Sorry, I meant Cape York Peninsula, particularly Iron Range National Park
Or lower South like Daintree.
Ahh ok mate, yean I wouldnt be so happy about jumping on that either!
Yes, of course total surprise is a must, but I don't see any way to achieve it using conventional tactics.
Yep, agreed, thats whys its a rediculous plan.
Have the Chinese ever said huge losses are acceptable?
I dunno, probably not, but hey if they need that island badly enough for some reason who knows what they'd be willing to sacrafice... although their entire airforce would probably be a bit to much.
The strips will be occupied by USAF, and they may have something to say about it
Only once they arrive, speed is the key. Unless they have permanent stations there?
This plan you looked at, naturally you considered the quality of the PLAAF aircraft fleet. There is no such thing as stalemate in air warfare.
Naturally, however I beg to differ. If both sides refuse to mount offensive operations against one another, due to either low numbers or fear of crippiling losses, I would call this a stalemate. Like I said they only need air superiority for a few hours in which to conduct the airborne landings. After that as long as they can secure air corridors for resupply that should be sufficent.
There is no way PLAAF can gain air superiority. They are facing 26 operational bases vs 10 of their own in close range that would allow extended sorties and reasonable loads. Taipei is in a valley surrounded by low mountains. Any drops would have to be made around Chung-Li in the face of 7 bases! Even with no aircraft the AD assets alone would make minsemeat of aircraft unless they are at safe altitude. Of course how does one drop from that altitude in those particular conditions. The winds after all do not blow according to orders.
This is where the quantity of the PLAAF may be able to defeat the home team advantage lent to the ROC. Then again it didnt work for the Germans during the Battle of Britain...
Once air superirority is attained, SEAD mission could open the door for the airborne drop. Keeping in mind we are talking about a high loss scenario here!
You are correct about not needing to capture the entire island. Most of the population is on the West coast. However, how does one do that? If the PLA land in the South and work their way north to Taipei, they will have a bugger of a time, and will allow much of Taiwanese Army to mobilise.
Agree with you here, I dont know how that could be achevied, tac nukes maybe??? theres somthing to piss people off!
If they lend in the North, again they are caught between two forces.
If they lend every where they are likely to face beachhead pockets that can be reduced over time.
Agree again. A normandy style airborne drop securing the rear of the beachheads would work, but then as you have already said, they must slug it all the way in land. This would work against the 'speed is the key' theory.
However let's say the Chinese lend, and occupy most of the urban areas and Taipei...they still have the REST of the island. Most of Taiwan is well vegetated mountain terrain. They could be in there for years hunting the Taiwanese (and I'm sure Taiwanese made plans for that also).
Force a surrender? Or maybe partial reunification would be acceptable to the Chinese aims? I dont have a reason for why they are invading, just that it needs to be done fast and at whatever the cost.
Yes surprise is the key, but I don't see any way of achieving it by conventional tactics.
Yep completely agree, hence the reason why its a rediclous idea. Really Im just spitballing idea...