Ananda
The Bunker Group
I'm no military man or defense expert, but even I can see that Russian speed is not stuck as Western media put it. I just finish meeting with my company regional meeting. Even our analysts in Western market call western media and some politicians delusional.They've already cut off and encircled two smaller groupings at Mariupol' and Volnovakha. If they close from Izyum to Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk area, there will be a pocket that dwarfs Debatl'tsevo or Ilovaysk.
Our market analyst also put doubt on Western Media talking, as they also watch the whole development in the ground. They come same conclusion that I have put before (as I got it from them also), Russia want the whole East and South. They want Ukraine cut off from the sea. That's what one Russian main goal. They have to control the whole Ukraine shores to secure them from potential usage by West in future.
Our Analysts even think that Russia seems glad that Western media bring West to fixiated with Kyiv. Perhaps that's even their design, give West ilusion that Russian forces stuck, when they are progressing in other front on reasonable speed.
Look at the south, they are going to encircle Odessa. When that happen, it just matter of time for Odessa to fall, and Ukraine losses the last big port, thus the wholle their coasts. After that, what position that Zelensky can negotiate?
Point our Analyst point out, perhaps Putin underestimate Ukraine fighthing resolve, on early days of invasion. However West now also underestimate Russia. They (Russia) seems managed to give West pictures that their forces progress stuck, when looking bigger fronts in Ukraine, they are not.
So, we don't know whose playing who right now.
Add:
This just my personal opinion, as non military man. Just looking more on strategic economic value. If I was in charge of Ukraine, I will put everything I have to defend Odessa. In my opinion Odessa is the last big card Ukraine has, not Kyiv or Kharkiv.
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