It will be interesting to see the final structure for Henderson, which is still opaque. The Government has however been clear on three points in its recent announcements. Firstly that the maintenance and ship construction area will be Commonwealth owned, secondly it will be exclusive to Defence, and thirdly that supply will be consolidated (both in location and provider numbers). This fits with the need for security and long term sustainment objectives.I don't think we need 3 continuous small frigate lines. But we could certainly copy and benchmark the Japanese production output of a yard.
Henderson seems to be/is well sized for this type of ship tho, dimensionally. 17x143m. Two would fit pretty nicely in their build hall. They could easily be benchmarked against the Japanese yards for efficiency and cost. Historically the Japanese are *VERY* good at exporting build expertise, just historically not in ship building. Toyota/Mitsubishi/Nissan etc are famous for running/operating plants all over the globe. Kanban, kaizen, 5S and the whole lean manufacturing movement came out of Japan. I would rather henderson be a fully utilised and efficient yard, than 3 slow building yard lines. But then again, I am not sure if CIVMEC intends to tie itself completely to just building naval ships there.
Osborne should stay focused on larger ships and the submarines. Building bigger and more complex projects but at a slower pace. Something like 6-9 larger surface combatants. Plus 9 SSN.
If civmec wants to take on more civilian work at henderson then there is the opportunity to rejuvenate the old forgacs site at Newcastle, which they already own. It would never be as large as complex as henderson or osborne. But could take on smaller ship builds, possible civilian builds.
If we have no intention of using these sites, they will atrophie, then closed and gone forever never to be re-established. If we intend to use them, we should include plans for them. They are kind of orphaned on the east coast now. But allocating work is a highly political issue now.
Starting projects is hard. Having a system of rolling and evolving will be much less expensive, risky, stressful, hard.
This tends to indicate the Commonwealth buying Civmec and Silver Yachts out for their facilities. Perhaps offering Civmec alternative space and funding for a new civilian construction area in return. Possibly Civmec may be offered a contract for shipbuilding labour (supporting Austal or as a JV partner) and/or construction of the dry dock area (very big contract).
Civmec own the Henderson building, so one would think they have a strong hand to negotiate a good deal for themselves, but I'm sure they can see the writing on the wall as to their involvement in the future (will not be getting another lead ship building contract).
I should note, the below link is the announcement Civmec made when the Government outline of the Henderson facility strategy was released back in October. I will draw attention to a particular quote as below from this link
New Defence Precinct at Henderson - CivmecCivmec is working with the Department of Defence, along with the State and Federal Governments on suitable alternate land options in the immediate vicinity for the establishment of a new State-owned Common User Facilities with the infrastructure and capabilities that can support current and future non-defence industries, activities and projects. This planning work is underpinned by the commitments made in the Cooperation Agreement between the Commonwealth of Australia and the State of Western Australia to deliver and sustain Australia’s future Defence capabilities.
I can't imagine a third shipyard being supported by the Government, as much as I have a soft spot for the old Forgacs yard (I was there for the Manoora/Kanimbla upgrades). Particularly as Austal seems to now have a monopoly on small vessel construction (patrol boats and landing craft) for the foreseeable future.
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