8 C-130Js, 18 F-16s and a few CN types would be very helpful to NZ and its defence force, therefore we will definately not get them, mite try again in 10 years should have another plan/vision/direction/dream or three by then.
But seriously regarding transport it'll all depend on what options could be afforded with what AC they will go with and I beleive the contenders would be A400,C130J,C27 and C295. Obviously we would not get as many A400s as we would C130Js however the grizzlys would solve most of our heavy lift problems ie NZLAV/NH90 but the number of Js we 'could' possibly aqquire would take care of the aviailability issues. A similar situation would apply to the C27 vs C295 idea to a degree. The Js also have the proven therefore less risky tick over the A400 and that factor cannot be underestimated come decision time, although the longer we wait the less it becomes an issue.
At the end of the day (or probably decade) it will come down to costs, number of acheivable platforms and tasks able to be ticked off that secures our future air transport and on saying that I would like to see 4-5 A400s/4-6 CN295s with plan B 8 C130Js/6 CN295s. A big spend required however for such an important national/regional/international element a worthy one I feel.
But seriously regarding transport it'll all depend on what options could be afforded with what AC they will go with and I beleive the contenders would be A400,C130J,C27 and C295. Obviously we would not get as many A400s as we would C130Js however the grizzlys would solve most of our heavy lift problems ie NZLAV/NH90 but the number of Js we 'could' possibly aqquire would take care of the aviailability issues. A similar situation would apply to the C27 vs C295 idea to a degree. The Js also have the proven therefore less risky tick over the A400 and that factor cannot be underestimated come decision time, although the longer we wait the less it becomes an issue.
At the end of the day (or probably decade) it will come down to costs, number of acheivable platforms and tasks able to be ticked off that secures our future air transport and on saying that I would like to see 4-5 A400s/4-6 CN295s with plan B 8 C130Js/6 CN295s. A big spend required however for such an important national/regional/international element a worthy one I feel.