Afghanistan- why are we still at it ?

stay or go

  • Stay

    Votes: 14 56.0%
  • go

    Votes: 11 44.0%

  • Total voters
    25
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.

davh12

New Member
As far as what a few of you are saying like Bonza........your right. From my experience in COIN, you cannot just leave a country where you've been operating without stability in government, military, civil services and infrastructure within grasp of the new government. As far as the border patrol using the military.........we did do this at one time back in the early 90s when I was stationed at Ft Ord, CA..which no longer exists. There is simply too much border to cover.

Dave
 

riksavage

Banned Member
The Taliban lost alot of soldiers and they were experience which is hard to replace. The Taliban are not totally defeat and some have retreated to fight another day. The overall picture what can the Taliban do now nothing but suicide bombing nothing else. I know they still getting recruits who are willin to die and also losing recruits who see it a losing cause against highly trained forces. This battle has been going on for 10 years now and look at how many soldiers the Taliban had lost .
History shows you can never defeat the Pathan, only contain him in his own little world. The tribal system intertwined with blood feuds, honour killings, rampant corruption and ideological differences means the country will never be unified under a single democratically elected ruler. In the old days you simply sealed the Khyber Pass and carried out brutal punitive raids after one of your flying columns was hit. Political correctness no longer allows such an eye for an eye approach.

Imperial Britain was intimately involved in Afghanistan for 93 years during the Great Game, Russia a total of 9 and the US Coalition 10 and still counting. Can you safely say the country is any closer to a lasting peace or even reaching a level where sanitation and security is guaranteed at a very base level? Other than in urban areas the country is like Indo-China under the French, controlled by western/government forces during the day, controlled/intimidated by insurgents at night. Unfortunately for every school the coalition builds, two are destroyed in the process of killing insurgents in the various unoccupied compounds/villages surrounding the FOB's.

I will bet my house that as soon as the US/Allies withdraw the Taliban will return in force (ISI sponsored), the incumbent government will fall apart and the army/ANA will split according existing tribal alliances. One can only hope a strong Northern Alliance supported by the west capable of taking on and containing any new Taliban force will rise from the ashes.

Whether we like it or not the Great Game is being played out again today in Afghanistan by the ISI because of their fixation with an expanding India. The latter is one of the largest donors in Afghanistan and this is seen as unacceptable influence building. The ISI see the Taliban as the lesser of two evils who can be contained, hence they continue to play both sides to stop India gaining any kind of political influence once the west leaves. This may sound off the wall, but paranoia makes for strange bed-fellows.
 

STURM

Well-Known Member
Whether we like it or not the Great Game is being played out again today in Afghanistan by the ISI because of their fixation with an expanding India. The latter is one of the largest donors in Afghanistan and this is seen as unacceptable influence building. The ISI see the Taliban as the lesser of two evils who can be contained, hence they continue to play both sides to stop India gaining any kind of political influence once the west leaves. This may sound off the wall, but paranoia makes for strange bed-fellows.
The 'great game' has been played for quite some time now involving more players than just Pakistan. IMO, way before the U.S. occupied Afhanistan in 2001, a 'great game' was already being played in Afghanistan by various countries. Remember the Taliban delegation to the U.S., that met various congressman, organised by a U.S. oil company that was interested in an oil pipeline across the country? Their competitor was another oil company that enlisted the support of the Pakistanis.

Pakistan's support of the Taliban is related to it's support of the more extremist Afghan groups during the Soviet war like Hetmatyar and Haqqani. It was only after Hetmatyar started losing power that all support was thrown behind the Taliban. Pakistan's long history of meddling in the affairs of Afghanistan was aimed not only at having strategic depth, at preventing Pashtun nationalism from spreading to the North West Frontier and controlling the lucrative land trading routes to Central Asia, it was also aimed with the situation in Kashmir in mind.
 

surpreme

Member
History shows you can never defeat the Pathan, only contain him in his own little world. The tribal system intertwined with blood feuds, honour killings, rampant corruption and ideological differences means the country will never be unified under a single democratically elected ruler. In the old days you simply sealed the Khyber Pass and carried out brutal punitive raids after one of your flying columns was hit. Political correctness no longer allows such an eye for an eye approach.

Imperial Britain was intimately involved in Afghanistan for 93 years during the Great Game, Russia a total of 9 and the US Coalition 10 and still counting. Can you safely say the country is any closer to a lasting peace or even reaching a level where sanitation and security is guaranteed at a very base level? Other than in urban areas the country is like Indo-China under the French, controlled by western/government forces during the day, controlled/intimidated by insurgents at night. Unfortunately for every school the coalition builds, two are destroyed in the process of killing insurgents in the various unoccupied compounds/villages surrounding the FOB's.

I will bet my house that as soon as the US/Allies withdraw the Taliban will return in force (ISI sponsored), the incumbent government will fall apart and the army/ANA will split according existing tribal alliances. One can only hope a strong Northern Alliance supported by the west capable of taking on and containing any new Taliban force will rise from the ashes.

Whether we like it or not the Great Game is being played out again today in Afghanistan by the ISI because of their fixation with an expanding India. The latter is one of the largest donors in Afghanistan and this is seen as unacceptable influence building. The ISI see the Taliban as the lesser of two evils who can be contained, hence they continue to play both sides to stop India gaining any kind of political influence once the west leaves. This may sound off the wall, but paranoia makes for strange bed-fellows.
I agree with you on some things. But that was in the 18th thru 20th century this is the 21st century and you have one of the best army in the world that has learn from history. The great game is still being played today but it different now. The objective are different remember the fight was to go after Al-Qaeda and Taliban who refuse to abandon Al-Qaeda and rebuilt a stable government. There was talks about a pipeline with the Taliban. Tribal system is a problem in Afghanistan they are being addressed. The training of the ANA ANP ANSP is going take some time. If you look at the pace of training of ANA it doing pretty good for the time frame. I disgree that ANA will fall apart when US/NATO leave only if the money stop coming to the soldiers that when you have problem that with any nation who have a paid army. It is true they still have problems with ANA this is the beginning of a new force. Not one country on earth is perfect you gonna have problems. Afghanistan is in the process of being Americanize with the money. One thing I don't know yet if US is working on a some sort of Afghanistan version of the FBI that keep things in check that is also needed. All the Afghanistan people want is jobs and money to support there families.
 
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rip

New Member
I agree with you on some things. But that was in the 18th thru 20th century this is the 21st century and you have one of the best army in the world that has learn from history. The great game is still being played today but it different now. The objective are different remember the fight was to go after Al-Qaeda and Taliban who refuse to abandon Al-Qaeda and rebuilt a stable government. There was talks about a pipeline with the Taliban. Tribal system is a problem in Afghanistan they are being addressed. The training of the ANA ANP ANSP is going take some time. If you look at the pace of training of ANA it doing pretty good for the time frame. I disgree that ANA will fall apart when US/NATO leave only if the money stop coming to the soldiers that when you have problem that with any nation who has paid army. It is true they still have problems with ANA this is the beginning of a new force. Not one country on earth is perfect you gonna have problems. Afghanistan is in the process of being Americanize with the money. One thing I don't know yet if US is working on a some sort of Afghanistan version of the FBI that keep things in check that is also needed. All the Afghanistan people want is jobs and money to support there families.
I think we have to decide what our goals are. Making Afghanistan a nice place might just be an imposable task and why should we even care. My goal is more modest. To leave Afghanistan is such a way that they and the generations that follow them, would ever consider launching an attack upon the US or its allies' citizens ever again or give any assistance of any kind to those that might want to do so.

To achieve this, for the people who thought they could attack us and live to celebrate it, we cannot give them or the people that believe the same way that they did, any sort of victory to brag about after we are gone but only something very negative to remember.

There may be many ways of achieving this goal but our goal must be clear. And when we do leave someday, it must be made very clear if we are again provoked that next time we will be far less interested in building a civil society but only in punishing them to a terrible and frightening degree.

We have invested far too much this time around to just though away all of our efforts to make Afghanistan a civilized county in the modern since. So I am not advocating a change in policy now. But if it doesn’t work this time there is no reason to expect it would work next time. We must make it very clear that we would show no mercy or make any distinctions about who was or was not guilty. I know this does not sound very enlightened but it is the only way unless you want a repeat.
 

surpreme

Member
I think we have to decide what our goals are. Making Afghanistan a nice place might just be an imposable task and why should we even care. My goal is more modest. To leave Afghanistan is such a way that they and the generations that follow them, would ever consider launching an attack upon the US or its allies' citizens ever again or give any assistance of any kind to those that might want to do so.

To achieve this, for the people who thought they could attack us and live to celebrate it, we cannot give them or the people that believe the same way that they did, any sort of victory to brag about after we are gone but only something very negative to remember.

There may be many ways of achieving this goal but our goal must be clear. And when we do leave someday, it must be made very clear if we are again provoked that next time we will be far less interested in building a civil society but only in punishing them to a terrible and frightening degree.

We have invested far too much this time around to just though away all of our efforts to make Afghanistan a civilized county in the modern since. So I am not advocating a change in policy now. But if it doesn’t work this time there is no reason to expect it would work next time. We must make it very clear that we would show no mercy or make any distinctions about who was or was not guilty. I know this does not sound very enlightened but it is the only way unless you want a repeat.
You must remember in war all you going to see a response or reaction so Al-Qaeda is going to strike no one can predict what, when, and how it going to happen. Al-Qaeda is not a normal organization unless someone in the organization give up or give up the fighting nothing going change this could go on for centuries. I know this off the topic. Nothing is pertect so if Afghanistan break down it happen its nothing no one can do about it. Any nation can break down no one free from this not even America. My point is who is to said what going to happen in Afghanistan. Throughout history nation fall and are rebuilted some are worst than others. I don't think it will change how they attack or if they be afraid to attack NATO/US you are mistaking.
 

STURM

Well-Known Member
And when we do leave someday, it must be made very clear if we are again provoked that next time we will be far less interested in building a civil society but only in punishing them to a terrible and frightening degree.
We have invested far too much this time around to just though away all of our efforts to make Afghanistan a civilized county in the modern since. So I am not advocating a change in policy now.
We must make it very clear that we would show no mercy or make any distinctions about who was or was not guilty.
Collective punishment? You make it sound as if we are 19th century imperialists teaching the unruly and uncooperative natives a lesson or two. Or are we German troops on anti-partisan duties in the Ukraine? You going to advocate shooting 3 Afghans for every ISAF soldier killed by bombs or demolish villages? Some 10 years later, haven't we learnt that total reliance on military means is not the answer for everything and that it can be counter productive, irrespective of how high the body count in dead Taliban is.

Afghanistan was in a mess way before the U.S. invaded. And part of the reason it still is in a mess is because of flawed policies that were made in the first few years after 2001 by non-Afghans. Granted, the Afghans share a lot to blame for the mess the country is in but they were not the only ones to have a hand in this.

To leave Afghanistan is such a way that they and the generations that follow them, would ever consider launching an attack upon the US or its allies' citizens ever again or give any assistance of any kind to those that might want to do so.
Lets make it clear that the people who launched 9/11 and other AQ attacks were not Afghan and that the vast majority of Afghans want to get on with their lives rather than ''launching attacks on the U.S. or its allies''. The fact that there is still an active insurgency that receives some level of local support in the country only reinforces the fact that something is terribly wrong and that military power has its limits - the solution now IMO is more political and economic than it is militarily. Apart from national interests, the international community, especially the countries that are heavily involved, have a moral responsibility to ensure that Afghanistan is not a bigger mess than it was prior to 9/11, when they withdraw.
 
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rip

New Member
Collective punishment? You make it sound as if we are 19th century imperialists teaching the unruly and uncooperative natives a lesson or two. Or are we German troops on anti-partisan duties in the Ukraine? You going to advocate shooting 3 Afghans for every ISAF soldier killed by bombs or demolish villages? Some 10 years later, haven't we learnt that total reliance on military means is not the answer for everything and that it can be counter productive, irrespective of how high the body count in dead Taliban is.

Afghanistan was in a mess way before the U.S. invaded. And part of the reason it still is in a mess is because of flawed policies that were made in the first few years after 2001 by non-Afghans. Granted, the Afghans share a lot to blame for the mess the country is in but they were not the only ones to have a hand in this.



Lets make it clear that the people who launched 9/11 and other AQ attacks were not Afghan and that the vast majority of Afghans want to get on with their lives rather than ''launching attacks on the U.S. or its allies''. The fact that there is still an active insurgency that receives some level of local support in the country only reinforces the fact that something is terribly wrong and that military power has its limits - the solution now IMO is more political and economic than it is militarily. Apart from national interests, the international community, especially the countries that are heavily involved, have a moral responsibility to ensure that Afghanistan is not a bigger mess than it was prior to 9/11, when they withdraw.
I find your legalistic approach to be a very common one (nowadays it is in fact, almost a compete formalistic cliché just as it is fully devoid of any historical context) but it is sadly flawed. I really do however entirely appreciate the fact that you want to be a good and moral person as you understand it and not some mindless militant. And so do I to wish to be a moral person, believe it or not but I am trying to do it without the clichés. And furthermore, we both believe that morality is essential for a Persons’, a Nations’ and in fact for a Civilizations’ guidance for determining both their individual and collective behaviors. A sense of morality, which is always based upon some shared concepts of right and wrong and what is acceptable or is not unacceptable behavior. These kinds of moral based belief systems by necessity must always have as an element incorporated within them for the need of “proportionality”, (the punishment must fit the crime and not exceed it) which I believe is your primary objection to my previous statements, as well as the principal of individual responsibility for any such behaviors if and when they do happen. This second part is a very common Western concept but it is not as universally accepted a concept in the East. But generally I say good for you. If only the entire world thought as you do, it would not only be a much better place to live in. But then again if we did live in that world and not this one we would not be in Afghanistan right now, would we?

However the legalistic approach and the very concept of right and wrong, is not as universal or commonly agreed upon as you think. What you do not realized is that the common modern Western approach to life, as it is to our current accepted approach to war, as desirable as it may be if we are ever to someday collectively live in a world free of fear which will then enjoy the maximum amount of cooperation between different people‘s and universal prosperity among them, is that tribal people are unfortunately NOT CIVILIZED. You may find this provocative statement to be very “un-politic” even harsh but I can justify it. And Tribal is not to say that all tribes are evil.

Being civilized is not a function of knowledge, technology, science, power or even wealth but of that very thing of which we are in disagreement, morality. Only a part of the state of being as a true civilized person and living within a civilized society concerns the subject of what is considered or is not considered to be acceptable behavior. Note of "caution" is necessary at this point; for people living in different physical environments, it may dictate that some behaviors which are acceptable in one environment because they promote good social order are not necessarily universal to all societies when compared to different environments. While in other environments the same behavior would be equally unacceptable because it would tend to destroy social order in those societies living under different environmental constraints, so we cannot presume rightfully that in every case all moral precepts must always be the same or even transferable. But the biggest difference between Civilized and Tribal societies are not in the rules they chose to live by or why they have made them but how and to whom, those moral norms are applied.

In a tribal society if a member of the tribe commits a harmful act against a person or group not of the tribe, even if that act would be completely unacceptable within the tribe they will not punished by them but they will in fact be protected from rightful retribution from outsiders. But in a civilized society they will not only refuse to protect the offender from the consequences of their actions but will instead consider it their very duty, as a civilized society, that justice is done even if the injured outside parity cannot extract justice on their own. Think about it. Think very hard!

In a tribal society that does not wish to follow this simple moral and civilized principal of (to do on to others as you would want them to do on to you), to change the behavior within their tribal society which has already shown to have caused harm to others’ outside of the tribe, sufficient motivation must be applied to the tribe as a whole so that they will be compelled to control their most violent members simply because if they don’t, their actions will then cause harm to the whole tribe if they fail control them. It is a very simple concept to grasp even for the uncivilized among us.

Now there is a real objection I freely admit for a civilized person or for a civilized society, to act in an uncivilized manner when confronted with a difficult problem that is not easy amenable to civilized methods of conflict resolution. This is a legitimate concern we must address if the world is ever to advance beyond, what I think; we both would agree, are the worlds past primitive and violent ways. More generally the issue is stated, “How can you achieve moral ends and have good outcomes by the use of immoral means”? How can you separate of justify your methods from your stated goals? A good question isn’t it and one not only found within Afghanistan.

We already have death, war, and continuing misery in Afghanistan. A war which was caused by events of death and misery which might of physically happened someplace else, but was partially made possible by and aided and abetted from, Afghanistan. If the Taliban has acted as civilized people instead of as tribal ones, which is what they currently are, and if they had surrendered the perpetrators of 9-11 we would be having a far different conversation than this one.

The question we must ask and then find an answer to is what actions at this time and on our part, will in the final analyses lead to the least war, lest death, and the least misery both in Afghanistan and everywhere else? I am not talking about revenge of any kind.

That is why I think it is imperative that when we leave Afghanistan, however we eventually leave it, that there is no possible confusion that if there is a next time, it would be far and away much more unpleasant in Afghanistan if by their actions they once again force us to return. If we can impress this idea upon them and if they can be made to truly believe it, in the end there will be less war, less death, and less misery both in and out of Afghanistan which is a good thing. If Afghanistan becomes a modern county or not.

But it is completely useless to issue such a threat if they do not believe it and they will not believed it if we truly don’t mean it. You made the statement that maybe the Afghan people may have already come to the conclusion that it is better to not support, tolerate, or to protect people like the people who created 9-11. Like some of them have done in the past. I hope you are right, they have certainly suffered enough by any measure but there are still uncontrolled elements that still turn themselves in to human bombs so I think it is safe to say the fundamental problems has yet be solved.

I do not know if the process of nation building will work in any time soon in Afghanistan or not. I do not know if and when they make the transition from a collection of fractious tribal societies to gain some kind of true national identity. I hope they do, for only then will they find the peace and prosperity they deserve. But we cannot depend on something as uncertain as that and which is ultimately beyond our control to assure. If you have a suggestion another than just another cliché that address the reality of the situation I am more than willing to hear it.

And no matter what your feelings maybe about imperialistic group punishments of the past they worked in tribal societies for the very same reasons that they do not work in civilized ones. But I think we both agree that staying in Afghanistan indefinitely is not one of of those options so we musk think carefuly on just how we will leave it. And remember I said if there is a next time and only because being humane and reasonable didn’t work the first time.
 

STURM

Well-Known Member
I find your legalistic approach to be a very common one (nowadays it is in fact, almost a compete formalistic cliché just as it is fully devoid of any historical context) but it is sadly flawed.
Well that's a matter of opinion isn't it?

And no matter what your feelings maybe about imperialistic group punishments of the past they worked in tribal societies for the very same reasons that they do not work in civilized ones.
They have worked in the past for short periods to benefit foreign forces who ultimately pack up and leave. The result is that huge problems that were never solved in the first place, come back at a late date and the locals [or the uncivilised ones as you put it] pay the price.
 

riksavage

Banned Member
The decision to remain in Afghanistan (A-Stan) could be heavily influenced by what's happening elsewhere. Yemen is fast becoming a failed state, with a strong and growing Al Qaeda leadership presence. The difference between A-Stan and Yemen is the latter is located close to the worlds main maritime msr's and could facilitate/support catastrophic attacks against the worlds oil supply. The west can't afford to keep a sizable number of ground forces in A-Stan, and at the same time deal with Al Qaeda's new centre of operations in Yemen, there simply isn't enough SF boots to go around.

Another factor is Pakistan, whilst the head-shed in the military is largely still pro-Western, the lower level officer class is getting more and more frustrated (compounded by the recent US raid) and anti-American/Western, with elements supporting extremist groups in both A-Stan and India. The recent attack and destruction of critical Orion aircraft was assisted by military insiders. This Machiavellian scheming is far more worrying strategically than the current state of the ANA/ANP and their abiltiy to maintain law and order across the border.
 

STURM

Well-Known Member
Another factor is Pakistan, whilst the head-shed in the military is largely still pro-Western, the lower level officer class is getting more and more frustrated (compounded by the recent US raid) and anti-American/Western, with elements supporting extremist groups in both A-Stan and India.
Is the 'head-shed' really pro-Western or do they just appear to be? Since the time Bhutto was in power and as a result of several policies being adopted by the Pakistani government over the years, the number of 'jihadist' elements in the Pakistani military has been at an all time high.

Apart from Afghanistan, which is linked in some ways to the Kashmir problem, and the rising militancy in Pakistan, India still plays a very big factor in the Pakistani scheme of things. The big danger now is that another attack on India by militants/terrorists, similar to the ones in Mumbai, could lead to Indian counter moves.
 
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Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
The difference between A-Stan and Yemen is the latter is located close to the worlds main maritime msr's and could facilitate/support catastrophic attacks against the worlds oil supply.
Main MSR is redundant. It's like ATM machine. Just fyi.
 

My2Cents

Active Member
The decision to remain in Afghanistan (A-Stan) could be heavily influenced by what's happening elsewhere. Yemen is fast becoming a failed state, with a strong and growing Al Qaeda leadership presence. The difference between A-Stan and Yemen is the latter is located close to the worlds main maritime msr's and could facilitate/support catastrophic attacks against the worlds oil supply. The west can't afford to keep a sizable number of ground forces in A-Stan, and at the same time deal with Al Qaeda's new centre of operations in Yemen, there simply isn't enough SF boots to go around.
Much as the world press makes a big deal about al-Qaeda’s growing power in Yemen (they also talk about the same thing in Algeria, Syria, Algeria, Libya, and if you look hard Lebanon, Jordan, and Iran) any large scale movement of al-Qaeda to Yemen would be a sign of failure. They can hide there, but not prosper.

Yemen’s only land border is with Saudi Arabia is like a war zone because of the bandit raids launched by local Yemeni tribes. Since al-Qaeda declared war on the Saudi monarchy they are probably glad to supply intelligence support to attack al-Qaeda in Yemen, and unlike Pakistan will not allow any ‘safe havens’ on their side of the border. As a ‘failed state’ Yemen would also lack a recognized government to provide political protection from drone attacks. And most importantly there is no source of income available in Yemen, unlike the drug trade in Afghanistan (khat is, by it’s nature, a small scale and limited problem).

As for the sea border, the situation with Somalia already has a large number of foreign warships in the area, virtually all from nations hostile to al-Qaeda. Without a recognized local government there is no zone of control and these warships could patrol, and perform stop and search operation, right up to the shoreline, instead of allowing vessels to slide from one poorly patrolled jurisdiction to the next. Combined with modern biometrics this would make getting in and out by sea very difficult. As for airlines, they are already cutting back, and will shutdown quickly if the state fails. Somalia has taught them that they are just too vulnerable.

An attack on the tanker traffic is certainly possible, but if a simple as many claim would have already been carried out. When one succeeds (not if) it will not be catastrophic as the press likes to claim. Only Iran imports significant quantities of refined products, the majority of the oil in transit is crude which is messy and could shut down part of a waterway for cleanup, but is hardly catastrophic. Modern tankers are also tough, with double hulls designed to minimize leaks in a collision, a simple suicide ramming such as used against the Cole would have only limited effect and is extremely difficult to perform against a large moving vessel. Plus even an unsuccessful attack could easily lead to an ‘open season on al-Qaeda’ (It is not about the politics, it is about the money they would lose. Well, actually money is politics, so …)
Another factor is Pakistan, whilst the head-shed in the military is largely still pro-Western, the lower level officer class is getting more and more frustrated (compounded by the recent US raid) and anti-American/Western, with elements supporting extremist groups in both A-Stan and India. The recent attack and destruction of critical Orion aircraft was assisted by military insiders. This Machiavellian scheming is far more worrying strategically than the current state of the ANA/ANP and their abiltiy to maintain law and order across the border.
The Pakistani military, and particularly the ISI, is hardly pro-western and the public even less so after years of indoctrination in fundamentalist Islamic that emphasis that everything bad that happens to them is the result of a conspiracy by the rest of the non-islamic world. The biggest problem is that Pakistan sees the uneducated Islamic fundamentalists as their shock troops when they go to war with India, and will do everything that they can to protect them. They also see Afghanistan the way China sees North Korea, as strategic depth to be maintained at all cost. To this goal they have been trying to save as much of the Afghanistan Taliban in Northern Waziristan and Balochistan by by permitting only attacks on al-Qaeda targets so it will be possible to take the Afghanistan back over when the US leaves. They have no problem with the US taking out as much of the Pakistan Taliban as possible that is attacking the Pakistani state.

Pakistan’s 2-faced behavior has been more and more obvious over time, especially as a result of the successful Osama bin Laden raid, and a lot of people are getting fed up.
 

surpreme

Member
The Pakistani military, and particularly the ISI, is hardly pro-western and the public even less so after years of indoctrination in fundamentalist Islamic that emphasis that everything bad that happens to them is the result of a conspiracy by the rest of the non-islamic world. The biggest problem is that Pakistan sees the uneducated Islamic fundamentalists as their shock troops when they go to war with India, and will do everything that they can to protect them. They also see Afghanistan the way China sees North Korea, as strategic depth to be maintained at all cost. To this goal they have been trying to save as much of the Afghanistan Taliban in Northern Waziristan and Balochistan by by permitting only attacks on al-Qaeda targets so it will be possible to take the Afghanistan back over when the US leaves. They have no problem with the US taking out as much of the Pakistan Taliban as possible that is attacking the Pakistani state.

Pakistan’s 2-faced behavior has been more and more obvious over time, especially as a result of the successful Osama bin Laden raid, and a lot of people are getting fed up.[/QUOTE] I don't want to get off topic but I have no choice. Okay you can said the same with the Israel/US relationship. They do 2 faced behavior with Arab nation. Don't take it in the wrong way it three sides to a story. You have Israel who commits crime and the US do nothing its all in self defense thats what Israel/US said. Now seeing the same thing in Pakistan and fyi Pakistan lose alot soldiers fighting the Taliban in the tribal areas so don't put them down. True the Pakistan ISI are with the northern tribes because the main enemy to Pakistan is India they had three wars and India is building there military up and have more manpower and is a bigger country than Pakistan who wouldn't be nervous beside a big nation like India. Pakistan and Waziristan (tribal area) made a deal so they can remain some of there freedom. Pakistan is a bad situation having to go against your own countryman is no joke just imagine that in the US. And don't come with stuff that it can't happen in the US. If a war come with India they going to need the Taliban and other groups. The Waziristan remind me of the Native American they just want to be left alone and follow there own way. Overall you have to study Pakistan more to understand the country just as Pakistan have to study Israel/US relationship to understand that. You can't change that Pakistan and other groups in this area don't like anyone in there affairs. The US don't want anyone in there affairs look at what happen to Black/African American in the 60's did anyone jump in about this and try to tell US what to do. But back to Afghanistan have anyone heard of any major operation the Taliban conducted besides suicide attack they did? None except some took over a ANP post in Northern Afghanistan which NATO units already left the area and ANP ANA was about to conduct operation in that area anyway. Whether you like it or not things have change military. Whenever you can't conduct operation against the US/NATO thing have change on the ground. The NATO/US covert operation are working give credit where credit is due. Its still early in there spring offensive so we'll see what happen Personal I don't see any major operation the Taliban can conduct with so much special forces units in Afghanistan. When the ANA finish training with US forces they will be a good forces beside some minor problem they working on should be ready by 2014.
 
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surpreme

Member
Just find out that US is working with the Afghanistan in building a counter/terrorism unit and intelligence service I didn't know if they had one. I did a little research and found this out.
 

My2Cents

Active Member
I don't want to get off topic but I have no choice. Okay you can said the same with the Israel/US relationship. They do 2 faced behavior with Arab nation. Don't take it in the wrong way it three sides to a story. You have Israel who commits crime and the US do nothing its all in self defense thats what Israel/US said.
You will have to be a specific about the 2 face behavior of the Israel/US relationship, though I do not consider what I think you are referring to approaching the level displayed by Pakistan.
Now seeing the same thing in Pakistan and fyi Pakistan lose alot soldiers fighting the Taliban in the tribal areas so don't put them down. True the Pakistan ISI are with the northern tribes because the main enemy to Pakistan is India they had three wars and India is building there military up and have more manpower and is a bigger country than Pakistan who wouldn't be nervous beside a big nation like India. Pakistan and Waziristan (tribal area) made a deal so they can remain some of there freedom. Pakistan is a bad situation having to go against your own countryman is no joke just imagine that in the US. And don't come with stuff that it can't happen in the US. If a war come with India they going to need the Taliban and other groups. The Waziristan remind me of the Native American they just want to be left alone and follow there own way.
Re-read what I wrote, there are 3 contingents in Pakistan
-- al-Qaeda which they semi-cooperate with the USA against because al-Qaeda has launched some attacks in Pakistan. But then Osama bin Laden was found living less than a mile from the Pakistan war college, and … well wouldn’t you want an explanation? Pakistan has blocked all attempts by the US to participate in or even see the report on that little fiasco.
-- The Pakistan Taliban which Pakistan has been at war with since the Red Mosque incident and accounts for the vast majority of the casualties. So they are already “fighting their own countrymen.”
-- The Afghan Taliban which is based in Pakistan but fights outside Pakistan in Afghanistan, the Caucasus states, India, and China. This group is being (not so) secretly protected by the Pakistani ISI, military, and political forces. It is the one waging war in Afghanistan from the safety of its bases in Pakistan and the source of my 2-faced comment.

If harder to understand is that Pakistan is/has allowed Pakistan Taliban to be sheltered by the Afghan Taliban when they know good and well that the Pakistan Taliban will come right back as soon at the Pakistani troops move to occupation mode. The current situation would be a farce if the Pakistani people who lived in the area were not trapped in the middle. Harder still is the fact that Pakistan tolerates that the 2 groups of Taliban train together and switch between groups at will. Until they change these dynamics things can only get worse in Pakistan.

As for a war with India, don’t you think that continuously poking a tiger is a bad way to keep from getting clawed by it? Is Pakistan ready to launch a war if India starts a blockade by sea? Pakistans behavior is rapidly losing its potential allies for such a scenario, and I am not talking about the USA. Even China is getting a little leery.

And do not depend on nuclear weapons to stop India if they decide that there is no choice to go to war, like after a couple more Mumbai attacks. If India goes to war they will have to first decide that they can weather a Pakistani nuclear strike, and first nuke that Pakistan tosses is likely to result in a demand for unconditional surrender, if not a policy of total annihilation, and probably an Indian counter strike. Either way the country will be reduced to a 12th century economy.

And do not forget that India makes a lot of military purchases from Israel, and Israel is one of the 3 countries with an effective antimissile system. Russia may even be willing to sell them the S400 system. Doubt that either will intercept all of Pakistan’s missiles, but they would be much less effective than anticipated.
Overall you have to study Pakistan more to understand the country just as Pakistan have to study Israel/US relationship to understand that. You can't change that Pakistan and other groups in this area don't like anyone in there affairs.
No country does, and few in the USA expect to. But allies are expected to behave like allies, not stab you in the back. Pakistan does not seem able to understand or accept that.
The US don't want anyone in there affairs look at what happen to Black/African American in the 60's did anyone jump in about this and try to tell US what to do.
You obviously do not have a US education, unless it has changed significantly since my time. I probably spent half a year worth of class time (spread out over several years) studying it. The US government actually deployed troops into several states in support of blacks to end it. We even have a national holiday on behalf of one of the most important black leaders that lead to the end of the suppression of the blacks, Martin Luther King, Jr. So do not say we do not want anyone to look at it, we almost revel in it.
But back to Afghanistan have anyone heard of any major operation the Taliban conducted besides suicide attack they did? None except some took over a ANP post in Northern Afghanistan which NATO units already left the area and ANP ANA was about to conduct operation in that area anyway. Whether you like it or not things have change military. Whenever you can't conduct operation against the US/NATO thing have change on the ground. The NATO/US covert operation are working give credit where credit is due. Its still early in there spring offensive so we'll see what happen Personal I don't see any major operation the Taliban can conduct with so much special forces units in Afghanistan. When the ANA finish training with US forces they will be a good forces beside some minor problem they working on should be ready by 2014.
So the fact that, so far, this year the Taliban has not launched a major operation means that they never have? Just look at previous years.

And don’t expect the US to just up and leave this year. The drawdown will only starting, but the US will not be gone until either the Afghan government can stand on its own, the Taliban negotiates peace (which the ISI is actively opposing), or the Taliban can supply credible evidence that it will keep al-Qaeda from setting up again in Afghanistan if they take back over. Otherwise we will be back in Afghanistan in less than 2 decades, probably working with the Northern Alliance to drive the Pushtun out of Afghanistan in revenge for the next 9/11.
 

surpreme

Member
You will have to be a specific about the 2 face behavior of the Israel/US relationship, though I do not consider what I think you are referring to approaching the level displayed by Pakistan.
.

And do not depend on nuclear weapons to stop India if they decide that there is no choice to go to war, like after a couple more Mumbai attacks. If India goes to war they will have to first decide that they can weather a Pakistani nuclear strike, and first nuke that Pakistan tosses is likely to result in a demand for unconditional surrender, if not a policy of total annihilation, and probably an Indian counter strike. Either way the country will be reduced to a 12th century economy.

You miss what Im saiding the US/Israel relationship is more religion that common sense and the Pakistan and Taliban is a religion relationship maybe that will help you understand more. And for you to say something about my education you don't know me to said something like that. Im not going to get in a debate with you. FYI Im taking about the injustice the Black/African American experience in American did anyone come to there aid NO. My point is don't get into anyone affairs US don't want anyone to get in there affairs. US has made progress since than I know that. And you talk about a nuclear war there will be no winner in a nuclear war both with be destroyed plus the after effects will hurt the land and people in other nation as well. To bring up the of point that Pakistan will use nuclear weapons was stupid.
 
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My2Cents

Active Member
You miss what Im saiding the US/Israel relationship is more religion that common sense and the Pakistan and Taliban is a religion relationship maybe that will help you understand more.
The US/Israel relationship is more religion that common sense? Sounds like the Vast Zionist Conspiracy to me.

In the USA it is more about cheering for the underdog, in this case a little country successfully defending itself from surrounded people who proudly proclaim their intent to killing every one of them. If the Arab countries had been willing to live with the Jews back in 1945 the state of Israel could very well have never formed and would still be a part of Jordan. Instead the Arabs made it very clear that they intended to kill every Jew in Palestine. Given no alternative but to die, the Jews fought, and amazed everyone by winning!

But Israel is not the underdog anymore, and in the USA criticism of Israel is increasing and will keep increasing. But neither will the USA tolerate the genocidal rhetoric from Hamas, Hezbollah, and, in some cases, the Palestinian Authority.
And for you to say something about my education you don't know me to said something like that. Im not going to get in a debate with you. FYI Im taking about the injustice the Black/African American experience in American did anyone come to there aid NO. My point is don't get into anyone affairs US don't want anyone to get in there affairs. US has made progress since than I know that.
So your point is that no one should ever help someone else simply because they live in another community? I doubt that the Qur'an would support that view, or the Bible, Tanakh, Vedas, Buddhavacana, etc.
And you talk about a nuclear war there will be no winner in a nuclear war both with be destroyed plus the after effects will hurt the land and people in other nation as well. To bring up the of point that Pakistan will use nuclear weapons was stupid.
Yes, nuclear war is stupid. Yes it will severely damage both nations, especially Pakistan because of the prevailing winds. But if it happens it will be because Pakistan uses the first nuke, because India is stronger and does not have any reason to (and a lot of reasons not to). And when it happens the world will blame Pakistan, not India.

If you keep punching some bigger and stronger than you, don’t be surprised if you end up get decked and everyone cheers. Especially if you make a point of pissing off everyone else in town before it happens.

p.s. -- Put your comments after the [/QUOTE], or at least don’t delete it. Your replies will be much easier to follow and understand.
 

STURM

Well-Known Member
We are getting very off-topic here. There is also a profound difference between
the Israeli/U.S. relationship and the Pakistani/U.S. relationship.

Pakistan does not seem able to understand or accept that.
On the contrary, I think the Pakistanis understand this very well. They learnt a long time ago, on how to say ''yes'' to Uncle Sam and to any other 'big power' but do the opposite if it suits their interests. A big problem for them, which is also largely due to their own making, is that agreeing to some things as specified by the Americans, leads to an internal backlash. Whilst a great majority of Pakistanis are united against the threat posed by home grown insurgents/Islamists, a number of factors have also made the Americans increasingly unpopular Pakistanis.

But Israel is not the underdog anymore, and in the USA criticism of Israel is increasing and will keep increasing. But neither will the USA tolerate the genocidal rhetoric from Hamas, Hezbollah, and, in some cases, the Palestinian Authority.
It is certainly not an underdog and hasn't been one for the past few decades. The U.S. still talks about ensuring Israels's security and whenever Israel is put under political pressure regarding the building of settlements and its occupation of Palestinian land, it's constantly refers to its security and survival - but from whom exactly?? Which Arab state, threatens Israel's survival?
Even if the Arab states so desired, which they don't, it would be impossible for any Arab state to pose a threat to Israel's very survival due to Israel's military superiority and the unconditional support it gets from the U.S.

Israel has to choose whether it wants land or if it wants a comprehensive, lasting peace deal with the Palestinians, it can't have both. The Palestinians need to get their house in order, and the PA has to be able to convince Hamas and other groups, that a change in strategy is required if a peace deal is ever to be achieved. The U.S. needs to act as an honest and fair broker and ensure that both sides get moving on the right track and actually carry out what they agreed on - which is almost an impossibility at the moment.

http://www.independent.co.uk/opinio...-the-middle-east-what-obama-says-2290761.html

P.S. Maybe we should get back to discussing Afghanistan?
 
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surpreme

Member
We are getting very off-topic here. There is also a profound difference between
the Israeli/U.S. relationship and the Pakistani/U.S. relationship.



It is certainly not an underdog and hasn't been one for the past few decades. The U.S. still talks about ensuring Israels's security and whenever Israel is put under political pressure regarding the building of settlements and its occupation of Palestinian land, it's constantly refers to its security and survival- but from whom exactly?? Which Arab state, threatens Israel's survival?
Even if the Arab states so desired, which they don't, it would be impossible for any Arab state to pose a threat to Israel's very survival due to Israel's military superiority and the unconditional support it gets from the U.S.

Israel has to choose whether it wants land or if it wants a comprehensive, lasting peace deal with the Palestinians, it can't have both. The Palestinians need to get their house in order, and the PA has to be able to convince Hamas and other groups, that a change in strategy is required if a peace deal is ever to be achieved. The U.S. needs to act as an honest and fair broker and ensure that both sides get moving on the right track and actually carry out what they agreed on - which is almost an impossibility....

Who cares in the Middle East what Obama says? - Robert Fisk, Commentators - The Independent

Some years ago, a peace plan backed by Saudi, which guarenteed peace and recognition of Israel in exchange for a partial Israeli pullout from occupied land, was rejected by Israel and did not receive strong U.S. backing. The stumbling block as always remains the scope of the pullout, the unwillingness to stop settlement building and the insistance of the Palestinans that part of Jerusalem becomes the future capital.

P.S. Maybe we should get back to discussing Afghanistan?
That is correct didn't want to go into that deep but thats on the money. Do the ANA have a whole army division yet?
 
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