Hang on, if a strike package has just penetrated your IADS and hit a C4I node, and taken 20% casualties to do so (very high casualty rate), look at the disparity in effect. The attacker has lost ~2 platforms. The defender has just lost his ability to communicate with his advanced formations just as a large offensive has been launched against him. Who has lost more? Do that 10 times and the attacker has lost 20 platforms, and if they are a comparable power to the AWAC's, fighter & S-300 equipped IADS defender they have 100+ platforms with comparable or better ISR capability (because they didn't spend all of their pennies on a defense centric IADS). They've taken 20% casualties, the defender's entire system (not just the IADS) can no longer function intelligently at a theater level. What that means is his formations in the field will be out-maneuvered, out-fought and slaughtered.
We are comparing different things. I'm comparing two countries with ~equal capabilities across the spectrum, but one has a modern networked IADS and the other one doesn't. You're again comparing a country with an air force vs. a country with SAMs. Two different things. My whole point was that SAM's offered a critical advantage and could effectively create problems for the attacker by simply being there. They would also give a critical advantage to the defending air force.
I believe you said 8 batteries, 3~4 batteries per battalion thats ~2 battalions.
From my knowledge the S-300 works like this 1 battalion = 1 TEL with missiles +radars +logistics infrastructure+crews. 1 regiment is two battalions. Purchasing 8 systems = 8 battalions, 4 regiments.
Thats the difference between tactical effects and strategic effects. On a tactical level it might do some good, but by that point you've lost on a strategic level i.e. your C4I infrastructure is toast. The point isn't to do your best, its to win, and by that point you've lost.
Again you seem to be comparing a scenario where SAM's are supposed to be a miracle cure, where you accept by fiat that the defenders air force has already lost. I'm looking at a scenario where the defenders air force engages the strike group at the same time as the IADS. The IADS is not something separate from the air force. They are part of the same network meant to control the air space. And in that regard even minor tactical networking between front line air superiority fighters and tac-SAMs is significant because it allows you to push your umbrella of airspace control outward as your forces advance.
I'm operating on the assumption that if you've invested that heavily in your IADS you are either at a competitive disadvantage in the air or your defense centric anyway. Look at the US, how dense is their IADS? How many PATRIOT batteries are operational night now in CONUS? You know why inferior powers have superior IADS, because the US have invested heavily in offensive capability.
That doesn't contradict my main point, which is that an IADS can be an effective way to protect your ground forces from enemy air. I'm not working on the assumption that your own airforce is worthless and SAMs are your only hope. I'm talking about a situation where your own air force can still contest the air. In addition you have SAMs (being the defender). The attacker does not. Your constant attempts to differentiate between an defenders airforce and IADS are really strange to me, when they are one and the same. An AD network that includes all of their fighters, AWACS, SAMs, radars, and C3. One network with multiple redundant nodes and mobility to cover for any immediate losses.
There is a major point your missing, and its what i meant by a dis-jointed view of modern warfare. Its not air force vs IADS, its entire war-fighting system vs entire war-fighting system. Even if mobile AD command posts take up some of the slack (which would be easy pray considering their EM footprint), you have impaired the whole war-fighting system at the head. That will have strategic effects i.e. on every other aspect of the conflict. The loss of 15% of the attackers AF order of battle (huge, worst case losses) will have moderate tactical effects in this type of scenario, at best.
I absolutely agree. Lets look at the systems as a whole. Why are you differentiating between the air force and the IADS when they are one and the same?
No, not on their own, unless your other military arms aggressively win the conflict.
I'm not saying SAM's are sh%t and anyone who buys them are idiots, that would mean the majority of the planets armed forces. I'm saying that the money is much better invested in assets that will actually win you air superiority over the other guy. IADS like all other forms of defensive fortifications do not constitute a war-fighting strategy on their own.
So we're both saying the same thing.... we just don't see it that way......
Again this is a defense centric view. What should be limiting the opponents air forces freedom of action should be your air force hitting their C4I & logistical infrastructure and destroying them on the ground or over their airfields. Same with every other parameter. Sure some sort of GBAD is needed, even for an air power as capable as the US. But GBAD should only be intended to handle leaker's that survived your fighters & strikers.
Why not both? Constrict enemy freedom of air operations via SAMs coverage, and then using the SAM/AD fighters umbrella to cover your rear strike at their C4I and infrastructure.
Again, usually nations that invest heavily in the biggest, baddest, scariest IADS are usually at a competitive disadvantage in the air, and they usually loose. Look at the Israeli's, outnumbered and surrounded by hostile states did they invest heavily in defensive AD systems? No, they made sure they had the assets, people and tactical doctrine needed to take the initiative when the time came. It was their numerically superior enemies who invested heavily in GBAD, and it was their numerically superior enemies who lost.
Their numerically superior enemies lost because they invested in SAMs to the detriment of their air force. This is not what I am advocating.