The Royal Navy Discussions and Updates

Waylander

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
I think we should pull out of the EU and form one economic/military union of the UK, Oz, NZ and Canada, but then I'm an old Imperialist at heart :)
You are aware of who are your most important trading partners? ;)
But hey the UK economy is in such a good shape that they would have no problem with EU trade getting severely hampered...
 

MrQuintus

New Member
You are aware of who are your most important trading partners? ;)
But hey the UK economy is in such a good shape that they would have no problem with EU trade getting severely hampered...
Withdrawing from the EU and returning to a position in the European free trade association (of which we were a founder member) would not change the way we trade with europe, it would in fact allow us to go ack to the way things were before we joined, which was working rather well.
 

swerve

Super Moderator
The relationship of EFTA to the EU has changed since then.

If we did not wish to change the way we trade with the EU, we'd have to retain membership of the EEA, along with 3 of the 4 members of EFTA, or emulate the 4th, Switzerland, which has a complicated set of bilateral agreements covering almost all the same ground.

You end up having to accept much EU law & regulation, without having any say in the making of those laws & regulations.
 

Hambo

New Member
I don't know but would zig zaging work against homing torpedos and sub launched sea skimming missiles do navies still do this? If we acting with USN they would have SSNs if we need them.

As to a force deploying 10-12 SSK against us,Im not sure many nations could afford that at £300-350m a go, India is managing 6 Scorpenes, Spain 4 or maybe 6 S80. Our SSN force stacks up very well IMO., could do with more but its good, and will be similr sized than France who also have gone the SSN route.

India operates 16 SSKs, France operates SSN & SSKs


The current U212a which is probably the best in class is c280 Euros. The RN was lukewarm about SSKs and offered them up as soon as it faced a challenge. I look at the exports of Oberons and compare with the 70 boats German has exported over the last 35 years.



We are never going to war with Russia, China or India


I would think sonar technology was more sensitive, than nuclear reactors. With no serious export orders I see a very dark time for the RN. We are building very small production runs the most expensive way to procure. Where will we be in 20 years, 6 SSN, 3 SSBN, 6 T45, 8-12 C1/2, something has to give, I would rather forgo SSN for SSK? [/QUOTE]

So in summary 1805

Do you accept that SSK's are inferior to SSN's in terms of global reach and ability to protect a task force on the other side of the world, hence the USA would help us out? What if they wont?

Are you saying that we need not worry about the RN based nuclear deterrent being compromised because we will never go to War with Russia, China or India? As you would prefer SSK to SSN, are you actually in favour of UK sea based nuclear deterrent, or would you scrap that?Does it bother you that Russia , China and India would or could sell the secrets to the RN SSN and SSBN fleet to anyone in the world should they wish. As a side point the most active countries currently involved with espionage within the UK is China, Israel, Russia and France so clearly our industrial secrets are worth protectiong and are coveted. Over the next 50 years the race for energy sources will spark tensions globally, it is very niave to rule out direct conflict.

Are you saying that we could realistically market SSK's despite the fact that most navies who will have a need for them over the next 20 years have either comitted to Franco/spanish , german of Russian designs already? Where is the niche in the market?, and do you seriously think we could design an SKK and guarantee sales that fit in with custmer requirement slots, or would the yards and workers sit idle until a customer pops up? That price for U212 seems cheap, considering Scorpene boats are said to come in at 438m euros.

So a cutting miniaturised nuclear reactor, full of large quantities of highly enriched nuclear fuel, is a safe thing to export? Hmm , so it wont end up in spin off nuclear programes that one day might be used against us?

If I wasnt so trusting 1805 I would suspect you might be a wind up.

What with your fantasies for Sea Dart, trading goods that germans dont need in exchange for U212s like some cooperative collective, and now flogging SSN's to India (who by the way have an indigenous programme and who wouldnt need a joint venture for SSK's becuase they have bought the Scorpene class) whilst suggesting that the RN itself may be better off with SSK's despite that destroying the very same nuclear sub industry that the Indians would covet? Plus the basic ability to check basic information such as France going the SSN route and ditching SSK's.
 

radar07

New Member
afaik the 2nd batch of the german u212 (2 subs) costs little more than 800 mio €, so a single u212 is about 400+ mio €.
 

1805

New Member
afaik the 2nd batch of the german u212 (2 subs) costs little more than 800 mio €, so a single u212 is about 400+ mio €.
I think the figure I saw was at a pre crisis exchange rate of c 1.40 a distant memory now but that would work out at £285m
 

1805

New Member
I don't know but would zig zaging work against homing torpedos and sub launched sea skimming missiles do navies still do this? If we acting with USN they would have SSNs if we need them.

As to a force deploying 10-12 SSK against us,Im not sure many nations could afford that at £300-350m a go, India is managing 6 Scorpenes, Spain 4 or maybe 6 S80. Our SSN force stacks up very well IMO., could do with more but its good, and will be similr sized than France who also have gone the SSN route.

India operates 16 SSKs, France operates SSN & SSKs


The current U212a which is probably the best in class is c280 Euros. The RN was lukewarm about SSKs and offered them up as soon as it faced a challenge. I look at the exports of Oberons and compare with the 70 boats German has exported over the last 35 years.



We are never going to war with Russia, China or India


I would think sonar technology was more sensitive, than nuclear reactors. With no serious export orders I see a very dark time for the RN. We are building very small production runs the most expensive way to procure. Where will we be in 20 years, 6 SSN, 3 SSBN, 6 T45, 8-12 C1/2, something has to give, I would rather forgo SSN for SSK?
So in summary 1805

Do you accept that SSK's are inferior to SSN's in terms of global reach and ability to protect a task force on the other side of the world, hence the USA would help us out? What if they wont?

Are you saying that we need not worry about the RN based nuclear deterrent being compromised because we will never go to War with Russia, China or India? As you would prefer SSK to SSN, are you actually in favour of UK sea based nuclear deterrent, or would you scrap that?Does it bother you that Russia , China and India would or could sell the secrets to the RN SSN and SSBN fleet to anyone in the world should they wish. As a side point the most active countries currently involved with espionage within the UK is China, Israel, Russia and France so clearly our industrial secrets are worth protectiong and are coveted. Over the next 50 years the race for energy sources will spark tensions globally, it is very niave to rule out direct conflict.

Are you saying that we could realistically market SSK's despite the fact that most navies who will have a need for them over the next 20 years have either comitted to Franco/spanish , german of Russian designs already? Where is the niche in the market?, and do you seriously think we could design an SKK and guarantee sales that fit in with custmer requirement slots, or would the yards and workers sit idle until a customer pops up? That price for U212 seems cheap, considering Scorpene boats are said to come in at 438m euros.

So a cutting miniaturised nuclear reactor, full of large quantities of highly enriched nuclear fuel, is a safe thing to export? Hmm , so it wont end up in spin off nuclear programes that one day might be used against us?

If I wasnt so trusting 1805 I would suspect you might be a wind up.

What with your fantasies for Sea Dart, trading goods that germans dont need in exchange for U212s like some cooperative collective, and now flogging SSN's to India (who by the way have an indigenous programme and who wouldnt need a joint venture for SSK's becuase they have bought the Scorpene class) whilst suggesting that the RN itself may be better off with SSK's despite that destroying the very same nuclear sub industry that the Indians would covet? Plus the basic ability to check basic information such as France going the SSN route and ditching SSK's.[/QUOTE]

India is a Nuclear power and has land based civil reactors and sea based russian ones. i don't see how this could be turned them into weapons or why they would when they have them already. I think there are areas where the UK does have real strengths such as RR gas turbines which could be used in countertrade deal. I won't go over the Sea Dart issue again but if you look at it with an open mind, although maybe not perfect it is not as mad an idea as you make out. I guess many of my ideas are out of the box, but I don't hear any suggestions on how to meet the challenges the RN faces other than they should have more money. (the budget is already 42 billion 4th in the world according to wiki and 2.4% of GDP there is probably ground for a cut to £35bn 2% greater than German not that I hold this view). When the axe does fall all you will do is winge.

Also why is there anything wrong with counter trade deals they go on all the time with defence kit, was the original Saudi deal tied to an oil trade and the Italians did do a countertrade deal with the Germans over U212as.
 
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Jon K

New Member
On issue of the prospective carriers of RN, I think it's worth taking a look at the scheduled deliveries of JCA's to form the air wing of the said carriers...

Ares Homepage

UK scheduled deliveries:

CY09 2
CY10 1
CY13 7
CY15 9
CY16 11
CY17 3
CY18 6
CY19 14
CY20 10
CY21 2
CY22 4
CY23 14
CY24 14
CY25 14
CY26 14
CY27 13

Number of aircraft in UK inventory if the schedule holds (and it hasn't and it won't)

2015 19
2020 54

So, even if the schedule holds the CV(F) will be able to deploy an air wing only after 2020...
 

MrQuintus

New Member
On issue of the prospective carriers of RN, I think it's worth taking a look at the scheduled deliveries of JCA's to form the air wing of the said carriers...

Ares Homepage

UK scheduled deliveries:

CY09 2
CY10 1
CY13 7
CY15 9
CY16 11
CY17 3
CY18 6
CY19 14
CY20 10
CY21 2
CY22 4
CY23 14
CY24 14
CY25 14
CY26 14
CY27 13

Number of aircraft in UK inventory if the schedule holds (and it hasn't and it won't)

2015 19
2020 54

So, even if the schedule holds the CV(F) will be able to deploy an air wing only after 2020...
Does anyone know why we aren't getting any in FY '011, '012, or 014?
 

Troothsayer

New Member
So, even if the schedule holds the CV(F) will be able to deploy an air wing only after 2020...

If you think it'll ever deploy more than a dozen F35 in peacetime your mistaken anyway. If it can deploy a dozen F35 by 2018 it will still be a quantum leap over anything the RN can put out now. When was the last time the current carriers deployed that sort of number?

The 2 carriers departed for the F.I with 12 and 8 Harriers respectively in 1982. If the same numbers are available in 2016-2018 why would it not be able to deploy until after 2020?
 

ASFC

New Member
If you think it'll ever deploy more than a dozen F35 in peacetime your mistaken anyway. If it can deploy a dozen F35 by 2018 it will still be a quantum leap over anything the RN can put out now. When was the last time the current carriers deployed that sort of number?

The 2 carriers departed for the F.I with 12 and 8 Harriers respectively in 1982. If the same numbers are available in 2016-2018 why would it not be able to deploy until after 2020?
Absolutely agree-I also think it is very easy to forget that the RN is building Carriers that big because of the inheritant flexibility that the QE design offers over an Invincible sized ship that is currently used, not because it would suddenly instantly have a larger airwings to fly of them. It was always going to take a good decade to see a full airwing worked up anyway, and will probably only ever deploy with a full airwing for large exercises or war.......
 

riksavage

Banned Member
Absolutely agree-I also think it is very easy to forget that the RN is building Carriers that big because of the inheritant flexibility that the QE design offers over an Invincible sized ship that is currently used, not because it would suddenly instantly have a larger airwings to fly of them. It was always going to take a good decade to see a full airwing worked up anyway, and will probably only ever deploy with a full airwing for large exercises or war.......
The QE's are designed to be as flexible as possible, the F35B flight represents just one tool in the box. With the evolving use of UAV/UCAV I suspect by 2020 at least six to eight UAV/UCAV will be deployed in addition to F35B, Merlin AsW, Merlin MASC, Merlin Junglies, Apache, Wildcat etc. UK carriers are tri-service assets, floating real estate hosting Army, RM & RN personnel. Doctrine will evolve to reflect this reality. With asymmetrical warfare likely to continue the carriers represent a home from home for units looking to carry-out strategic raiding against failed states, not just there to provide CAP/CAS coverage in conventional scenarios.

The term 'Aircraft Carrier' no longer reflects the role of such platforms, they will end up carrying so much more in support of ISTAR and expeditionary warfare.
 

Hambo

New Member
With the current Argentinian political games, what options would the UK have?, do we play it tough and beef up the military presence on the islands or would a modest medium term naval build up be wise?

Can someone with adequate insight please explain what "extended readiness" actually means in practice and what ships recently retired could perhaps be given a temporary reprieve? For instance HMS Nottingham (?) has just gone, HMS Exeter last year. I think the Sea Dart was removed but could it be put back? Would it be an option politically for HM Governement to spend a modest sum on a short recall? Sort of a political statement sending out a message that we wont be messed with? Could the props be put back on HMS Invincible for a symbolic cruise around the Isle of Wight?

Both the labour and Tory party seem to be saying the right things on the subject. Although highly unlikely wouldnt it be nice if they committed to 1 or 2 more T45'S or 1-2 Astutes, maybe committing publically to a permanent SSN presence on paper down south once the oil flows. I know we are skint but at least that could be deferred somewhat til the economy picks up, maybe paid partially by a levy or westminster share of oil revenue.

That said it would be cheaper just to base a few more Typhoons down there.

It makes the need to patch up Endurance or buy a replacement even more necessary.
 

1805

New Member
With the current Argentinian political games, what options would the UK have?, do we play it tough and beef up the military presence on the islands or would a modest medium term naval build up be wise?

Can someone with adequate insight please explain what "extended readiness" actually means in practice and what ships recently retired could perhaps be given a temporary reprieve? For instance HMS Nottingham (?) has just gone, HMS Exeter last year. I think the Sea Dart was removed but could it be put back? Would it be an option politically for HM Governement to spend a modest sum on a short recall? Sort of a political statement sending out a message that we wont be messed with? Could the props be put back on HMS Invincible for a symbolic cruise around the Isle of Wight?

Both the labour and Tory party seem to be saying the right things on the subject. Although highly unlikely wouldnt it be nice if they committed to 1 or 2 more T45'S or 1-2 Astutes, maybe committing publically to a permanent SSN presence on paper down south once the oil flows. I know we are skint but at least that could be deferred somewhat til the economy picks up, maybe paid partially by a levy or westminster share of oil revenue.

That said it would be cheaper just to base a few more Typhoons down there.

It makes the need to patch up Endurance or buy a replacement even more necessary.
This is a political exercies, Argentina has moved away from an agressive military approach. She is spending a very low percentage of GDP on defence (Wiki estimate 0.9% in 2009) and has introduced laws to restrict the military's role to just defensive. Very little equipment seems to be replaced and the airforce is down to 41 frontline jets, I am sure the current Typhoon force could deal with it. So the UK MOD is not going to commit a few billion on extra equipment, or throw money away on very old ships, when it is just sharpening the butchers knife. (anyway they were only armed with Sea Dart, there are plenty of Sea Wolf ships about)

In any case the political moves could be more of an issue but not a huge one.
 

Troothsayer

New Member
This is a political exercies, Argentina has moved away from an agressive military approach. She is spending a very low percentage of GDP on defence (Wiki estimate 0.9% in 2009) and has introduced laws to restrict the military's role to just defensive. Very little equipment seems to be replaced and the airforce is down to 41 frontline jets, I am sure the current Typhoon force could deal with it. So the UK MOD is not going to commit a few billion on extra equipment, or throw money away on very old ships, when it is just sharpening the butchers knife. (anyway they were only armed with Sea Dart, there are plenty of Sea Wolf ships about)

In any case the political moves could be more of an issue but not a huge one.
This is true, but the UK needs to be aware that there could well be a scramble for resources in that area in future. And it might get messy.

As for the political side at the UN, there'll be lots of handwaving and rhetoric but it won't come close to a vote or a resolution.
 

Warwiz

New Member
This is a political exercies, Argentina has moved away from an agressive military approach. She is spending a very low percentage of GDP on defence (Wiki estimate 0.9% in 2009) and has introduced laws to restrict the military's role to just defensive. Very little equipment seems to be replaced and the airforce is down to 41 frontline jets, I am sure the current Typhoon force could deal with it. So the UK MOD is not going to commit a few billion on extra equipment, or throw money away on very old ships, when it is just sharpening the butchers knife. (anyway they were only armed with Sea Dart, there are plenty of Sea Wolf ships about)

In any case the political moves could be more of an issue but not a huge one.
========================================

If the British were to build their forces in the Falklands, it will cost them a good penny to deploy and keep them armed and ready. It may be more expensive to keep them their then the price of whatever oil is found. Does anyone know how much it cost to have the forces they do now at the Falklands? I read a few years ago that it was like around a Billion US$ a year.
 

Hambo

New Member
This is a political exercies, Argentina has moved away from an agressive military approach. She is spending a very low percentage of GDP on defence (Wiki estimate 0.9% in 2009) and has introduced laws to restrict the military's role to just defensive. Very little equipment seems to be replaced and the airforce is down to 41 frontline jets, I am sure the current Typhoon force could deal with it. So the UK MOD is not going to commit a few billion on extra equipment, or throw money away on very old ships, when it is just sharpening the butchers knife. (anyway they were only armed with Sea Dart, there are plenty of Sea Wolf ships about)

In any case the political moves could be more of an issue but not a huge one.
True, its not just Argentina playing games now though, although the Islands are militarily safe, I wouldnt be suprised to see some joint military exercises with Argentina and allies eg Venezuela. I suppose it must be a emotive subject for S.Americans to see the chance of future wealth slipping away. The Old powers have been quick to stake claims to the sea bed around Antarctica

This im afraid is an example of things to come, unless sustainable energies work, more countries and more power blocs will be competing for fewer and harder to reach resources. The EU, the USA, China, Russia will all be staking claims in other peoples back yards.

I think the next move for Argentina would be to stoke up some unnoficial boycott of Uk goods and services if the drilling exploration leads to production.

Onto the idea of short service reprieves for recently paid off ships, if the current politcial consensus (prior to a General Election) is that perhaps escort number need increasing then maybe there is scope to take advantage. Realistically without a bit of Argentine scaremongering, with headlines spread over The Sun, there is zero chance of numbers going up, maybe its a chance for the Admirals to brief to Fox about our unpreparedness to defend the Falklands, he might be dim enough to fall for it, and keen for a headline, eg The Tories pledge 24 escorts minimum, Brown would be forced into a gesture.
 

1805

New Member
True, its not just Argentina playing games now though, although the Islands are militarily safe, I wouldnt be suprised to see some joint military exercises with Argentina and allies eg Venezuela. I suppose it must be a emotive subject for S.Americans to see the chance of future wealth slipping away. The Old powers have been quick to stake claims to the sea bed around Antarctica

This im afraid is an example of things to come, unless sustainable energies work, more countries and more power blocs will be competing for fewer and harder to reach resources. The EU, the USA, China, Russia will all be staking claims in other peoples back yards.

I think the next move for Argentina would be to stoke up some unnoficial boycott of Uk goods and services if the drilling exploration leads to production.

Onto the idea of short service reprieves for recently paid off ships, if the current politcial consensus (prior to a General Election) is that perhaps escort number need increasing then maybe there is scope to take advantage. Realistically without a bit of Argentine scaremongering, with headlines spread over The Sun, there is zero chance of numbers going up, maybe its a chance for the Admirals to brief to Fox about our unpreparedness to defend the Falklands, he might be dim enough to fall for it, and keen for a headline, eg The Tories pledge 24 escorts minimum, Brown would be forced into a gesture.
Ship numbers will be going one way down, regardless of the party, the state of the UK finance require defence cuts. No party has made a commitment to protect the defence budget and there is a reason for that. The Army in a hot war they are not likely to face heavy cuts, these will most likely fall disproportionately on the RN/RAF. I know you think I am mad to suggest pre-emptive measures, but you seem to be in complete denial of the current economic situation.
 

1805

New Member
This is true, but the UK needs to be aware that there could well be a scramble for resources in that area in future. And it might get messy.

As for the political side at the UN, there'll be lots of handwaving and rhetoric but it won't come close to a vote or a resolution.

Agreed, it could actually backfire on us big time being seen to make a big issue over this and reinforcing the Islands unnecessarily, helping to unite South American countries.
 

Troothsayer

New Member
Agreed, it could actually backfire on us big time being seen to make a big issue over this and reinforcing the Islands unnecessarily, helping to unite South American countries.
Absolutely, we 've made our position clear and as the UK government says 'we're not going to be commenting on every little thing that Argentina says'
 
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