Venezuela is buying 9 SSKs !

contedicavour

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i believe that the chinese would be very keen to provide their yuan class of submarines on a lease -purchase agreement with transfer of crew and trainers,this would give them a virtual access to the us backyard and will give usa a really big headache .
It is my understanding that procurement is only open to Lada/Amur, U212/214 and Scorpene (or the S80 evolved from it). Though it could change if Germany, France and Spain refrain from selling for political reasons and Venezuela wants to bring some competition into a procurement that would be limited to the Russian shipyards.
To what extent is the PLAN navy satisfied with Yuan (vs improved Kilo for instance) ?

cheers
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
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i believe that the chinese would be very keen to provide their yuan class of submarines on a lease -purchase agreement with transfer of crew and trainers,this would give them a virtual access to the us backyard and will give usa a really big headache .

they weren't even on the shortlist.
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
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  • there are more than a few ex Russian submariners who would love to be paid decently to train potential Venezuelan Amur SSKs ... remember who flew the Flankers in Angola, Ethiopia, Eritrea ... ? This should not be underestimated.
how so? russian seatime in the last 18 years has been tragic. they're losing 22-26 submarines per year, they can't stay current unless they're at sea. the sailors who are demobbed have almost no relevant skills with modern digital subs. the russians have been unloading their most unskilled for the last 15 years. they're keeping their best ones employed.

venezuelan oil money won't buy the right russian skillsets.
 

Gladius

New Member
It is my understanding that procurement is only open to Lada/Amur, U212/214 and Scorpene (or the S80 evolved from it).
I agree with conte, but the S-80 is already discarded, a great part of the systems of the submarine are German, Italian & US patented, so...

contedicavour said:
Though it could change if Germany, France and Spain refrain from selling for political reasons and Venezuela wants to bring some competition into a procurement that would be limited to the Russian shipyards.
The question will be if the French Government would approve a deal for the Scorpene finally. Zapatero is a "friend" of the Chavez Government, he blessed the contract for 8 OPVs signed by the Chavez regime with Navantia the last year. So, no predicted problems by the Spanish side to any deal with Venezuela.
 

tphuang

Super Moderator
i believe that the chinese would be very keen to provide their yuan class of submarines on a lease -purchase agreement with transfer of crew and trainers,this would give them a virtual access to the us backyard and will give usa a really big headache .
hmm, China never exports its latest stuff. And in the case of Yuan, I'm not convinced that it has achieved IOC. So, I would think the maximum that are offered to Venezeulans would be a 039G.
 

falconlover81

New Member
Hi guys all of you brought up some very good points but the bottomline is something is better than nothing.Chavez is trying to prove a point to the US first the SU-27'S,then right after winning his election he declared to convert venezuela into a socialistic state and now this 9 SSK's.So i personally think he will be going for the armur and who knows he might get a discount from the russians;)
 

tatra

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Verified Defense Pro
> the USN currently doesn't allocate anything serious to the Caribbean (which makes sense, today's there's no threat). If the last carrier (Kennedy right ?) leaves Florida, there will be a couple of Burke and a few (NRF ?) OHPs left to patrol the areas. If the 9 Venezuelan SSKs materialize, the USN will have to deploy permanently half a dozen dedicated ASW FFGs and at least 3-5 SSNs to the area. Why so many ? Because if Venezuela spreads out its SSKs over the entire Caribbean Gulf, that will require quite a lot of assets to chase them. The USN would destroy them for sure, but how much damage would the SSKs have done before the SSNs kill them ??
You are assuming only US assets would be involved. If Venezuela spreads its 9 future SSKs across the Carib, surely a few more NATO countries than just the US would provide combat resources in view of their national interests e.g. Netherlands (Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, other Netherlands Antilles isles), France (Guadeloupe, Martinique, French Guiana), UK (Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Montserrat etc). Also, lets not discount other South American countries and navies, e.g Brazil. Netherlands, France and Brazil do have some efficient SSKs.
 

Chrom

New Member
why not? a couple of pertinent reality sound bites.

  • USS Parche regularly entered Soviet Northern Waters in virtually keel scraping mode to harvest off Soviet sea bed cables. Parches replacement is an order of magnitude better in capability.
    .


  • Hmm, dont see anything here what proves how USS Parche was stealthy or not. I mean, if USS Parche would regulary enter in SU territorial waters it would be one thing, but just entering "economical zone" or even international waters near SU is a whole another matter. There is zero risk in that. Moreover, SU submarines regulary sailed for example near Cuba - and again, that doesnt tell anything about capability of US ASW defence either. There was no war after all.
 

rabs

New Member
US subs regularly tailed Soviet boomers, undetected.

When it came to sub warfare the Russians relied on quanity not quality
 

DarthAmerica

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Hi guys all of you brought up some very good points but the bottomline is something is better than nothing.Chavez is trying to prove a point to the US first the SU-27'S,then right after winning his election he declared to convert venezuela into a socialistic state and now this 9 SSK's.So i personally think he will be going for the armur and who knows he might get a discount from the russians;)


It's a potential threat in the not too distant future. But it's a threat the USA is prepared to deal with if necessary. New and coming soon persistent ISR capabilities will enable the DoD to keep an eye on the Subs as they get more proficient. Some of those means can also kill if and when necessary. Another thing to consider is that the United States is developing the ability to rapidly strike targets like this. Subs in port, logistics support, crew barracks/quarters and bases in general.

These subs still suffer the limitations of conventional propulsion and wouldn't survive long with their infrastructure taken out.

Dangerous? Yes.

Game Changer? No.

DA
 

Chrom

New Member
US subs regularly tailed Soviet boomers, undetected.

When it came to sub warfare the Russians relied on quanity not quality
Too much assumtions here. Russians also claim they SSN and SSK's regulary follow US CVBG's and SSBN's undetected. And? Besides, russian submarines had much higher degree of automatisation than western subs. So much for quantity... This is just common western propaganda myth, nothing more. And any self-respecting man shouldn't fall to such cheap prejudice.
 

Tasman

Ship Watcher
Verified Defense Pro
US subs regularly tailed Soviet boomers, undetected.

When it came to sub warfare the Russians relied on quanity not quality
Hmmm... this sounds very like what was said about Japanese aircraft and pilots before 7 December 1941! Allied pilots confronting Zero fighters, flown by superb naval pilots, soon changed there mind when the real fighting started. :D
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
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Hmm, dont see anything here what proves how USS Parche was stealthy or not. I mean, if USS Parche would regulary enter in SU territorial waters it would be one thing, but just entering "economical zone" or even international waters near SU is a whole another matter. There is zero risk in that. Moreover, SU submarines regulary sailed for example near Cuba - and again, that doesnt tell anything about capability of US ASW defence either. There was no war after all.
I'd suggest that you'd know as well as I do that Parche was not harvesting in an EEZ - she was getting up close and personal on double digit mission counts - and right into northern fleet command areas where she successfully spliced into NF comms seabed cables. Her primary mission was collection - you don't collect in an EEZ. Parche was not the only asset doing this, RN and RAN subs were doing similar ops in the East - and these missions have only been vaguely presented under the 30 year release rule - but specifics are still classified.

As for not being a war? at any stage right up until 1989, both sides were ready to sink any assets that were deemed a threat - especially both sides submarines. It wasn't a hot war, but submarines are the only assets which were fundamentally unleashed and at the highest release stage.

Where Parche entered soviet waters was regarded as one of the most heavily sensored up maritime security sites owned by the soviet union.

perhaps you should read about some soviet and russian sub commanders views of the period (Red Tide Rising would be a good place to start as it is based soley on Soviet/Russian submariners and Fleet Commanders views)
 

Tasman

Ship Watcher
Verified Defense Pro
perhaps you should read about some soviet and russian sub commanders views of the period (Red Tide Rising would be a good place to start as it is based soley on Soviet/Russian submariners and Fleet Commanders views)
G'day gf

Can you give a few more details re this (ie publisher). It looks like an interesting read.

Cheers
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
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G'day gf

Can you give a few more details re this (ie publisher). It looks like an interesting read.

Cheers
I'll have to rummage around in the U Stow It as I packed up my miltech/milhistory library on my last shift from interstate.

another good book is by an ex US Submariner named Kams. (can't recall the book title, he was in the sub that was Parches predecessor)

One of the unfortunate things that about some of these missions are that they are still detail restricted (eg RAN Oberons off of Vladivostok), but I've been to a few UDT events where technology comparisons and capability comparisons on some current gear is benchmarked against some of the cold war capability.

btw I'm not trivialising russian sub capability at all, they had some of the best drivers and crews in the world - and the russians have always been at the forefront of implementing left of field tech in their designs.

in all of the soviet forces, I regard them personally as the creme of the crop.
 

Chrom

New Member
I'd suggest that you'd know as well as I do that Parche was not harvesting in an EEZ - she was getting up close and personal on double digit mission counts - and right into northern fleet command areas where she successfully spliced into NF comms seabed cables. Her primary mission was collection - you don't collect in an EEZ. Parche was not the only asset doing this, RN and RAN subs were doing similar ops in the East - and these missions have only been vaguely presented under the 30 year release rule - but specifics are still classified.

As for not being a war? at any stage right up until 1989, both sides were ready to sink any assets that were deemed a threat - especially both sides submarines. It wasn't a hot war, but submarines are the only assets which were fundamentally unleashed and at the highest release stage.

Where Parche entered soviet waters was regarded as one of the most heavily sensored up maritime security sites owned by the soviet union.

perhaps you should read about some soviet and russian sub commanders views of the period (Red Tide Rising would be a good place to start as it is based soley on Soviet/Russian submariners and Fleet Commanders views)
Man, again, russian submarines claim doing the very same regarding USA bases. And???? What should that prove???
P.S. No side would even ATTEMPT to hurt anything outside its territorial waters. Thats it, 20 km from the coast.
P.P.S. The recent incedent about chinese sub appearence near US carrier... or Iranian UAV overflying US carrier... what these incedents should prove in peace time? Well, exactly NOTHING!
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Man, again, russian submarines claim doing the very same regarding USA bases. And???? What should that prove???
That they were good at their job? :rolleyes:


P.S. No side would even ATTEMPT to hurt anything outside its territorial waters. Thats it, 20 km from the coast.
Rubbish. 1 example. All 5 soviet sub drivers explicitly stated that they had orders to fire and engage without direction during the cuban crisis. All 5 of the subs had one nuclear torpedo each. All 5 admitted that they were unsure of the outcome and would have loosed if no options were left. Conversely all ASW groups tasked to follow those subs (which they tracked from their bases) were given permission to sink those subs if they deemed they about to perform a hostile act. That wasn't unsual. Are you suggesting that the then Soviet Northern Fleet commander lied to Polmar just to give a good story?

Example 2. In 1988 a Soviet sub that was caught up near the great australian bight and was deemed a threat was in no uncertain terms advised to shift or be a target for a RAAF Orion.

Example 3. 20km? What about the swedes? (within 5km of their coast)

Example 4. Ever counted how many USAAF, USAF and USN comms aircraft were shot down by the Soviets, Chinese and North Koreans? Some 30+ aircraft were shot down since the end of WW2 to 1989. Geez, you don;t even know what your own side did and you want to argue about submarine incidents? :eek:nfloorl:

P.P.S. The recent incedent about chinese sub appearence near US carrier... or Iranian UAV overflying US carrier... what these incedents should prove in peace time? Well, exactly NOTHING!
Is there a cold war on now? :eek:nfloorl: Was the Soviet Union ever in an incestuous capital relationship with the US like China is?

Is Iran a clear and present threat via a UAV that can't carry anything heavier than an exenon bulbed miners search light?

whats the relevance of the two above examples. Nothing. Nada, Zip.

If you think that the cold war was never active and latently hot (esp at the maritime level) then you are seriously delusional.
 

Chrom

New Member
That they were good at their job? :rolleyes:




Rubbish. 1 example. All 5 soviet sub drivers explicitly stated that they had orders to fire and engage without direction during the cuban crisis. All 5 of the subs had one nuclear torpedo each. All 5 admitted that they were unsure of the outcome and would have loosed if no options were left. Conversely all ASW groups tasked to follow those subs (which they tracked from their bases) were given permission to sink those subs if they deemed they about to perform a hostile act. That wasn't unsual. Are you suggesting that the then Soviet Northern Fleet commander lied to Polmar just to give a good story?
During Cuban crisis! Got it?? How many days that crisis lasted? 10?
Example 2. In 1988 a Soviet sub that was caught up near the great australian bight and was deemed a threat was in no uncertain terms advised to shift or be a target for a RAAF Orion.
Yes, advised. And not pif-paf right away. I'm almost 100% sure russian sub would leave its place anyway. And i'm 100% sure that was not the first (and not last) time these subs sailed that place.
Example 3. 20km? What about the swedes? (within 5km of their coast)
That exactly what i meant. Inside they territorrial waters swedes could even attack unindetified sub - if they sure its not friendly of course. But how many times any big SSBN subs entered hostile territorial waters? I'm sure in very, very rare occasions.
Example 4. Ever counted how many USAAF, USAF and USN comms aircraft were shot down by the Soviets, Chinese and North Koreans? Some 30+ aircraft were shot down since the end of WW2 to 1989. Geez, you don;t even know what your own side did and you want to argue about submarine incidents? :eek:nfloorl:
IN THEY SOVEREIGN SPACE. Not somewhere over Indian Ocean.


Is there a cold war on now? :eek:nfloorl: Was the Soviet Union ever in an incestuous capital relationship with the US like China is?

Is Iran a clear and present threat via a UAV that can't carry anything heavier than an exenon bulbed miners search light?
Again, even during Cold War noone would attack anything outside 20km territorial waters. And for the note, what should US do with that Iranian UAV? Shot it down? For what? Such behaviour can be considered only as "gangster" behaviour. Not what USA dont behave as one often, just not every time...
Of course, you can warn unfriendly submarine to leave the place due, ugh, planned anti-submarine torpedo test on exactly that point. But you wouldnt fire it right away without a warning, or you may find your own submarine or aircraft a victim of such "test" from affected country. Nobody wants a hot war started.
whats the relevance of the two above examples. Nothing. Nada, Zip.
You said it yourself.
 
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