Indeed. A question I have about the donation is of course, why? I can see several potential reasons that S. Korea might have. The first being an expression of S. Korean displeasure with China, given China's expansion of claims into S. Korean claimed areas. The second is to put additional pressure on China, to put pressure on N. Korea. The third is S. Korea making the donation at the request of, or under pressure from the US. Lastly, as part of an effort to get the Philippines to place more orders with S. Korea for military kit.
I was seeing it as a legacy of (1) - and the Sth Koreans then looking at Fil support on any UN issuesIndeed. A question I have about the donation is of course, why? I can see several potential reasons that S. Korea might have. The first being an expression of S. Korean displeasure with China, given China's expansion of claims into S. Korean claimed areas. The second is to put additional pressure on China, to put pressure on N. Korea. The third is S. Korea making the donation at the request of, or under pressure from the US. Lastly, as part of an effort to get the Philippines to place more orders with S. Korea for military kit.
-Cheers
That may be true, but I also think that there are quite a few motives for this. Like stated above, it might have a political and economical attachment to this deal. I would suggest that the upside is that PN could purchase more old Pohang covettes or even some Ulsan frigates if they get all the weapons and sensors intact. This would give the old Korean assets some resale value and economic benefits. Besides, there will be more compelling reasons to buy new built Korean Incheon derived class frigates.I was seeing it as a legacy of (1) - and the Sth Koreans then looking at Fil support on any UN issues
Fixed it for you.That may be true, but I also think that there are quite a few motives for this. Like stated above, it might have a political and economical attachment to this deal. I would suggest that the upside is that PN could purchase more old Pohang covettes or even some Ulsan frigates if they get all the weapons and sensors intact. This would give the old Korean assets some resale value and economic benefits. Besides, there will be more compelling reasons to buy new built Korean Incheon derived class frigates.
I think the political message has already been mentioned, and I do hold the same view.
Our Pinoy friends will then be able to build up their navy in a relatively short time (assets wise) and necessary operational wise given an ORBAT something like:
2-3 ex-Hamiltons patrol frigates (upgraded with self defence anti-air weapons, such as SeaRAM or Mistral or even Sea Ceptor if money can be found, plus 4xASuW such as RBS-15 and the Sea Giffrale radar - my imagination)
2 new Incheon derived ASuW/ASW frigates
1 (hoping for something like 4-6) Pohang class corvettes
2 ex-Ulsan frigates (purely my own imagination)
That would be awesome!
SK also donated a number of naval, CG assets to Vietnam recently, including a HDP-1000 Mazinger OPV.Indeed. A question I have about the donation is of course, why? I can see several potential reasons that S. Korea might have. The first being an expression of S. Korean displeasure with China, given China's expansion of claims into S. Korean claimed areas. The second is to put additional pressure on China, to put pressure on N. Korea. The third is S. Korea making the donation at the request of, or under pressure from the US. Lastly, as part of an effort to get the Philippines to place more orders with S. Korea for military kit.
-Cheers
Given that there is little likelihood of the Philippines been involved in a conflict with a state actor I feel the priority should be in getting assets that will better enable the PN to secure its vast maritime domain against non state or low intensity threats. Sure, stuff like a couple of missile armed frigates/corvettes as a minimal deterrent are needed but stuff like patrol boats, MPAs, helos, coastal radars and UAVs would be more useful and in line with current requirements. Also, given that the Marines are actively engaged against non state actors in Mindanao and the Sulu Archipelago shouldn't funds be allocated for newer vehicles and stuff like comms, body armour, etc?Example, how many frigates, corvettes, OPV, fast attack crafts, etc. (kindly include the weapons the ship should have).
Maybe Philippine Navy could be interested in buying our RNZN IPV as they are fairly new, and we are looking for larger vessels and selling them off?Given that there is little likelihood of the Philippines been involved in a conflict with a state actor I feel the priority should be in getting assets that will better enable the PN to secure its vast maritime domain against non state or low intensity threats. Sure, stuff like a couple of missile armed frigates/corvettes as a minimal deterrent are needed but stuff like patrol boats, MPAs, helos, coastal radars and UAVs would be more useful and in line with current requirements. Also, given that the Marines are actively engaged against non state actors in Mindanao and the Sulu Archipelago shouldn't funds be allocated for newer vehicles and stuff like comms, body armour, etc?
With regards to ''frigates, corvettes, OPV, fast attack crafts'' the thing to bear in mind is that the PN currently operates a gun only fleet. To operate a sizeable number of ships armed for surface, sub surface and air ops will also require the needed shore support infrastructure in order to support these assets and have the needed trained manpower. This will take time.
It is true that the Philippines right now has near zero chance of a military conflict with any state actor. But that is because they have little capability of dealing with a serious military conflict with a state actor. They must try their best to avoid having the conflict escalate into the military sphere, including making concessions and even folding entirely if necessary. If that is indeed what the Philippines see as in their national interest, then yeah, the current path is indeed correct. The money saved by deliberately discarding credible deterrence is real and will be reflected in the annual budget.Given that there is little likelihood of the Philippines been involved in a conflict with a state actor I feel the priority should be in getting assets that will better enable the PN to secure its vast maritime domain against non state or low intensity threats.
No one so far has challenged my numbers regarding Philippines' economic capability. The Philippines can afford them. Without jeopardizing their citizens' well-being. That the Philippines chooses not to budget sufficient funds to do so is a question of will, not capability.Realistically I cannot see the Philippines being able to afford the sorts of ships needed to deal with any major conflict in the South China Sea.
The priority should first be to get MPAs for surveillance duties and stuff like SAR and have them equipped with a decent sensors suite. Standoff missiles are great to have but when taking into account current requirements; aren't very useful as they have zero peacetime utility. What's the point in investing in gear that's suited for state on state threats when other pressing requirements haven't been addressed? The PN has quite a number of ships that are more than 60/70 years old and its ''newest'' assets are ex-USCG cutters that were constructed in the late 1960's - shouldn't newer ships be bought before considering stuff like air launched missiles?I would perhaps look into buying a number of Long-Range Patrol Aircraft and equipping them with standoff missiles. I would suggest that they might want to consider a few refurbished P3Cs. In fact I remember reading that the US had offered some of these aircraft to the Philippines before ... but the offer wasn't taken up because of the high operating costs.
Land based missiles on their own aren't very useful. There will be a need for MPAs and stuff like coastal radars to work with those land based missiles but why invest in land based missiles when there are other pressing priorities?Another cost effective solution might be land-based anti-ship missiles. Something like the PJ-10 Brahmos would scare the hell out of me if I had to go up against it.
No, it's because there is little reason for anyone to want to get involved in a conflict with the Philippines and vice versa; not because of the lack of assets or capabilities on the part of the AFP.It is true that the Philippines right now has near zero chance of a military conflict with any state actor. But that is because they have little capability of dealing with a serious military conflict with a state actor.
Maybe so but if they acquired some P3Cs say ex USN and JMSDF through aid programs, that would be a start and the aircraft if a MLU was done would be viable for maybe 15 - 20 years. We have managed to keep our P3Bs (now P3K2s) in the air for 50 years so that is where NZ could help with the planning of the MLU and maintenance side.The priority should first be to get MPAs for surveillance duties and stuff like SAR and have them equipped with a decent sensors suite. Standoff missiles are great to have but when taking into account current requirements; aren't very useful as they have zero peacetime utility. What's the point in investing in gear that's suited for state on state threats when other pressing requirements haven't been addressed? The PN has quite a number of ships that are more than 60/70 years old and its ''newest'' assets are ex-USCG cutters that were constructed in the late 1960's - shouldn't newer ships be bought before considering stuff like air launched missiles?
As for getting P-3s the issue here is that any P-3s bought will be on average 30/35 years old. It makes more sense to get a newer platform.
I agree because even mobile ones need infrastructure and sensors which do cost money. They would be better off putting missiles on ships.Land based missiles on their own aren't very useful. There will be a need for MPAs and stuff like coastal radars to work with those land based missiles but why invest in land based missiles when there are other pressing priorities?
There has to be a political will in the Philippines to invest in defence. You are right in your assertion that because of a US presence since the Spanish - US war until the 1990s, the Philippines has not had to concentrate upon external defence matters. Now it has too.No, it's because there is little reason for anyone to want to get involved in a conflict with the Philippines and vice versa; not because of the lack of assets or capabilities on the part of the AFP.
For decades the Philippines was able to focus on internal security because it benefited from the presence of the U.S. military on Filipino soil. Today the Philippines no longer hosts U.S. assets on a permanent basis but it still benefits from the Mutual Defence Treaty. No doubt the Philippines has to start investing more in defence capabilities to better enable the AFP to deal with possible external threats but the fact remains that the main security threat to the country at present is still from non state actors and that the AFP still faces huge challenges meeting its vast peacetime commitments on account of being underfunded.