Not really, the old ACF infrastructure still mostly remains at Ohakea, the old 75 (A4) Sqn hanger is actually currently vacant as 3 Sqn has moved into it's new hanger and the PTS Sqn would now have more space in their hanger for any extra texans as airmoves has also moved into their new terminal. The 14 (machhi) Sqn hanger houses the 4 king airs so I'm sure they could share real estate with a downsized LIFT option if need be.
The ammo bunkers, engine run, obvious tarmac areas etc are as per the days of old so available and is still the same barracks and housing as well although I think a civilian company now owns/runs the housing area but the defence housing plan/responsibility is alittle different to back then anyway. The maintainence support building was built along with the helo hangers and is a vast improvement on the legacy facilities and combines alot of trades under one(ish) roof so to speak.
TBH there currently would be abit of base redundancy especially at Ohakea which is probably why NZ is even considering hosting the Singa Sqn in the first place, wether or not the singaporeans utilise existing buildings or build their own to suit would be another question. There was rumours of bringing the boeing flight down or more recently some portion of any new maritime patrol element to make use of the empty hanger but then again they also suggested closing Whenuapai and creating a superbase once upon a time so who knows what could be on the cards.
The first thing is that Transtasman would not have published the speculation without their being truth to it and from at least two solid sources - quite often the source is very close to the action. It is where politicians / advisors go to fly kites, raise flags, leak, build policy momentum. We also know that Mr Mark has very definite and strong views on the necessity of regaining an air combat ability and obviously has instructed official into investigations into this. Credit to him for getting this back on the agenda - and should National now out of office have the cajones to endorse it and not go all vindictive because it is an NZ First idea - it could move ahead further in at least the discussion.
The Singa's coming here will utilise what remains and with the OH infrastructure upgrade and the investment by the RSAF cuts from the chase the usual objections trundled out that we would have to start from scratch with nothing. The RNZAF and the RSAF could go halves in the hush house that was to be built for the cancelled F-16's and was going to cost $8m (2001). Also nothing is done the same now or done the same as other countries. NZ contracts in services to the NZDF as it saves money and this would be no different. Thus cost comparisons between employing 700 people like under the old ACF arrangements pre 2000 cannot be reliably extrapolated.
As for LIFT training one option mentioned to me by an ex RAF knuck now living here is a small number of selected pilots post our T-6 wings course should be sent to UKMFTS at RAF Valley under a RNZAF contract scheme thus skipping the requirement for NZ to acquire a LIFT. The UKMFTS is a PPP arrangement between the UK MOD and industry we would be a paying customer - cheaper than ownership and running our LIFT programme which would be very RAF style anyway. Likewise post UKMFTS possibly work out a contract arrangement with a current F-18 unit viz USMC, USN, RAAF or RCAF to have NZ pilots complete their weapons courses, instructor courses etc using our own upgraded aircraft.
As for the condition of the aircraft - well negative speculation is nothing more than that. What we do know is that they have been well looked after in professional hands in the RAAF and have not spent 6000 hours been thrashed onto carrier decks like their USN and USMC cousins.
We also know that there is currently a very successful UMSC led project where legacy Hornets are been refurbished and upgraded to C+ status to at least provide a further 2000 hours of operational life. So what if they have to be replaced at a later date - post 2030 something.
Note: The 2015 USMC Aircraft Plan
F/A-18 SERVICE LIFE MANAGEMENT PROGRAM (SLMP)
The current Center Barrel Replacement Plus (CBR+) program has extended the
service life of 200 Lot 17 and below aircraft to 1.0 Wing Root Fatigue Life Extension
(WRFLE). The current High Flight Hour (HFH) inspection has extended the life of 110 DoN F/A-18A-D aircraft beyond 8000 hours with 129 aircraft currently in work.
We also know that it will take some years to build up the capability to OLOC but that is understood - but what are people expecting - instant karma.
We have locked in $18.3 billion on Cap Ex and $1.7 billion to spend on defence infrastructure until 2030. There will be possible trade offs - for example KC-130J-SOC's and a couple of C-2's rather than A400M's. Frigates built in Korean like FFX-III's or Japan like the 30DX rather than Type 26, FREMM or F-110's of which frankly there has not been that great enthusiasm for in NZ circles.
The RAAF are not going to keep all the F/A-18AM's and BM's flying until all the F-35's are in service they will go out the hanger no doubt on a swap in swap out basis. Even if the Cannucks grab the first 18, there should be a further 18 worth looking at to upgrade.
This is a less expensive bullet to bite to recover a capability lost. Frankly the argument that we Kiwi's don't need some kind of ACF is often made by those who are not actually Kiwis and whose own countries actually have a current ACF capability yet are quick to justify their own necessities for their own national interests - well that is called hypocrisy and I am very suspicious of their motives to be honest.
Cheers, MrC