we keep getting back to politics but is anyone else amazed that the Liberal primary is dropping in Victoria of all places. After the all the vic state gov issues from COVID lockdowns falsely claimed to be on medical advice, all the scandals, through to the massive debt being run up …I’m amazed by this.
Potentially the loss in ALP primary vote was artificially high as a reaction to inflation. If you look back in history, when it hits you end up with one term governments from a public frustrated and a government unable to spend their way out of it. Between that and maybe the fallout of the referendum, there was a lot of focus on the ALP and the PM (beta-male etc). Since late February this has changed with an increased focus on the Coalition as a preferred govt as the polls told us a change was possible.
As a Victorian I'm well aware I live in the most socially progressive state in Australia, and I would contest that in this state there is a perception that the LP/LNP has moved too far to the right and needs to shift to win back the seats lost here to the teals. The 11% sounds likely as Victorians turned the focus to the potential PM, and didn't like what they really saw.
I'm not saying I like it one way or another but that is my gut feel. The election was lost when it was called as a trend was on and there isn't much harder then swimming upstream/ or pi$$ing into the wind- use your own terminology but hopefully you get my point.
Now please msg me if you want to discuss and I'm contradicting my own previous post regarding the merits of energy policy vs this discussion of politics.