Sorry for late post. -One Chinese guy I personally talk with, told me that currently main Idea of Chinese military buildup is planned war with Japan. I was really shocked. - He was very serous on that. No point for China to get involved in conflict with Taiwan - game don't worth it. And if you ask any Chinese- about possibility of war with Japan - most often answer- it's possible. I'd like to know opinion of any buddies from China here on that forum - is that true? I would be totally unhappy to stay right between Japan and China in that war.
Well,It s a complicated psychological problem rather than a political or military one . the chinese national feeling towards japan is abysmal and feudal, for latter s unspeakable brutism in WW2 , numerous agression and inequal treaty before that ,and this feeling has been deteriorate further for japan s unwillingness to apologize .
Looking back to histroy , over 2000 years , China seed the flower of civilization in japan and make uncensored help to see it blossom . Therefore from calligraphy to painting ,from raiment to architecture, japan has become a preservation of ancient art and culture long been forgotten in China. Infact the interconnection and culture identification should have been very kin if the horror didnot occur .
Just imagine , if a stranger maraud your house ,burn your estate you may hate him but after the necessary judicial process the thing is over.
But if a boy whom you brought back from street out of pity ,whom you brougnt up with your own hands and gave asylum under your very roof , one day turn against you ,burn your house , kill your family, you may not just hate him but want to kill him yourself one day for revenge .
even though the recent 200 years japan and China are zero-sum enemy, the tie between Japan and China last longer than most counties history, lots more tangle than the parable above and lots more firm than both side imagined ,however ungratefulness and unregretfulness made up two main obstacle to release the knot and forgive the pass.
------Chinese think they will be considered weak if they forgive before japanese apologize , and japanese think if they apologized , they will give other country a longterm excuse (like Poland frequently use WW2 as a un-retortable stick on Germany) .and this deadlock cannot be untie until a dramatically change on the power balance of the 2 country.
From the currently political situation ,Japan is the US s jailor at the door of Pacific ,a most important vertex of first island chain intended to block China within Chinasea . Therefore rationally , the sino-japan relation has been much rely on the sino-america ralation which is the key axis of any other bilateral sino- ralationship .Exclude historical inconsistency , the only outstanding conflict lie on the fact that japan is a loyal and bitter stick of US over China .
and before the final sino-US duel come-------maybe it will never come , sino-japan ralationship will stay in the current situation ------stinking but profitable ,unless japan decide to jump the party .
any war between Japan and China will not be a regional war, it has too many interconnection with the the world , and any political leader rational enough will foresee that a war of such kind can only be the prelude of a world war.
BTW; the dispute of sovereignty over the east chinasea region is just a minor presentation of inner inconsistence of the 2 nation ,which any form of compromise and negotiation will be seen as quislism due to their consistent effort on propaganda of nationalism (China use the direct way and japan use the subtle way) .However, while heat brawl are sometime required to pacify the nationalism within , both country are fully awared of the resultant affection without ,so a major warfare cannot be expected within 10 years ,for US are t ready and China didn even start to prepare a world war,Japan jamed between will not provoke such war if he know his place .
Personally as a native chinese I borne no special hatred or like to Japaness as a whole nation,however, sometimes i feel some japanese are very ungraceful and craven to try to elude their guilt rather than to acknowledge it and make a proper amendment.Meanwhile I m deeply impressive with some japanness who has courage to stand up staight and speak out the truth under intimidation and jeer.
I don t know which wing I belong but my thoughts are not along in China, so you know there is lots of chinese dont acknowledge Japan as inherented foe.
