Unfortunately I couldn't find more details on which military equipment seized by Russian forces in Crimea will be returned. At Belbek they captured about 35 MiG-29, it would be interesting to know whether these will also be handed over.
45 MiG-29s and 4 L-39s. They also got a Coastal Defense Brigade, essentially a Motor-Rifles Brigade. So a tank btln, a bunch of BMP-1 and 2, 2S1 SP Arty. They also got a bunch of BTR-60s. Combat ones, not the support vehicles. That's all I know of, but there's probably more. They got a bunch of ancient support vehicles on ZiL, GAZ, and Kamaz chassis.
It would also be interesting to know whether only Ukraine's military is in such a state of decay or whether this is also true for other former SSSR-republics. Belarus didn't modernize its forces in a significant way, too, not to speak of Moldova or Armenia.
The situation in Belarus is better. They lack new equipment, but they train more actively. They also have made attempts to modernize. For example I know they've used UAVs for artillery fire control. I don't know if that's standard or an experiment, but there was a photoset of Belarussian Uragan Arty using a UAV. They have gotten S-300 units donated from Russia, and have bought Tor-M2 on MZKT wheeled chassis. Though they're still not in great shape. I read, on some Belorussian blog, an account of a Belorussian reservist who got called up for training, on a joint exercise with Russia. He said he was embarrassed, when he compared their equipment, and training, with the Russian military.
In Kazakhstan it's also better then in Ukraine, by quite a bit. They have considerable oil money, and they have spent a lot of it on the armed forces.
In the rest of Central Asia it's pretty bad. The region is unstable and in several countries the militaries have seen combat recently, so they're more willing to fight then the Ukrainians, but as far as equipment or training, they're pretty badly off.
The Georgian military needs no comments. Azerbaijan and Armenia have both made considerable efforts to modernize. Azerbaijan has spent a lot more money, and has a lot more modern equipment including Mi-35Ms, S-300PMU2s, T-90S tanks, new SP Arty (the Vena iirc) etc. Armenia has less shiny new gear, but also trains fairly intensively. Iirc they receive some Russian military aid.
German newspaper FAZ today writes that Russia seems to be changing its tactics in dealing with Ukraine, as secession of other regions in the east of the country is getting more unlikely without bloodshed. According to them, the Kremlin will likely try to inflict further damage on Ukraine's economy to weaken the new government, and will also try to undermine the legitimacy of the upcoming presidential elections.
This is not a change of tactics. The economic aspect was always there. The new damage right now is being caused by the policies in Kiev. For example Ukroboronprom recently announced (
Ð”ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐœÐ¾ÐºÑ€ÑƒÑˆÐ¸Ð½ - "Укроборонпром" замораживает ÑотрудничеÑтво Ñ Ð Ð¾ÑÑией) that they will no longer do business in Russia. If they carry this out, healthy enterprises like Motor Sich and Zarya Machinebuilding will take huge hits. That having been said, make no mistake. The Putin government is definitely pushing on Ukraine economically. It's just not something that has changed recently. They've been for a while. And they will certainly take advantage of the economic damage and internal instability, to promote their agenda. I'm just not sure if they will push for a pro-Russian government in Kiev, or a break-off of more regions.
If the Kiev government wanted to fix this mess they should back off on the threats and posturing, given that out of all the parties in question they have the most to lose, and the least to present with.