What makes you think we aren't constantly looking at costings?Surely if Canada does cancel its order we would be stupid if we did not at least look at the costings etc. Or does "All the way with LBJ" mentality still exist here?
Cost increase per unit at current prices is reputed to be approx $1MSurely if Canada does cancel its order we would be stupid if we did not at least look at the costings etc. Or does "All the way with LBJ" mentality still exist here?
Have we already signed contracts? Does Canada's stated intention to buy or not to buy have the slightest impact on our already signed contracts?Surely if Canada does cancel its order we would be stupid if we did not at least look at the costings etc. Or does "All the way with LBJ" mentality still exist here?
Spot on, it could almost be said that rather than a price increase of one million per aircraft there may now no longer be an additional saving of one million per aircraft. The flip side is should other customers increase the size of their orders, the UK is an obvious possibly here, or other nations select the type, Singapore etc. Then the price will drop futher.Cost increase per unit at current prices is reputed to be approx $1M
Markedly less than the year on year fall in the price of a new build F-35 exen during LRIP. And with the possibility that Canada would lose industry offsets which may come instead to Australia. You can bet that every customer in the same situation will be expecting it.
Really, the loss of 65 *maybe* aircraft from a program which *should* be building about 2,000 - not going to upset LockMart all that much, except that it will (and is) being used to bash the program.
oldsig
exactlyCost increase per unit at current prices is reputed to be approx $1M
Markedly less than the year on year fall in the price of a new build F-35 exen during LRIP. And with the possibility that Canada would lose industry offsets which may come instead to Australia. You can bet that every customer in the same situation will be expecting it.
Really, the loss of 65 *maybe* aircraft from a program which *should* be building about 2,000 - not going to upset LockMart all that much, except that it will (and is) being used to bash the program.
oldsig
No disrespect to hairyman who I;m sure didn't intend it that way, but phrases like that come all too quickly any time we purchase arms from the USA rather than something more exotic from elsewhere.and its got phuque all to do with "all the way LBJ"
the other thing that a lot of people aren't aware of is that the platform/capability assessment is not just about the platform/artifact - it includes integration issues, impact on interoperability, like minded friends issues, etc etc......No disrespect to hairyman who I;m sure didn't intend it that way, but phrases like that come all too quickly any time we purchase arms from the USA rather than something more exotic from elsewhere.
Sadly it's a knee jerk reaction from people of my age who remember Vietnam all too well, and has bugger all to do with the frequent reality that by doing so we are getting the correct kit at the right price with a lot more reliable support than we've had from elsewhere over the years
oldsig
yep, I think thats why there is no sweaty tension coming out of the US, if Canada drops out then Sth Korea, Japan, Singapore, Israel are sitting in the wings - and everyone of those countries except Israeli will be presenting significant substitute industry capability to take off the canadians - and they will be gunning for canadas workshare, make no bones about itI wouldn't be at all surprised if those slots for Canada were scooped up by another customer like Israel perhaps, who seemed keener to get F35 sooner (for all the reasons anyone else would want a 5G aircraft)
Summary, nothing to see here.
If Australian industry is able to pickup some of Canada's work share we could conceivably end up better off overall.yep, I think thats why there is no sweaty tension coming out of the US, if Canada drops out then Sth Korea, Japan, Singapore, Israel are sitting in the wings - and everyone of those countries except Israeli will be presenting significant substitute industry capability to take off the canadians - and they will be gunning for canadas workshare, make no bones about it
it will be incredibly difficult for LM to defend any residual canadian workshare if they have no skin in the game and these countries argue to bring their slots forward
in theory you might not see a direct platform cost break - but it could result in greater industry work share (esp global spread) which means industry gets a kick out of itIf Australian industry is able to pickup some of Canada's work share we could conceivably end up better off overall.
What often happened in automotive when an overseas competitor won a contract is they would be bought out by the loser and the contract moved. Basically any innovative firms concerned at losing their Canadian work could do well looking for Australian acquisitions or partners to keep a finger in the pie.in theory you might not see a direct platform cost break - but it could result in greater industry work share (esp global spread) which means industry gets a kick out of it
that starts the follow on of peripheral benefit to other industry.
from a govt perspective, the latter is far more attractive than seeing a platform price reduction as the latter has growth opportunity whereas the other is really minimal over the life of the platform in absolute terms
(which is why there has been some resentment over the amount of work the canadians scored ahead of actually committing to any platforms. hence why I can see all of the foreign partners plus those 4 sitting in the wings elevating noise to Lockmart to release work as the canadians have certainly breached the spirit of workshare to acquisition if not the intent)
With junior now PM, Cdn firms might be better off moving to Oz.What often happened in automotive when an overseas competitor won a contract is they would be bought out by the loser and the contract moved. Basically any innovative firms concerned at losing their Canadian work could do well looking for Australian acquisitions or partners to keep a finger in the pie.
The USAF flew C141s from Christchurch to McMurdo and I think they may have had the odd C5 do the Christchurch McMurdo run as well. Why couldn't the RAAF do the Hobart - Wilkins run with Hercs? Just curious.
There was some interest in getting an LC-130 with skis but it never went ahead when Wilkins closed and I'm guessing its because the economics of buying a special or fitting out the "exants" as a solution lost out to "run what you brung" when the economics of the C-17 were factored inThe USAF flew C141s from Christchurch to McMurdo and I think they may have had the odd C5 do the Christchurch McMurdo run as well. Why couldn't the RAAF do the Hobart - Wilkins run with Hercs? Just curious.
If they needed to take heavier loads and need to refuel would they just use KC-30A?C-17 is pretty well suited to these types of missions. Greater range/payload, They can drop 20t off and return without refueling. Having to refuel in Antarctica is mindbogglingly expensive operation.
Wonder if we will be using the C-17 to perform winter resupply missions like those the US was trialling..
Successful Flights Mean More Access to Antarctica's McMurdo Station in Winter