How much of that is part of the ground forces?
Well I wrote in the Land Forces thread that a number of new brigades were formed last year, including at least one motor-rifles brigade. So some of them are in the ground forces. I don't have anything near a complete picture.
But the hole is just beginning, with 1991 being the last year of positive growth.. IMHO it'll be another 12-15 years before the number of conscripts really begins to increase.
It's not a matter of positive growth. It's a matter of relative birth rates. The 1991 conscripts were called up in '09-'10. Birth rates continued to decline through the 90s, and began to recover again in the early 2000s. So ~'18-'19 is the year when numbers of available conscripts will start to increase again. Interestingly enough the current contract soldiers recruiting program is planned through *drumroll* 2017. So in other words up until then they will try to compensate natural decline in numbers of conscripts with contract soldiers. If it goes really well (as planned) they may even be able to increase the total numbers by a bit. Post 2017, numbers of conscripts available will start to grow again, and if they don't let up on the recruiting efforts they could hit the million-man mark by 2020.
Granted this is all heavily based on projecting current plans and current trends. Who knows what will really happen. The economy could implode again, in which case all bets are off. Or the economy could take off like a rocketship, in which case they could end up with a virtually all-contract army. Most likely, I think, the current situation isn't going to change drastically as far as staffing goes.
Also, the second Tu-214ON is almost complete. It's being painted right now, and will probably begin acceptance trials soon. I wonder if this will accelerate production of other Tu-214R aircraft, since that's a particularly necessary platform. The VVS is in need of modern ELINT platforms. The Il-18-based Soviet-era stuff can't be enough in 2013.
http://bmpd.livejournal.com/453537.html?view=12110497#t12110497
EDIT: Apparently the procurement of Yak-130 aircraft will spike post 2015. A total of 240 more aircraft need to be purchased, giving a total of over 300 of them by the next decade. Also IAPO is going ahead with development of the light attack and light fighter variants of the plane. I really wonder if they will be able to complete this ambitious production program along side the Su-30 production, MS-21 production, and the export contracts for the Yak-130.
http://bmpd.livejournal.com/453792.html