Andrew Davies of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute also says the federal government should not rely on Defence for objective advice on whether it should look at other options.
''Their answer will remain 'F-35', pretty much independent of the question,'' Dr Davies said.
The budget isn’t secret. The Defence Capability Plan has made clear for years the forward planning for what Australia expects to spend to acquire F-35. As for it and the cost of the bridging aircraft if you want to make a comparison to any other alternative you need to factor in the amount of years this will provide the RAAF with capable air combat platforms.I have always asserted the same thing as quoted below. I also asserted that the costs involved with the JSF since 2002 have balloned, including the first batch of gap filler F18E/F and now the possibility of another batch or life extension for the original F18.
I have been previously told to 'trust' in the judgement of the procurement team, I doubt they would ever publish all the costs incured with the JSF with any of the 2002 alternatives - it must be close to $10 Billion extra by going with the JSF.
I love the quote from the AVM saying that its all still within budget allocation (what the budget is is secret and I bet doesn't include bridging aircraft)
LOL. Conspiracy theorist! Most of the critics also believe the F-35 is not a combat effective platform. This belief is based on a long series of false and misleading analysis using made up and cherry picked pseudo facts. Sure it’s a great disappointment that the project is not proceeding to schedule but it’s almost a compulsory situation across all post modern government activity. The F-35 will bring immense combat power to the masses and there is nothing in service or in development (including the PAK-FA and J-20) that can challenge it.On this forum its been quite a pro JSF choice but with the resent spate of bad news from the JSF program I wondering if you now feel that trust has been misplaced, or if you think there may have been hidden influences that team are working under to get such a counter intuative result, or does the attitude remain the same as defence?
LOL. One guy says “I think…” the other guy says “we know…” who should you believe?Read more: Fighter jet plan 'faces death spiral'
If Australia want the JSF this decade the price is more than $75m and you'll be lucky to get any change from $120mI was under the impression the A model was humming along nicely ever since they restructured the program a few years ago, it is the B model that is causing all the dramas at the moment.
Didn’t they come out a while ago and state that Australia’s F35A aircraft would be quarantined from needing an injection of capital from the F35B/C model’s of the aircraft and Australia is expected to pay approximately between 65/75 million per aircraft.
Air 6000 is ~A$16 Billion??? HmmmThe budget isn’t secret. The Defence Capability Plan has made clear for years the forward planning for what Australia expects to spend to acquire F-35.
That is exactly what you have done with the F18E/F's so its a null point reallySince one assumes you are complaining about this cost in comparison with some other platform you need to address what happens when the effectiveness life of this non 5th generation platform expires.
The capability advantages of the F-35 compared to anything else that is available are so significant it is worth the wait.
From my reading of the matter,that is not correct.The budget isn’t secret. The Defence Capability Plan has made clear for years the forward planning for what Australia expects to spend to acquire F-35. As for it and the cost of the bridging aircraft if you want to make a comparison to any other alternative you need to factor in the amount of years this will provide the RAAF with capable air combat platforms.
Since one assumes you are complaining about this cost in comparison with some other platform you need to address what happens when the effectiveness life of this non 5th generation platform expires. For example and using indicative figures if you were to buy 100 Typhoons and it could remain in service from 2010-2030 as a frontline fighter what do you do come 2030 when you have to replace it? Compared to buying 24 Super Hornets for 2010-2020 and then 72 F-35s for 2020-2050 as front line fighters?
Finally the ‘ballooning’ of cost is far from being as significant as detractors make out. Additions in cost for the development program don’t apply to Australia, we’ve already paid our slice. Much of the addition in cost to the production programs is via inflation and for Australia is somewhat offset by significant increase in the value of our foreign exchange.
The only significant problem the F-35 has inflicted is a delay to the schedule. But this is only around five years. Obviously no one would like this delay but it’s not the end of the world. The capability advantages of the F-35 compared to anything else that is available are so significant it is worth the wait.
LOL. Conspiracy theorist! Most of the critics also believe the F-35 is not a combat effective platform. This belief is based on a long series of false and misleading analysis using made up and cherry picked pseudo facts. Sure it’s a great disappointment that the project is not proceeding to schedule but it’s almost a compulsory situation across all post modern government activity. The F-35 will bring immense combat power to the masses and there is nothing in service or in development (including the PAK-FA and J-20) that can challenge it.
LOL. One guy says “I think…” the other guy says “we know…” who should you believe?
From my reading of the matter,that is not correct.
Even if everything goes to plan it will be more likely 7 to 8 years "late" and even then the block 5 software will be years after that?
Also the thing is not built for A2A, that is the job of the F22.
Surely the PAK-FA and J20 are built to counter the F22, and therefore will be superior to the F35 in A2A.
Ahh through life support (TLS) cost is not included in Australian acquisition price costings beyond the initial purchase of spares (usually four years that come as part of the unit). So you’ve completely pulled $30 billion out of your arse in comparing it to the DCP costings. Any other major goal posts you’d like to move to support your argument?Air 6000 is ~A$16 Billion??? Hmmm
100 JSF's x $120m = $12 Billion (I'm being kind here)
The usualy through life costs are ~$12 Billion
Plus gap aircraft $4 Billion +support costs possibly another additional purchase of F18 or extend the classic hornet. so anywhere between $500m and $6 Billion more.
I got to +$30 Billion before I gave up...
LOL. Again much of it is fantasy money. And yes for $20 billion we could have developed our own 4th generation fighter and built 100 of them. But it probably wouldn’t be as good as the Hornets they were replacing and certainly no where near F-35 capability.For thast sort of money you could have developed your own aircraft.
No such thing. Since day one AIR 6000 has talked about initial tranches of 72 F-35s followed by a much later tranche of 24 F-35s or ‘something else, like a UCAV’. The decision of the final tranche to be made AFTER the F-35 was in service.I also note the old story was 100 JSF's now its minimum of 72 I think they are changing numbers again.
Unmitigated bullshit. You are really showing your complete ignorance of how AIR 6000 was structured around the F-35. The RAAF always planned to maintain a squadron in service with a legacy platform until all of the initial tranches of F-35 (first 72) were introduced into service. Originally this was going to be 1 Squadron converted to F/A-18A/B. But because of the BACC program it will now be 1 Squadron with the F/A-18F Blk. 2. Then the Government has the option of replacing these aircraft with F-35s, UCAVs, something else or with the F/A-18F upgrade and life extension.I That is exactly what you have done with the F18E/F's so its a null point really
The F-35 has far more combat power than any alternative. That it is behind schedule and off its radius KPP by 2% doesn’t change that.Really?? its not even finished development, its not meeting its promised KPP at present, its not meeting its schedule (pick any schedule), or its promised price - yet you assert its better than anything else available??:eek
The only thing it has started is the building of Production aircraft :lol3
What total bullshit. The assumptions built into such an argument are so totally loaded it is pointless. Like the F-35s not having any of their own AEW&C and continuing on dead plum courses letting the Typhoons manoeuvre into a kill. Force on force eight F-35s configured for strike will wipe the floor with four Typhoons configured for ATA.Talking about those that know - In a study (admittedly conducted by Eurofighter GmbH) it was found that four Typhoons with AWACS support could defeat 8 attacking JSF's in stealth configuration 85% of the time.
Does that make the JSF worth the wait?, the price?, the additional gap aircraft or the "extra"capability that is defeated 85% of the time by 4th generation fighters?.
What isn’t supported? Ohh that’s right you subscribe to a conspiracy where any claim about the F-35’s capability by the Forces or Lockheed is considered just lies and marketing spin.I think your on pretty shakey ground with your unsupported assertions.
What everything I said? Please be more specific. Otherwise you just look like an idiot.From my reading of the matter,that is not correct.
We are discussing the RAAF’s schedule. The F-35 program has so many different schedules because it has multiple versions and multiple customers. The only schedule in question is RAAF initial operating capability (IOC) on F-35. Which is one squadron of Blk III F-35As.Even if everything goes to plan it will be more likely 7 to 8 years "late" and even then the block 5 software will be years after that?
That is a total falsehood. The F-35 is designed for every mission the F-22 is. Because it lacks the F-22’s supercruise mission its defensive combat air patrol requires two F-35s to match the same airspace coverage as a single F-22. Considering the REAL cost differences this is not such a bad ratio.Also the thing is not built for A2A, that is the job of the F22.
LOL. All things being equal between Russian, Chinese and American aerospace technology sure. But they aren’t equal so NO they will not.Surely the PAK-FA and J20 are built to counter the F22, and therefore will be superior to the F35 in A2A.
Funny how you treat LM's word as Gospel and Eurofighter GmbH as Total Bullshit, I gather from this your in the "The answer is JSF, now what was the question?" camp.What total bullshit. The assumptions built into such an argument are so totally loaded it is pointless.
What isn’t supported? Ohh that’s right you subscribe to a conspiracy where any claim about the F-35’s capability by the Forces or Lockheed is considered just lies and marketing spin.
You continue to reduce things down to gross simplifications. It’s no wonder that you have no idea when you destroy so much data in slashing the resolution.Funny how you treat LM's word as Gospel and Eurofighter GmbH as Total Bullshit, I gather from this your in the "The answer is JSF, now what was the question?" camp.
It’s not all about Lockheed. That you think it is shows just how little you know. Lockheed don’t own the F-35. The US Department of Defense owns it. Lockheed don’t decide on the data to be released or even generate most of it, the US DoD does.I would submit to you that LM would be doing exactly the same in reverse, the only difference is that you swallow it hook line and sinker.
This attempt to defame the F-35 is based on three items of data, two of which are wrong. Lockheed didn’t make those claims. The US DoD did. The $50m flyaway price is in then year dollars from 2002. The price has grown about 20% but its now nine years later. If only the RAAF had such excellent price growth for the F-111 and F/A-18 (hint: they didn’t).If LM claims were true we would have a $50m IOC ready JSF ready for delivery in 6 months, thats a demostatable proof that LM is and continues to be wrong.
LM had a powerpoint presentation in 2002, it was a dummy senario as the present situation unquestionably highlights, Unfortunatley the "Dummies" bought into it.I outlined to you in reasonably precise terms why I dismissed Eurofighter’s claims. They had a dummy scenario for dummies.
And where prey do the US DoD get their data from?? there not exactly working in a vacuumIt’s not all about Lockheed. That you think it is shows just how little you know. Lockheed don’t own the F-35. The US Department of Defense owns it. Lockheed don’t decide on the data to be released or even generate most of it, the US DoD does.
LM provided the data to the US DOD, or do you think the US DoD is just making stuff up?. Even the Australian AVM has hinted the JSF has reached its elastic funding limit in Australia.This attempt to defame the F-35 is based on three items of data, two of which are wrong. Lockheed didn’t make those claims. The US DoD did. The $50m flyaway price is in then year dollars from 2002. The price has grown about 20% but its now nine years later. If only the RAAF had such excellent price growth for the F-111 and F/A-18 (hint: they didn’t).
Firstly where is this performance information coming from that these assements are made from? oh its LM with its yet to be demonstrated capability...The capability of the F-35 has been backed by every professional assessment with access to detailed information.
That would assume that you must accept the claim when evidence is produced!!.( On previous form I'm not hopeful)But if you are going to make such an assertion without any evidence that ‘Lockheed’ must be wrong on capability claims (because they were wrong on the schedule claims) then I can dismiss that claim without any evidence (Hitchens, 2003).
Current estimates are its 584 nautical miles, now they were either wrong on capability claims or lying, so which is it? source http://www.fas.org/man/eprint/F-35-SAR.pdfThe F-35 has a radius of 673 nautical miles on internal fuel
I feel I'm in the presence of a master, and can only aspire to the dizzying heights of the 99% crap your spruiking, I have got the answer I wanted - You have the same attitude as Defence. -The JSF is the answer independant of the question, it doesn't matter what I say to you and not the sort of reasoned discussion I was looking for.PS I refuted all seven of the claims in your post before last but you only responded to two of them here. What about the other 5 out of 7? Or do you concede that you have a 71% full of crap rate?
Oh and the 50% more capable is an official source, not some klownklub on a home computer
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d04900.pdf
2004 the Joint Strike Fighter F-35C is expected to be approximately nine
times more capable than the AV-8B Harrier aircraft, about five times more
capable than the F-14D and F/A-18 A+/C/D aircraft, three times more
capable than the first version of the F/A-18 E/F aircraft, and 50 percent
more capable than the second version of the F/A-18E/F.
BTW they did other studies which change the capability score but didn't keep the paperwork!! I'm sure they musta been the better ones for the JSFTo determine the relative capabilities of each aircraft
comprising these forces, the contractor convened a panel of experts who
were familiar with planned capability and used official aircraft
performance data to score the offensive and defensive capabilities of
different aircraft
independant disspassionate analysis???.The contractor relied on aircraft capability scores assigned by a panel of experts as a basis for comparing the relative effectiveness of the aircraft
and alternative force structures examined. The results showed that by
2020, the previously planned and new smaller force would be four times
more effective at hitting targets than the current force. However, the
panelists subjectively determined the capability scores from official
aircraft performance parameters provided by the Navy. The contractor
reportedly conducted a “sensitivity analysis” of the aircraft capability
scores and found that changing the scores affected the forces’ relative
effectiveness. Since the contractor did not retain documentation of the
analysis, we could not verify the quality of the scoring, nor attest that the
relative effectiveness of the new force will be four times greater than the
current force as the study reported.