Novascotiaboy
Active Member
GF I agree wholeheartedly with all that you have stated and understand the dynamics but the reality of the situation is what is likely to play a bigger role in the final decision when that time comes. As much as there is a military necessity in the eyes of those in uniform it will be the elected ones who make the final decision.
Looking at a recent news article about the Kapiti expressway I noted the NZ taxpayer invested $630 million to complete just 18 km of highway. It comes down to priorities.
Canada like NZ generally punches far above its weight when involved in coalition operations and its people in uniform are its greatest assets respected far and wide as some of the best warriors anywhere. But when it comes to hard resources to do the job high end military hardware typically is not in abundance as desired by the military. The ACF is an example as is the reduction in the frigate force to only two hulls.
From my perspective using historical examples I do not expect the NZG to fund the transition from legacy P3 operations to the current high altitude P8 and UAV program. I am a platform centred enthusiast. All the bits that make up the platform to do its job is technically beyond my education. I have learned much from many on this forum who have experience in these fields. At the end of the day it's the platform that carries those in uniform into situations that we the citizen generally don't appreciate the sacrifice that those who serve give for our protection.
In the end I see a Brazilian / Japanese solution to the FAMC / FASC replacements because the two contractors have a bond through production of components and design. With that said I expect five KC390, five P1 and three C2 aircraft in NZ's future. The timelines work for delivery and production slots. Like the F35 being a 5th generation fighter not every nation needs the first line of technology. Operating a fleet of P1 in the same way that the RNZAF always has will be the main reason for its selection.
Maybe I am wrong but I believe I am realistic in my thoughts. At the end of the process a beer budget will play more of a role in the decision over champagne dreams.
Looking at a recent news article about the Kapiti expressway I noted the NZ taxpayer invested $630 million to complete just 18 km of highway. It comes down to priorities.
Canada like NZ generally punches far above its weight when involved in coalition operations and its people in uniform are its greatest assets respected far and wide as some of the best warriors anywhere. But when it comes to hard resources to do the job high end military hardware typically is not in abundance as desired by the military. The ACF is an example as is the reduction in the frigate force to only two hulls.
From my perspective using historical examples I do not expect the NZG to fund the transition from legacy P3 operations to the current high altitude P8 and UAV program. I am a platform centred enthusiast. All the bits that make up the platform to do its job is technically beyond my education. I have learned much from many on this forum who have experience in these fields. At the end of the day it's the platform that carries those in uniform into situations that we the citizen generally don't appreciate the sacrifice that those who serve give for our protection.
In the end I see a Brazilian / Japanese solution to the FAMC / FASC replacements because the two contractors have a bond through production of components and design. With that said I expect five KC390, five P1 and three C2 aircraft in NZ's future. The timelines work for delivery and production slots. Like the F35 being a 5th generation fighter not every nation needs the first line of technology. Operating a fleet of P1 in the same way that the RNZAF always has will be the main reason for its selection.
Maybe I am wrong but I believe I am realistic in my thoughts. At the end of the process a beer budget will play more of a role in the decision over champagne dreams.