Quite a few interesting news items lately. The first Far Eastern 20380 corvette has finally left port to begin K-2 exercises, to prove combat readiness. The first 22160 was seen at the parade in iirc Novorossiysk, and the second one is being towed to the Black Sea to complete final construction and begin trials soon. The speed with which these ships were built suggests, on the one hand, that the shipyard building them is in good shape, on the other hand that they are rather simple vessels, and given their loadout the latter probably plays a major role. The 6th project 12700 mine trawler has been laid down, meant likely for the Pacific Fleet. Additionally the second 22350 is nearing completion and may even begin factory trials before the end of this year. The 6th 21631 is also approaching induction while the 12th (and likely last ship) has just been laid down, and production of the 22800s is proceeding at a dizzying speed (compared to normal Russian military shipbuilding). Even the Black Sea Fleet has taken delivery of the project 18280 Ivan Khurs communication vessel. However among all these good news it's important to remember that only the 22350 would qualify as a major surface combatant, and there is information that it's primary SAM is only partially ready. It's unclear what exactly about it is "not ready" (perhaps advanced capabilities involving one of the longer range missiles) but the acceptance of this incomplete warship is not a great sign. Granted they need to start using the 22350s, and with the second ship approaching factory trials, and the VMF badly needing anything bigger then a corvette, this measure is probably justified. On top of this the overhaul of the Moskva cruiser is delayed, and one of the project 956 destroyers was recently retired and converted into a museum, likely due to issues with its power plant.
The way things are going, best case scenario, in 2030 the VMF will have 2x1144 heavy nuclear cruisers with new weapons and electronics, 3x1164s with minor upgrade, 8-9x1155M destroyers (upgraded with UKSK cells and a Kh-35U), 4x22350 frigates, 2x11540 frigates, and 6x11356 frigates. Maybe, they're very lucky, 2-3 of the remaining 956 destroyers will live that long, but I wouldn't bet on it. That will be it for major surface combatants. And if you look at the size of the Russian defense budget and compare it to nations with similar levels of defense spending (Britain and France for example) you will find similar fleet sizes.
Of course the submarine component will be significantly bigger.
they are on a winner