Maybe for your health it's time that you migrated to Australia before you're reported to the Mounties as a being treasonous CanuckGet the RCN personnel mailing list, should have no trouble getting recruits considering we can’t get ships built for the RCN.
Thanks again for the detailed post.Crewing and issues for the RAN
For crewing. The Crew would come from Choules. The RAN fully crews Choules with 160+ crew, verse the 60 odd the RN crewed her with.
160 isnt enough to crew the LHD. But it is probably more than half of the crew needed, and would be the core officers and sailors. The Army land craft crews don't get much time at sea currently, so could be embarked on new LHD. Crews from the Paid off LCH's exist in the system and could be made avalible. A Canberra class requires about 290 RAN crew. So we could probably get near that figure with what is around. It is quite possible additional sailors would be required, but we are probably talking <100, and probably <50. There would also be some efficiency with 3 LHD of the same type in terms of manning, and sustaining the crew for 3 ships of the same type.
RAAF would come from those proposed for the 4th squadron the RAAF has been harping on about, which I assume would be acquired to replace the Super Hornets. Now if we wanted to move this time frame earlier, we could probably find a someone to take on the Superhornets (Canada? Spain? Malaysia? etc) if that is what we wanted to do. However, not essential.
I would be tempted to move the time frames a bit earlier. I think you could probably get a better deal on a 3rd AOR and a 3rd LHD and probably be within or around that budget. Spain is falling apart, Navantia has its own issues, it would love to secure future work and deal like that would be again a huge boost for them. I'm not sure in another 5 years the work force/company will be as capable and ready as it is now.
But it would be a huge leap in capability and the ability to project and operate over tremendous distances.
We would be one of the very few countries with 3 fixed wing carriers/LHD's. Not only that we have the other enablers to really make use of that including an amphibious force, the ability to supply that force at global distances. With three of these ships you can really take advantage of the multirole aspect, as you now have enough to train and develop each capability.
Air operations
I really see land based aircraft like the Wedgetails, P8's and A330 MRTT still playing vital roles with a LHD in carrier mode. These are all long ranged aircraft. The A330 for example has a range of around 15,000 km, so the idea that it is tied to coastal regions isn't exactly accurate. Wedgetails and P8's can be refueled by the A330. Trying to embark a AEW, ASW and refueling capability all on a LHD is I think, as mistake. Even the US struggles to perform all of those missions organically from the same super carrier and usually relies on land base support.
We have a network of bases these can operate from. The Wedgetails and P8's can operate from many island airports around the region (places like Christmas Island, Manus etc). While the A330 has the legs to make it from any major airport across the region (Darwin, Singapore, Butterworth, Guam etc) perform their mission and return.
However supporting land based fighter jets at this sort of range is impossible. Limited by their short range and long runway requirement. Even getting them to these far flung bases the 737's can operate from would be high problematic (as their escorting tanker couldn't land or take off). Flight hours for fighters would go through the roof and you would run out of pilots and operational planes sustaining it in any form. You would be highly exposed in your supply lines and a simple malfunction would result in air frames and possibly pilots being lost.
Choules
Choules is ideal as a pacific mother-ship, with its capability, communication, amphibious and air, low crewing requirements, ability to embark larger numbers. Looking after a region from Timor, down to the northern Antarctic islands. Policing missions, health, and disaster relief for the region could all be facilitated from this type of ship. Able to bring those kind of support without imposing Australian bases and presences on these smaller states. While still available for the Aus.Gov to assist or deploy in any priority it saw fit.
While Choules would have to have significant availability, when not available it is the sort of role that might be given to the new Icebreaker during the winter season. Of course underlining this is the ADF herself, which now with 3 LHD's, provides the sort of creditibility to be able to handle even improbably situations.
On a new build JC1.
I wonder if we built a new LHD if we would look at changing over to MT30 generation from the LM2500. As I recall the JC1 engine spaces are pretty cavernous. If successful we could roll this back into the existing ships on refit. This would provide significant improvement in power generation and eventual work towards a common fleet turbine. Mt30 very low maintenance would also be ideal for long deployment cycles of something like a LHD. That and a more modern/advanced radar (CEAFAR?) would probably be the only major changes if we went back for a third time. Of course there isn't anything really wrong with the LM2500 or the existing sea giraffe setup on the LHD now. It appears Turkey went for an all diesel propulsion on their version.
I also wonder if we would go with a local fitout and island again. This could be done in Adelaide or Perth and actually assist with developing and retaining the workforce. It would still be a significant local build if that was important.
When originally selected people did question the LHD selection. However, I don't hear that sort of talk now. The public is clearly proud of these ships and their capabilities, as our those nations in the region. Indonesia, Philippines, Fiji, PNG, Singapore (etc) have all directly expressed their positive views to these types of ships being operated by Australia. We are filling a void most nations do not want filled by either the US or China. Most nations would not realistically be able to operate that sort of capability, and certainly not in two or three ships. As they are key power projectors, they have enable Australia to project beyond its immediate region, which seems to be welcomed, as we can look towards and meaningfully contribute to issues concerning nations on the outer-side of the Indo-Asia-Pacific.
Agree it may well be in the mix.@Stampede
One worth a look at is the new US Army Maneuver Support Vessel (Light). which is rated to move Abrams M1A2 (hopefully at combat weight) we could take advantage of a hot production line under FMS
Army awards billion-dollar contract for 100-foot landing ships
I wasn’t aware of the design of the MSL V others may be so to satisfy my idle curiosity I went digging.I don't think the LCAC type links will ever fit into the RAN, you are talking V-22 operating costs (and logistics) per hour. In our region, there are just more options for landings than trying to support links like that. It can't operate far from its mothership or do it for a period of time.
I would imagine once Land 400 is finalized they will have another look at landing craft. I think this is partly why the LCH weren't replaced when they decom. The MSV(l) an carry two bradleys , so I would imagine they should be able to carry two Land 400 heavies.
An additional LHD would have all the HADR, amphibious and aviation capability of the existing LHD's, which is to say they are the most capable platforms in the fleet. But as part of this, the crewing would come from re-purposing Choules, which would actually free the LHD's up more so for additional capabilities. By moving Choules along, the government would then have a platform to enable its other pacific nation building initiatives and would focus on a civilian role for that ship with a civilian crew.I have a few questions concerning the past few posts;
- How would the ADF and the government adopt the 'carrier' to the specified role of HADR and other goodwill based missions?
- Would the well deck be utilized to achieve this outcome; or am I misunderstanding the implied spending of $2 billion in the thread?
The ship wouldn't have to be armed any different from the existing LHD's. Although the LHD's could be armed with ESSM/RAM/phalanx if we wanted to. The idea is they would be at the centre of a group protected by AWD's and hunters which are quite capable ships.- Would the self-defence of the ship need to be enhanced to include ESSM, RAM or other short ranged air defence measures?
- The manning of this ship's Air Arm could easily be supplemented by the USMC and other allied navy's (F-35B operators) so that is likely a null issue.
- Without meaning to stir up any laughter, would a modified America Class ship be better suited to this role if the crew demanded could be reduced (450~ max)?
Does anyone have enough of anything for a war? The RAN has a meaningful amount. In combination with P8's, subs and other capabilities, it is suitable for our current readiness and threats. With a third LHD you could also look towards putting something together for a ASW taskforce, like how japan does it. That would be additional money if you wanted to go and fully stock that capability, but you might be able to train for it with allies, and evaluate if it is something we want to acquire, or just train with allies for. The key platform would at least be available and exist.- As to ASW, the number of Romeos in the RAN concerns me due to the high requirement for these birds in a likely war scenario. Should the RAN also pursue increasing the numbers to around 35? Allowing for 4 deployable on each LHD (12, assuming a third LHD is purchased), 20 to be spread between MSC's and 3 for training and AOR stationing; which would total 35 assuming that the birds can be rotated between ships, workups, maintenance and standby. (Could someone please shed some light into whether or not the RAN has enough Romeo's for a potential conflict in the South China Sea or otherwise.)
This is key, and something that should be pushed more. The ship-to-shore connectors and Army watercraft is in such a hole that it's embarrassing to talk about. This includes the over-reliance on one or two people for their 'feelings' v an actual assessment of our needs.Tried, agricultural and practical still has a place and the above may be just what is needed.
Not sexy, but practical!
Thoughts
Regards S
Thanks, Oz!An additional LHD would have all the HADR, amphibious and aviation capability of the existing LHD's, which is to say they are the most capable platforms in the fleet. But as part of this, the crewing would come from re-purposing Choules, which would actually free the LHD's up more so for additional capabilities. By moving Choules along, the government would then have a platform to enable its other pacific nation building initiatives and would focus on a civilian role for that ship with a civilian crew.
The well deck would remain. Key to this is actually getting the same type of ship as the other LHD's. There are many crewing, cost, time saving and operational, capability reasons for this. It is really able beefing up what we already have and finding ways to operate new capabilities off it, rather than whole new cleansheet problems and challenges. Keeping the well deck would be essential for Army support.
The ship wouldn't have to be armed any different from the existing LHD's. Although the LHD's could be armed with ESSM/RAM/phalanx if we wanted to. The idea is they would be at the centre of a group protected by AWD's and hunters which are quite capable ships.
USS America is really too much ship, and has been designed around US operational principles. With over 1000 crew. You would also be giving up the amphibious capability, and have to support a new type of ship and systems. This adds additional risk, operational issues (availability) of operating only one ship capable of operations of this type, and tremendous costs. Even if you could find something that had a reduced crewing and more appropriate capability (Elizabeth Class, Japanese Carrier based off its helicopter destroyers, cavor etc), you would have to go through a proper tender process, then after it is built develop support contracts, train the crew, find ways to make operation efficient and cost effective. Something like Cavor (or the japanese ships) have 4 LM2500 engines, the LHD has one. Crewing is typically double or more of the LHD. So on many of these platforms your operation costs may be double or quadruple the LHD's. Realistically it is never going to happen for Australia to go down any of those paths. At best you could probably argue for a slightly modified LHD. The LHD also have tremendous avalibility, they were built from the ground up for long deployments. Australia has had great success with the LHD avalibility, it was last year it communicated, each Australian LHD has had double the sea time of the Spanish JC1, we are now probably approaching three times. Other countries would really struggle to get that kind of operational tempo out of their platforms.
The advantage of the LHD is you get the capability you need, but costs are tiny. As it is an in service type, you don't have to go through a competitive tender process, and crew training, support contracts, logistics, operational costs, AOR requirements,they are all in place and proven. Infact your operational costs are reduced per unit, because it is the same type and supporting a 3rd really isn't significantly more work than supporting 2.
It becomes more like how the RAAF gets additional C-17's. This is a very low risk, low cost, high gain in capability for the government and the ADF. We currently have two AOR on order from the LHD builder, who is building on time and on budget. So we could easily slip in an order after that last ship for a LHD and/or AOR combination and get a good price on both.
The additional of an extra LHD takes nothing away from the existing LHD fleet. Effectively we would have 3 carrier capable ships. If requirements dictated us to operate as many carriers as possible, we could operate all three that way, or sustain deployment of one indefinitely. If you get another type, then you still have tremendous issues trying to use the existing LHD's as a carrier, your back to a single ship, that would take more money and time to do.
We could embark F-35 from the US, UK or Japan (or Singapore possibly). I think it is entirely possible Singapore would base their squadron in Australia in that situation. We already support the US marines in Darwin, so I would imagine them basing a squadron here wouldn't be impossible. So that would be 3 F-35B squadrons. Its highly possible that the UK and Japan would be interested in joint operations with us as well. So we aren't building some sort of orphan capability on our lonesome. US and UK are already way ahead of us on this.
Does anyone have enough of anything for a war? The RAN has a meaningful amount. In combination with P8's, subs and other capabilities, it is suitable for our current readiness and threats. With a third LHD you could also look towards putting something together for a ASW taskforce, like how japan does it. That would be additional money if you wanted to go and fully stock that capability, but you might be able to train for it with allies, and evaluate if it is something we want to acquire, or just train with allies for. The key platform would at least be available and exist.
A 3rd LHD is more than just carrier dreams. Its about bring the ADF into a full spectrum force. Its about giving Australia real regional presence and credibility. Its acquisition would allow us to realise a lot of our latent capability. It really would be the last major piece in the Naval capability puzzle.
Nice post. Well thought out and structured.Interesting discussion going on here.
I'll put my 'two bobs worth' in too, (for those unfamiliar with pre-decimal currency, that's 20 cents worth!).
Cheers,
I think there would be a lot of support for some LST-120s(or eqiv) but get the feeling it was probably one of those that simply could not be fitted into the 2016-2026 IEP, the Budget only goes so far and the RAN only has X number of People.Interesting discussion going on here.
I'll put my 'two bobs worth' in too, (for those unfamiliar with pre-decimal currency, that's 20 cents worth!).
To me the thing that is missing for the RAN, is 'balance' when it comes to amphibious lift capabilities.
Firstly as an example, have a look at the RAAFs Air Mobility Group (AMG), they have C-17A, KC-30A, C-130J-30, C-27J, King Air 350s (plus the 5 airframes in the VIP fleet), pretty much an airframe solution for whatever is required, or a combination of airframes, very large to very small and all in between too.
Whilst in the last decade the lift capabilities of the RAN have dramatically changed and significantly increased in ship size and displacement, I don't think the balance is right.
We've got the 2 LHDs and 1 LPD at one end (nothing in the middle) and the LCM-1Es and Army watercraft at the other end, the LCMs and watercraft are going no where without the big ships at the top, it's all or nothing!
My personal opinion is that the RAN (and ADF), would be better served with a more 'balanced' fleet (yes a 3rd LHD sounds great in theory, but I don't think that is the right way to go).
My ideal fleet would be the 2 x LHDs, 1 x LPD (when Choules is due to be replaced, replace it with an upgraded ship equivalent to Johan de Witt), 4-6 Damen LST 120s, improved LCMs that are more than capable of transporting all of Army's heavy vehicles (in all sea states), and a renewal of the Army watercraft fleet as appropriate.
https://products.damen.com/-/media/...Landing_Platform_Dock_HNLMS_Johan_de_Witt.pdf
https://products.damen.com/-/media/.../Product_Sheet_Landing_Ship_Transport_120.pdf
And yes, I haven't mentioned the Morrison Governments proposed 'Pacific HADR' ship (that is still pie in the sky and will have to survive the upcoming election and more than likely a change of Government too), too many unanswered questions, how big? What type? Who will operate? Out of which budget will it come from? Will extra dollars be allocated? Etc, etc), it if I had my way it would be based on Johan de Witt.
The only thing we do know, according to the 2016 DWP (which may well change with a change of Government), is that the LPD Choules is planned to be replaced at end of life, and additionally a proposed 2nd LPD or 3rd AOR.
Anyway, just my opinion of course, but I think a better 'balance' is certainly desirable and is realistically more financially achievable too.
Cheers,
Correct JohnInteresting discussion going on here.
I'll put my 'two bobs worth' in too, (for those unfamiliar with pre-decimal currency, that's 20 cents worth!).
To me the thing that is missing for the RAN, is 'balance' when it comes to amphibious lift capabilities.
Firstly as an example, have a look at the RAAFs Air Mobility Group (AMG), they have C-17A, KC-30A, C-130J-30, C-27J, King Air 350s (plus the 5 airframes in the VIP fleet), pretty much an airframe solution for whatever is required, or a combination of airframes, very large to very small and all in between too.
Whilst in the last decade the lift capabilities of the RAN have dramatically changed and significantly increased in ship size and displacement, I don't think the balance is right.
We've got the 2 LHDs and 1 LPD at one end (nothing in the middle) and the LCM-1Es and Army watercraft at the other end, the LCMs and watercraft are going no where without the big ships at the top, it's all or nothing!
My personal opinion is that the RAN (and ADF), would be better served with a more 'balanced' fleet (yes a 3rd LHD sounds great in theory, but I don't think that is the right way to go).
My ideal fleet would be the 2 x LHDs, 1 x LPD (when Choules is due to be replaced, replace it with an upgraded ship equivalent to Johan de Witt), 4-6 Damen LST 120s, improved LCMs that are more than capable of transporting all of Army's heavy vehicles (in all sea states), and a renewal of the Army watercraft fleet as appropriate.
https://products.damen.com/-/media/...Landing_Platform_Dock_HNLMS_Johan_de_Witt.pdf
https://products.damen.com/-/media/.../Product_Sheet_Landing_Ship_Transport_120.pdf
And yes, I haven't mentioned the Morrison Governments proposed 'Pacific HADR' ship (that is still pie in the sky and will have to survive the upcoming election and more than likely a change of Government too), too many unanswered questions, how big? What type? Who will operate? Out of which budget will it come from? Will extra dollars be allocated? Etc, etc), it if I had my way it would be based on Johan de Witt.
The only thing we do know, according to the 2016 DWP (which may well change with a change of Government), is that the LPD Choules is planned to be replaced at end of life, and additionally a proposed 2nd LPD or 3rd AOR.
Anyway, just my opinion of course, but I think a better 'balance' is certainly desirable and is realistically more financially achievable too.
Cheers,