The technical problem for the gripen vs. F-35:
1. It is limited how many updates the Gripen has left: The current/planned Gripen might be modern; but will it be possible to update it significantly in 2030?? It is crucial as that is crucial. Choosing Gripen means You presupposes that requirements and opposition will not change in the next 40 years.
2. Political considerations: Experience show that Nordic defence does not work. Dr. Freud: It was attempeted to form a defensive pact between Denmark and Sweden in 1937; but the result was negative. In fact the defenceplan for Denmark did include a Swedish expeditionary corps at the eve of the invasion - everybody knew they were not coming; but it was probably the only way a credible defence could be formed. On that background the Prime Minister had no choise but to surrender on the best possible terms.
After WW2 the attempts were renewed; but stranded again, so Nato was the only option - much against the wishes of Prime Minister HC Hansen. It has consistently been Swedens opinion, that a defensive pact with the other Nordic countries did not suit their purpose - fair enough. The problem now is does it suit Nato's?
Finally we have tried buying Swedish fighters: The Draken F35X - a much modified ground attack/recce version of the interceptor Draken. It worked; but not as well as the F-100 - carried more but not so far. The main problem was however spares: A) They were hugely expensive - as spares normally are. B) We had to carry a large stock of them, as they would not be delivered in time of war. That is the reason Drakens are still flying: When they were phased out we had plenty of spares. The mere spares issue is against Gripen. On the other hand: Long experience with the USA as a supplier counts in their favour:
When the F-100 got long in tooth we could get replacement aircraft free of charge - we only had to pay freight and get them out of mothballing.
We have been able to buy replacement, pre used F-16 at a very modest price - where we had to spend just as much in updating them - it was a bargain.
Furthermore - and decisively - The F-35 has an engine with the future ahead of it - Gripen engine is at its relative peak performance in the life cycle.
Finally: The defining scenario is not defence of danish air territory any more.
1. It is limited how many updates the Gripen has left: The current/planned Gripen might be modern; but will it be possible to update it significantly in 2030?? It is crucial as that is crucial. Choosing Gripen means You presupposes that requirements and opposition will not change in the next 40 years.
2. Political considerations: Experience show that Nordic defence does not work. Dr. Freud: It was attempeted to form a defensive pact between Denmark and Sweden in 1937; but the result was negative. In fact the defenceplan for Denmark did include a Swedish expeditionary corps at the eve of the invasion - everybody knew they were not coming; but it was probably the only way a credible defence could be formed. On that background the Prime Minister had no choise but to surrender on the best possible terms.
After WW2 the attempts were renewed; but stranded again, so Nato was the only option - much against the wishes of Prime Minister HC Hansen. It has consistently been Swedens opinion, that a defensive pact with the other Nordic countries did not suit their purpose - fair enough. The problem now is does it suit Nato's?
Finally we have tried buying Swedish fighters: The Draken F35X - a much modified ground attack/recce version of the interceptor Draken. It worked; but not as well as the F-100 - carried more but not so far. The main problem was however spares: A) They were hugely expensive - as spares normally are. B) We had to carry a large stock of them, as they would not be delivered in time of war. That is the reason Drakens are still flying: When they were phased out we had plenty of spares. The mere spares issue is against Gripen. On the other hand: Long experience with the USA as a supplier counts in their favour:
When the F-100 got long in tooth we could get replacement aircraft free of charge - we only had to pay freight and get them out of mothballing.
We have been able to buy replacement, pre used F-16 at a very modest price - where we had to spend just as much in updating them - it was a bargain.
Furthermore - and decisively - The F-35 has an engine with the future ahead of it - Gripen engine is at its relative peak performance in the life cycle.
Finally: The defining scenario is not defence of danish air territory any more.