather than the top because of the year round increases in median water temperature, as warmer water currents have pushed further south. Over time there is a net loss of ice mass because the recharge rate is unable to keep up with the calving rate and the melt rate.
This loss of ice makes the continent and its surroundings more attractive to both state and non state actors for the extraction of resources. At present whilst it is protected by the Antarctic Treaty until 2043 and the Mining Accord until 2048, both the Treaty and Accord are based upon a consensus format. If one signatory decided to abrogate its responsibilities under both the Treaty and Accord, there is not much that the other signatories could do about it. There is no mechanism to remove them from the continent.
At present given the geostrategic and geopolitical conditions, along with the increasing global population and reduction of available protein and resources, I don't hold much hope that the Antarctic Treaty and the Mining Accord will be successfully renegotiated. Certain nations such as the PRC and Russia and some others will be wanting to extract the riches from there. We have a significant territorial claim there as does Australia and we should be prepared to defend that claim, as should Australia there claim. Just because the US doesn't recognise those claims isn't the end of the world
That is why I take the view that we should have proper ice capable vessels for Antarctica. I am taking the long view and the CCP leaders in Beijing most definitely will be. They have a lot of mouths to feed and a lot of industries to support to ensure their survival of their imperial dynasty.