As an Aussie living in London with a Kiwi girlfriend and a lot of Kiwi friends
I am struck at how divergent Australian and NZ views are becoming on matters of foreign policy and defence (with the possible exception of this forum).
Although I think there may be some lingering NZ "embarrassment" at the unspoken acknowledgement that the RAAF now provides the de facto NZ air defence capability, the average Kiwi also seems to take some pride in explicitly differentiating NZ from Australia. I guess the closest parallel to this I can think of is the US / Canada relationship. This was brought home during the recent election and some of the comments I read on the BBC website's 'Have your say' section. It was clear any thought of returning to the ANZUS fold was largely anathema to the "average" Kiwi. I think NZ is increasingly beginning to define itself independently from reference to Australia or its past US alliance.
I am genuinely interested in this phenomenon, particularly when you consider the extremely close ties Aus. and NZ have traditionally had in defence matters, and two almost identical cultures. A shared martial tradition (e.g. Gallipoli, North Africa, Pacific, Vietnam etc.) has helped to forge each country's view of itself, and of each other. It seems strange now to see them on such divergent courses. I think this is due to more than just a centre-right government being power in Aus and a centre-left govt. in power in NZ, but represents a more fundamental shift.
To come back onto topic, I was keen to see National win power if only to see how they may have re-aligned foreign policy and defence procurement. I think if an air combat capability was to have been re-acquired, the F-16 would have been the most likely choice. Indeed, I think leased F-16s to replace the A-4s was the plan before Labor came to power. I can't really imagine NZ acquiring any more than 12-18 aircraft, although that would still provide a useful capability.
Or, could we have a RNZAF squadron operating within the RAAF - much like RAAF squadrons operated within the RAF during WW2?
This would at least see a sharing of the air defence burden. Though I imagine this will remain politically unpalatable for many years to come.