In regards to some people continueing on with the C295, The RFI states that they are to be replaced by comparable or better aircraft of which the C295 does not compare to any of them and would actually be a step back.
NZ simply doesnt have a need for such an aircraft as they already have other options available and quite frankly dont have to travel as far internally to get what they need where it needs to be making the C295 redundant, as MrConservative says the B350 covers that role with out hassle.
There are literally just 4 aircraft that can fill the role for the C-130's (excluding Russian stuff because really, Do we expect NZ to deal with Putin?). One is flying today but the least capable (C-130J), another is going through IOC (C-2), another mixed between IOC and development (A400) and th last one in development (KC390).
von
A slight correction here. The RFI doesn't state anything about replacement with comparable or better
aircraft, it seeks a comparable or better
capability.
Somewhat against the tide of opinion on this thread, I still think a twin-prop lifter is still a possibility. If Airbus bid the A400 (as they undoubtedly will), I think it is entirely possible it would be as part of a package with C295s and a A320/321 for VIP/personnel movements. They could supply three C295s for the price of an A400, and still have change left over.The roles that could be undertaken by the C295 would be deployable tactical lift, NZ-based light lift, supplementary maritime patrol and training.
Consider the latter point. The maximum take-off weight of a B200, NZ's multi-engine training aircraft. is under 5000kg. The MTOW of an A400 is 140,000kg. That strikes me as a pretty big step up, to put it mildly.
The utility of a second-tier MPA is too obvious to need explaining, although I happily accept a KingAir 350 could also fill this role.
The main objection to a light lifter seems to be (as I read the comments here) it's inability to move meaningful loads to the Pacific (or further) for HADR purposes. This is unquestionably correct. However, it NZ opts for a either the A400 or C-2, there is going to be a need to shift goods delivered to the main international airport out to to smaller islands. In Vanuatu (Cyclone Pam) the French C235s based in Noumea did a lot of this work, and I saw footage of them in Fiji. presumably undertaking similar operations.
On a longer deployment (Timor Leste, Solomons, Afghanistan), there would be benefits in having the ability to contribute a tactical airlift capability to supply/transport ground forces. If we get small numbers of a larger aircraft, this will not be possible.
In summary, I think a 'light lifter' would be a useful asset. Whether it justifies buying reduced numbers of the 'major' airlifter is something Defence and the next Government will have to grapple with. People are welcome to disagree, but I don't think the idea should be dismissed out of hand.