Well that's what happen now ? Mi-17V and even Mi-8 of VKS standard already coming in batches. While whether more Flankers or J-10BCE the lobby still on going. All back to which one that can provide better financing scheme. This lobby for 34th Sq located on Makasar Hasanuddin Air Base, the plan for either more Su-30Mk2 or Su-35 replacing Su-27SK, J-10BCE going to be base in Haluoleo South East Sulawesi. All indicate strong lobby to make Eastern Indonesia Airspace being service by Russia-China-Belarus assets. Still as I mentioned before, on this I still see the potential J-10BCE then more Flankers. Simply on financing package issue.
Well more H225/EC725 and Bell 412 planning still on going. However what come not S-70, but AW149 and AW189. Italian, Turkiye, and France being finance by Euro and Gulf Financial Institution that getting more traction. Where do you think Republikorp and E-System Sollution Indonesia got their financing back up?
That's the most important thing. For any Marketing Lobby to get contract they have to be backed by strong financing packages. This nation from Soekarno era to Prabowo era always depend on financing line when procure large defense assets. So do Geopolitics matter? Off course. Do Logistics interoperatibility matter? Off Course. However what matter mosts is attractive financing packages.
Will IL-78 come to fruition? Depends on what Airbus financing packages can counter offer for more A400M and A330MRTT. How the Russian Marketing Lobby can give attractive packages? Why it is going to be Moscow that provide? When Dubai, Doha or Shanghai can offer better

.
It is financial business anyway. If they can provide financing back up to Turkiye defense item, then why not also give back up to Russia ones? Those market already shown they can provide Russian oil export financing, providing to Russian defense export will not be differ much. As long as the price right.