FutureTank
Banned Member
I think the question is, does Russia see a threat that requires development of a new tank. The answer for them is seemingly no.The Russian Army lacks the huge level of logistics and operational equipment that the Soviet Army had to sustain such a doctrine. The sustainment of T-90 tank production has a lot more to do with trying to sustain the industry that the Russian Government and export sales as failed to fund for a much needed technology upgrade. The Russians have no choice but to build T-90s because they lack the factory tooling to build anything else. That tooling is on its last legs as well and will soon (~10 years) breakdown and they won’t be able to produce anything.
Sure they can design a big tank on paper and even hand build a prototype. The seven road wheel, ~60 tonne Black Eagle is a classic example of this. But can they produce one? Not without a multi-billion investment in upgrading Russian industrial infrastructure. There is only so much you can get out of factories that have not seen more than a new coat of paint and some COTS PCs since the fall of the Soviet Union.
Maybe you have other information, but it seems form open sources that the XM1200 series will be a modular design that for the XM1202 will include armour that will be added on as required by the combat environment. Lat I read they are still experimenting with various options and the 27ton you refer to is the basic 1200 hull and turret.Ahh great, more made up stuff...
Outside “FutureTankWorld” there is the XM1200 series of vehicles developed by the Future Combat System (FCS) program. The tank variant, the XM1202 MCS, will have more armour protection than the latest M1 not to mention active protection and far more SA. It will only weigh 27 tonnes. This is the difference between starting to design a tank in 1960 (T-90 and co) and in 2005.
However, what you seem to be saying is that the XM1202 will squeeze 5 tons of armour into a 27 ton "whole" package. Of course that implies that a way was found to increase the density of material by a factor of greater than 2. This is molecular density we are talking about.
"not to mention active protection and far more SA", what is SA here?
Well, sure starting to design a tank in the late 90s is different to designing a tank in the late 60s. But of course the Soviet Army had tanks in the 1980s that were better than the Pattons, and there were more of them. The M1 begun to enter units in quantity in 1986 after a development of over a decade. Same with the Leopard II and Challenger.
The FCS will probably take two decades since the money just are not there. Technology in another sector, the financial one, has utterly failed you see. Since the Soviet/Russian economy had to commence restructuring in the 1990s, it will probably complete the process earlier than the USA which not only has to restructure its financial sector, but actually has to start recovering from its production slide, just like Russia, and become an exporter rather than an importer again. My prediction is that FCS as a program will not see production until 2020 at the earliest.
The T-90 meanwhile is clearly an interim design for the Russian park since it will only be produced in the 2,000 units mark to satisfy any immediate and unforeseen conflicts of the coming decade. The larger park will likely be reduced to about 12,-15,000 units, and will be replaced by whatever comes after T-90.