None of this makes sense.
One - the OPV has a mission and a design. Up-gunning it will cost money, time and capability. Changing it now will also delay its time into service. The Arafura's are needed now before the Armidale's run out of life.
Two - there has been considerable investigation into the MCM capability, starting with an increase priority/focus on it. An enormous amount of work has gone into ensuring that the balance between Arafura and MCM is met to ensure the best combination of compatibility and capability. Any other design will (a) reduce this, costing money and capability in the long run and (b) be delayed. Of all our fleets, the MCM is probably #1 or #2 that cannot be delayed.
Three - we need better MCM x years ago. Delaying them is unacceptable to the Army and the Navy...
Four - any new design, MCM or not, isn't going to be designed and accepted in a time period less than any Hunter delay. In a peacetime setting, two years to introduce into service a new platform? With all the training, sustainment and engineering approvals?
Five - building a CV or LHD in that time?...
Six - where is the money coming from? Every idea on this page costs hundreds of millions of dollars. What are we cutting? We just did a FSP - I can assure you there isn't bucketloads of $$ just hanging around not allocated.
Seven - where is the workforce coming from? I can tell you right now there are kids just in school who haven't given any thought to the Navy that will join in 2032; and their jobs are already allocated. Like $$, there isn't just a bunch of white uniforms sitting around doing nothing (well...**) and it's unlikely there are additional people in civvy street that can be recruited.
Assuming the Hunter's are actually delayed (and this isn't another misreading or made up fact), beyond these immediate issues, these are all a kit solution to something that is not a kit problem. A better question lies in asking why they are delayed. How is it that decades after Anzac and Collins started, despite all the claimed positives of a continuous shipbuilding program, despite all the money, we still can't design and build a ship on time? As someone who has strongly argued for domestic industry across Army, Navy and the Joint world, it's damn hard to make the arguments when mickey mouse shit keeps happening. There is obviously an issue somewhere, and judging by its persistence it's a cultural issue. Which will be hard to fix. But I'd rather spend the $$ and time on fixing that then a random, short-term kit fix
Thanks Takao
One - Run the 12 x Arafura Class OPV's as is with no alterations, including "up gunning ."
Two - Didn't mention MCM because it is already in hand as a capability and priority.
As stated on the Navy website " The OPV design will support specialist mission packages, such as a maritime tactical unmanned aerial system, and into the future, rapid environmental assessment and deployable mine counter measure capabilities. "
The expense will be in the modular systems the OPV,s will carry. This is in other projects and are already budgeted for into the future.
Another variable is the unknown of the Strategic review announcement that up to eight additional vessels ( Potentially based on the Arafura Class ) will be acquired. This is the mystery bit............ will they be exactly the same, or be of a different design, or in fact maybe the same design but with fixed integrated MCM systems? Wait and see?
This is the part of the opportunity of having two classes of vessel and how we balance that mix.
Three - Agree, we have had a six vessel fleet for many decades from the current Huon class back to the older Ton class although not all ships have been in service for the life of the vessel.
With four active today and the governments announcement this force is to be "", then this clearly suggests the importance of this realm both today and into the future. I am an advocate for a increased MCM capability.
Four. - MCM is a developing art globally . Sailing the vessel into the danger zone is currently not the approach. Some unknowns here as both vessels and the systems they carry evolve. Suggest some existing MCM remote systems are acquired in greater numbers now and we monitor what works for us and build upon and acquire newer systems accordingly.
Five - The need for two Amphibious / Supply ships is already stated and will be budgeted for both for the vessels and those that crew them.
The LHD is still the fantasy stuff because it wasn't ordered originally, even though some in the Navy asked for it back in the day of original purchase .
I think it was the defence Minister who stated they" were out of control" or something to that affect.
With the two LHD's currently in service providing such amazingly good service over such a broad rage of activities its hard to think of another capability across the ADF that provides better service to defence and government.
As to time table ,Navantia Spain could easily build all three within the decade. Our two Supply Class ships will have been laid down and delivered within some six years...........Don't see a problem.
Six - Spend more or make difficult choices. If its the later, we will get much more national benefit from an additional LHD with crew and flying things than a couple of Attack Class Submarines.
Yes I understand all the consequences of that statement both for the platform and consequences to the production program.
And yes buying complicated defence kit is not like going to the shop and choosing one item over the other but the submarine program is where I'd rob Peter to pay Paul.
Seven - the ADF has to be a competitive and smart employer both now and into the future. Stating the obvious maybe!
Suggest a look at smaller high tech nations like Singapore maybe the way forward. This needs to happen across all of defence. I can see the increasing use of automation being key to answer much of the challenges. While not a substitute for all roles it will mirror the civilian work place where cost and efficiencies will constantly be sort..........there will always be a place for boots on the ground but Navy in particular with it's many technical systems is well place to take advantage in this area to enable vessels to operate with less crew.........................It will be a balance of many trade offs in ship numbers / efficiency / and out comes, but trust never in crew safety.
Ideally the 12 Arafuras will provide their existing job set including MCM with the six to eight additional MCM ships being of a larger class re directed in purpose with the kit I proposed to have an emphasis on ASW.
Keep building the remaining 10 in WA and a couple of additional OPVs in SA depending on the Hunter Class build schedule.
Keep both classes with like machinery and systems. Commonality is import for both cost, maintenance and training. Two sized vessels being constructed in an overlapping build. When design work is complete on the ASW OPV then some of these could be slotted in earlier within the existing build schedule......................After all they can still perform the constabulary stuff that is mooted to be needed now but be a higher end asset ready to support the majors in the late 2020's which is really what this conversation is about.
It's really just about adding some modest extra capability to only some of the ships we are already going to build.
This is not big dollars yet delivers a great out come for money spent.
The extra LHD however would be the icing on the cake.
Cheers
Regards S