I imagine they are chasing a Choules replacement, but also possibly export sales. I wonder how happy Canada will be with their new Protecteur auxiliary and may be chasing something with more amphibious capabilities (like a dock and two landing craft). I like the look of it. Reminds me of a mini-San Antonio class. Maybe angling for export sales. I do find it funny that Australia may end up acquiring a much better JSS than the Canadian JSS program dreamed of, and which took so long for Canada to end up with such basic capability (particularly in the amphibious capability of the new Protecteur class).
There is IMO a shortage in the current amphibious capability with the 2 x LHD's and Choules for the idealized ARG formation. So even if all three are available, there is still a shortage on lift, and that is with current platforms and formations, which are likely to change and increase from projects like Land 400 as well as others connected to it. In some cases this means much larger lane meter footprint as well as much heavier and taller platforms.
I don't see this ship replacing either of those main roles, but in a support role. 70% of either capability gives you the ability to cover some natural gaps. I can see this platform being quite busy in doing that. Maybe this is more about replacing the LCH capability than Choules.
It certainly won't on its own, solve our amphibious lift and support issues. 70% AOR capability would probably be great for that kind of capability. We are doing more task group deployment, involving multiple ships.
I am still of the view of we need some big ship to fill the amphibious/naval aviation role going into the future. That could be another LHD, or perhaps an aviation focused platform, allowing the LHD's to use their hanger space for lighter vehicles and focus on using their well docks for amphibious deployment etc. Something perhaps more like a LHA or aviation enhanced LHD, able to support rotary, drone etc operations. It could then focus on operating Chinooks, Tigers, MHR90's, MR60's. These ops can of course occur on the LHD, but with a dedicated platform it really allows Australia to maximise the LHD lift capability.
But maybe that is a bridge too far. Maybe we just shrink our amphibious capabilities back as larger Army platforms come on line, and reduce aviation capability as well.