actually, its pretty apparent he doesn't.you seem to think you know what is going on,
Why do we need 4 training bases? I thought that a unified training facility at Eglin AFB (along with it's reprogramming facility) as supposed to be one of the cost savings measures.70-80 percent of all the increases in the cost to keep the F-35 flying are a consequence of changes in the way the Pentagon tracks and manages the program.
...
Instead of the 33 bases where the original 2002 sustainment estimate said the planes would operate, officials decided 49 was the right number. Instead of a 30-year lifespan, they decided it should be 50 years (without any increase in flight hours, making the whole program intrinsically less efficient). Instead of 253 major items of support equipment, they decided 525 would be needed. They also doubled the number of squadron logistics kits and quadrupled the number of initial training sites. Amazingly enough, estimated sustainment costs went up.
Another thing they decided to do was express long-term sustainment costs in "then-year" dollars, meaning dollars that include inflation. The only problem with that is no one has the foggiest idea what inflation rates are likely to be between now and 2065, the span of time covered by the estimates. So they made them up. Rather than reporting the cost of sustainment in today's dollars -- which would be about $500 billion over 50 years -- they quoted an utterly unprovable price-tag of $1.069 trillion. Needless to say, the latter number increased congressional concerns about affordability.
But the bean-counters didn't stop there. They neglected to mention to Congress in reporting F-35 sustainment costs that the existing fleet of tactical aircraft already costs about 20 percent more to sustain each year than they estimate the F-35 will ($12 billion versus $10.6 billion annually). They also failed to mention how the cost of sustaining the current tactical fleet will escalate using the same counting rules applied to F-35 as cold-war planes grow increasingly decrepit. If that information had been reported, it would have been apparent that the yearly cost of keeping all those ancient fighters flying will be nearly twice the estimated cost of F-35 sustainment by 2020. Follow that same trend-line out 50 years, and the legacy fleet costs four trillion dollars to keep flying, versus barely a quarter of that for F-35.
[Mod Edit: Text Deleted. See below.]actually, its pretty apparent he doesn't.
when the rigour of a response revolves around peurile comments, and when the history of response on the subject is consistently off mark, then others can start coming to their own conclusions about the quality of that commentary.
[Mod Edit: Text Deleted. Continued trolling after warning was issued.] I'll leave others to judge the real merits of what I'm postulating.if he knows so much (and he would have to be working within Defence at a direct or affiliated warfare or comms program, not within a private company) then he knows all the other developments that are and have happened and have not been released into the public domain.
I thought since the USA is not getting their supposed-to-be numbers, then partner nations are not likely to get theirs? Or am I mistaken here?Not sure I understand your point ? What does the US Senate Appropriations committee have to do with Australia Defence Aquisitions ?
bugger all. again, RAAF via the new PD in NACC reiterated 3 weeks ago that the JSF for RAAF was $67maussienscale said:Not sure I understand your point ? What does the US Senate Appropriations committee have to do with Australia Defence Aquisitions ?
If the USA changes the number of F-35s they buy how would this effect other nations? The production schedule has all the partner nations supplied by the mid 2020s with the US orders extending the line out to 2035. So if the US choses to close the line early everyone else would have been supplied well before then.I thought since the USA is not getting their supposed-to-be numbers, then partner nations are not likely to get theirs? Or am I mistaken here?
Depends on whether the USA buys fewer at the same production rate, or (more likely IMO) fewer over much the same period, i.e. at a lower production rate.If the USA changes the number of F-35s they buy how would this effect other nations? The production schedule has all the partner nations supplied by the mid 2020s with the US orders extending the line out to 2035. So if the US choses to close the line early everyone else would have been supplied well before then.
It hasn't got a 30mm gun. That's the only capability A-10 brings to a fight that an F-35 doesn't. OTOH, F-35 brings a lot to a fight that an A-10 never will.Sabre described the general consumption information that I've been exposed to. As far as replacing the A-10 Thunderbolt. I'm not convinced.
The man is a dinosaur - he stopped being objective after GW1/GW2 and is consumed by his own self importance.It seems Bill Sweetman has been offended by someone giving his opinion
The F-35 is not the same aircraft as the A-10, no. Does that mean it's incapable of the CAS mission? No, it doesn't. CAS isn't necessarily about going as low and slow as you can with a great big cannon designed for killing Cold War-era main battle tanks. There's other ways to achieve the desired effects. Have a look around for information on the use of the B-1, for example, for close air support in Afghanistan, you might be surprised at what you read.The A-10 is literally built around its 30-mm GE GAU-8 Avenger seven barrel cannon, the most powerful gun ever fitted to an aircraft of this class. It was designed for high-survivability with a titanium cover surrounding both the cockpit, ammunition and fuel tank. Placement of the engines decreases the infrared signature lowering it's vulnerablity to heatseeking missiles and ground fire.
I'm a big fan of this cannon. The A-10 will be replaced by attack helicopters. The F-35 will never do the intimate work that getting up close offers. Modern warfare is often waged in populated areas.
For all its armor and redundancy, the A-10 paid a heavy price in the skies over Iraq when first employed. That armor is intended to protect against up to 23mm fire only and there are a lot of larger caliber weapons around. All sorts of SAMs will blow it out of the sky if it gets within range, w/c is a likely outcome if it insists on loitering at relatively low altitude and speeds,The F-35 is not the same aircraft as the A-10, no. Does that mean it's incapable of the CAS mission? No, it doesn't. CAS isn't necessarily about going as low and slow as you can with a great big cannon designed for killing Cold War-era main battle tanks. There's other ways to achieve the desired effects. Have a look around for information on the use of the B-1, for example, for close air support in Afghanistan, you might be surprised at what you read.
Agreed, which is why I don't really understand the common insistence that the F-35, or any other proposed capability for that matter, could possibly replace the A-10 for CAS. Granted it doesn't do things in the same way but thinking the A-10 occupies some sacred space simply by virtue of its design rather than looking at CAS as a requirement to be filled seems a bit off the mark to me...For all its armor and redundancy, the A-10 paid a heavy price in the skies over Iraq when first employed. That armor is intended to protect against up to 23mm fire only and there are a lot of larger caliber weapons around. All sorts of SAMs will blow it out of the sky if it gets within range, w/c is a likely outcome if it insists on loitering at relatively low altitude and speeds,
What's he complaining about? seriously, he should be flattered people care enough to respond to what he prints.It seems Bill Sweetman has been offended by someone giving his opinion
"Since you have taken it upon yourself to attack my reporting competence, I’m taking the liberty of putting a question to you."
Message to the Readers of the Forum from the Editor - SLD Forum | SLD Forum
Even Under Secretary Mr Work, brought into question Bill's articles
Under Secretary Work Comments on His Own Tac Air Memo - SLD Forum | SLD Forum