To some this may seem a bit off topic, but I feel it has warranty being in this thread, so here goes.
Last week, while waiting on a colleague returning to his desk, I came across & read an article in a magazine that was lying on his desk, about defence analysis and strategy. It was discussing the shipbuilding industry in the UK & future programs for the RN. In particular it was examining the manpower levels needed by the industry to achieve the projected delivery timetables.
This got me thinking about how things are going to pan out over the next 10-15 years. Being on this side of the defence Industry, I feel that my position within the company I work for, as a person in his late 30's, that I could probably be kept employed working in one form or another, supporting these build programs until I retire !
That aside, it also got me thinking, some of the figures quoted , which basically stated that there are about 8,000 people directly employed in the construction of these vessels, from this I deduced that for every DIRECT job, there are at least 5 INDIRECT jobs,this means that about another 40,000 people are involved !).
It then went onto a projected time table of events, cross referenced to the expected amount of manpower required. The conclusion was that over the next 5 years this original figure of 8,000 should hopefully just about double, to a heady total of about 15,000.
Here's the problem (as I see it). The UK, like most of Europe is suffering from an engineering black hole. The working population is getting older, there are fewer people being born in Europe, (which has pretty much been the case since 1970, up until 2005, when figures started a on small rise).
These facts & the outsourcing of heavy industry to the far east, mixed with mergers, closures & the general "dislike" of the younger generation of any form of engineering that involves getting their hands dirty, means that the situation is only getting worse, as there are FEWER engineers.
Add to all this the up & coming 2012 Olympics, which will be a financial draw to all those with construction skills, along with the infrastructure updates that are happening all across the UK, in the form of building new schools / hospitals, etc.
Have we as a nation shot ourselves in the foot by leaving this build program too late?
Or do you think that we'll pull out that "Dunkirk Spirit" & soldier on, with our usual Britishness?
Your thoughts please
Systems Adict