The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Zaporozhye.

In Zaporozhye Russian forces continue to advance north of Kamenskoe and are now at the outskirts of Stepnogorsk. East of Kamenskoe Russian forces have expanded along the gully and into the fields, creating a larger buffer zone.


Russian forces assaulting the factory in Malaya Tokmachka.


A Russian drone strike takes out a Ukrainian BMP-3. It's interesting that the captured BMP-3 appears to have been installed with a Ukrainian foldable drone cage.


Dnepr front.

Russia hit the island of Khortitsa on the Dnepr, in Zaporozhye region.


Russia takes out a Ukrainian boat on the Ingulets river.


Russia hit the MVD building in Kherson city, allegedly being used as a military HQ by Ukraine.


Russia hit a bridge to the Korabel island in Kherson with a FAB-3000. Despite the very accurate strike, and the very large munition, the bridge is not destroyed, only damaged.


Ukraine has hit an open market in Velikie Kopany, Kherson region. 6 civilians are reported wounded.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Strikes.

The biggest change we've seen is the drastic expansion of the geography of strikes. Typically Russia hit almost exclusively major cities, but we have many smaller towns hit in multiple regions. This might be due to Ukraine moving assets into smaller towns to get away from the strikes, or it might be due to Russia having more munitions to use. I suspect a combination of the two.

Russian strikes landing in Kiev. These are at least 2 separate waves of strikes. Kinzhal use was reported, and the Zhulyani airport area was once again targeted. It's likely Russia is trying to hit Ukrainian SAMs based there, but the results are unclear.


Russia hit Belaya Tserkov', in Kiev region.


Russia hit the Ukrainian military 169th training center in Chernigov region near Goncharovskoe.


Russia hit the TCC in Kanevo, Chernigov region.


A Ukrainian Mi-8 in the sights of a Russian drone at the Priluki airbase, Chernigov region. The base was reportedly hit but the fate of the aircraft is unclear.


Russia hit the Zvezda munition factory in Shostka, Sumy region, with gliding bombs.


Russian drone strike on the military administration in Sumy.


Russian strikes landing in Kharkov. Targest include the Khartron factory. These links are from at least 3 separate waves of strikes. There are reports of Russia using UMPB-5 longer range glinding bombs with a reported range of 100kms.


Russian strikes hit Balakleya, in Kharkov region.


Russia hit Izyum, Kharkov region.


Russia hit Vasischevo, Kharkov region, allegedly targeting drone production facilities. Reportedly S-400 missiles were used.


Russia hit Kramatorsk, targets unclear.


Russian strikes land in Slavyansk, target unclear.


Russia hit the TCC in Druzhkovka.


Russian strikes landing in Pavlograd. Targets included a local factory complex. Note links represent at least 3 separate waves of strikes.


Russia hit the town of Kamenskoe/Dneprodzerzhinsk in Dnepropetrovsk region (not to be confused with the village in Zaporozhye region) where they targeted a Ukrainian military medical rehabilitation facility, the Epicenter shopping mall, and the Yelizavetsovskaya mechanical factory.


Russian strikes hit Pyatihatka, Dnepropetrovsk region, targeting the local TCC.


Russia hit Dnepropetrovsk city, targeting the machinebuilding plant and the Dafi shopping center. One missile also hit the roof of a building whose contents are unclear. These links represent at least two separate waves of strikes.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Russian strikes on Krivoy Rog.


Russia hit Kirovograd/Kropovnitskiy. Targets include a local military training ground but they also hit something in the city itself.


Russian Iskander strikes hit Cherkasy.


Russia hit Nikolaev, targets unclear.


Russia Shahed strikes landing in Odessa. Targets appear to include the beer factory, Privoz market, the aviation plant, and the port. These are at least 3 separate waves of strikes.


Russia hit the Il'chevskiy fish port, Odessa region.


Ukrainian Yak-52 attempting to intercept Shaheds over Odessa.


Ukraine's director of the Odessa aviator's club has died. It is supposed that he was one of the ones flying Yak light plans to dry and shoot down Shaheds.


Ukraine has launched a series of strikes targeting a strategic rail line in Russia. They hit the rail station in Sal'sk, the Dvoynaya rail station, a power grid substation in Orlov area (the Orlov in Rostov region), the Kotel'nikova substation, and a train carrying fuel. There are reports that a passenger train was also hit, but only one civilian casualty is reported, suggesting this is collateral damage.


Ukraine hit rail infrastructure in Novocherkassk.


Ukraine hit Donetsk with a large scale drone strike. I think this is the first time they've done it this way, with the city moving further and further from the front lines. However this did cause large scale blackouts, according to Russian sources it left 150 000 without power. In a separate strike Ukraine hit Donetsk with HIMARS, hitting a local factory and a residential area.


Ukraine hit the Stilsoft and Signal enterprises in Stavropol'. Signal produces radioelectronics.


Ukraine hit the Sochi area with drones. Targets included a local fuel storage facility.


Ukraine targeted Novocherkassk, targets include the local powerplant.


Ukraine attempted to hit Taganrog, outcome and targets unclear.


Ukrainian drones targeted the Millerovo airbase in southern Russia, but the outcome is unclear.


Ukraine hit Penza, targeting a home electronics store and a radio-products factory.


A Ukrainian drone fell on a residential house in Ivanteevka.


Ukrainian drones hit Voronezh, with 1 civilian reported wounded. Targets are unclear.


Ukraine took out a bridge in Bryansk region by hitting some landmines under the bridge with a drone. It's likely Russia mined the bridge and Ukraine used a drone to hit it.


Ukraine hit Zelenograd with drones, with at least one drone falling on a residential building and causing a fire.


Russian Mi-28N intercepts a Ukrainian drone with cannon fire.


A new type of Pantsyr SAM munition was found near Zelenograd after recent Ukrainian drone attacks. This appears to be the small anti-drone missile that has been shown a few times before, with 4 of them fitting into a container inside the normal launch tube.


Russian Ka-52 intercepting of a Ukrainian drone in Krasnodar region.


A Russian MiG-29 being used for drone defense. The type was almost completely out of service pre-war.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Interesting bits.

Russia hit a Kozak armored car, and another armored vehicle in Chernigov region. The border area up here is relatively stable, but low level cross-border fighting continues.


Ukraine lost a Mirage, causes unclear, near Volyn'. This could easily be a technical problem, or a friendly fire incident, or a Shahed exploding too close, though some have connected it with the recent appearance of Russian Izd. 180 AAMs.


There are reports that Ukraine's 129th and 125th TerDef Bdes are being reformatted into a Heavy Bde. Previously we saw this being done with tank bdes which can be chalked up to MBT shortages, but here we have the opposite process, suggesting that there are extra tanks since normally a TerDefBde doesn't have any. The 125th also apparently received some Bradleys.


Now a twin-engined version of Ukraine's Darts drone has been demonstrated, in some ways it's similar to the Russian Molniya.


It appears Ukraine mobilized 500 volunteers serving in an air defense formation in L'vov region. Ukraine, like Russia, has a number of volunteer organizations in military-affiliated structures that play a role in the war effort, but in theory could be mobilized into the actual military.


Domestic Russian Ulan light bugies have appeared, they're very similar in general to the imported Desertcross. Quantities are unclear but likely small.


Russian forces demonstrate a mobility device prototype for moving quickly through pipes.


Russian forces training opearting Kurier (Courier) UGVs in Ukraine. We saw these make an apperance on the battlefield west of Avdeevka last year and they appear to have become a constant presence.


A rare Russian Zoopark-1M still active in the war zone.


Russia has begun some sort of cleanup and reconstruction work at the Donetsk airport, possibly to use it for UAV launches. Note the Russian government has talked about reconstruction plans for Donetsk, and this makes sense. The front line is now tens of kms away from the city, the train station resumed limited operation in May. It's likely we will see greater rebuilding efforts in the Donetsk area over the next 12-24 months.


Some footage from Kurakhovo. The town reportedly still has ~1000 residents, and several stores open, with a twice a week bus to Donetsk.


Ukraine's administration has mostly left Kramatorsk, moving to Dnepropetrovsk.


Reportedly the first Australian Abrams have arrived in Ukraine.


Ukraine has started up-armoring locomotives, likely a response to Russian strikes on logistics.


A look at the accuracy of recent Russian gliding bomb strikes. It appears to have improved, after some issues from Ukrainian EW.

 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
I think he does a good job of distinguishing recon groups from forces actually there to capture ground. I also am starting to think that this advance is about more then Pokrovsk. I suspect they're aiming for the Dobropol'ye-Belozerskoe area in the north-west part of the Donbas, which start to threaten logistics for the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk area. The end point of the push, likely well into next year, is probably the Aleksandrovka area, leaving the north-western route as the only big artery for Ukraine's forces in the Donbas.
Thoughts of the same Ukrainian soldier. First is the image he is referring to in the second post of the thread (it’s from the same thread in Ukrainian that he usually posts first and sometimes is more comprehensive):



And the thread itself:


IMG_1689.jpeg
IMG_1690.jpeg
IMG_1692.jpeg
 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
Some footage of Ukraine's defense lines near Kramatorsk.

For context, the woman making the video says (not word for word translation): “Finally something that looks more like a real defence line. I saw in some TikTok videos previously something like one line with detached dragon teeth, but here everything is made to the maximum, three rows, about a 500-meter harsh march. It’s pretty high too, depth of probably about four meters.”

Then she goes on a rant using lots of strong explicit language (that I am going to avoid): “And if they didn’t steal as much, they could also dig a bunch of bunkers significantly reinforced with concrete. We could then disregard the territories that we will never get back anyway, just stupidly killing our guys. Just build a new line of defence made of solid concrete and no one will get through. Why isn’t it still there?”

Can’t say I share her sentiment in regard to no one will pass the concrete line she imagines, but her mood is quite clear.

More context on this very line:

IMG_1693.jpeg

Edit: “Dynamic of occupation”, as per Deepstate:

IMG_1696.jpeg
 
Last edited:

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
For context, the woman making the video says (not word for word translation): “Finally something that looks more like a real defence line. I saw in some TikTok videos previously something like one line with detached dragon teeth, but here everything is made to the maximum, three rows, about a 500-meter harsh march. It’s pretty high too, depth of probably about four meters.”

Then she goes on a rant using lots of strong explicit language (that I am going to avoid): “And if they didn’t steal as much, they could also dig a bunch of bunkers significantly reinforced with concrete. We could then disregard the territories that we will never get back anyway, just stupidly killing our guys. Just build a new line of defence made of solid concrete and no one will get through. Why isn’t it still there?”

Can’t say I share her sentiment in regard to no one will pass the concrete line she imagines, but her mood is quite clear.

More context on this very line:

View attachment 53243
I think psychologically people think of strong looking defense lines as impressive. But reality can be more complex. Ukraine had very strong defenses in Avdeevka but the end result wasn't great. Russia on the other hand didn't have concrete bunkers or massive fortifications in Zaporozhye, instead we saw a massive network of small platoon and squad sized positions swimming in a sea of land mines. And it worked quite well. It doesn't mean defenses don't matter but they're also not a magic solution. And I don't think Ukraine building a Great Wall of Ukraine would stop Russia.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Those 2 nuclear subs are not for Ukraine, Trump and Putin are sizing their... egos.

But maybe Zelenski gets what he wants, (the end of the world) Victory!
You really do have a direct line to Trump and Putin or else how could you possibly know the motivation with such certainty!!!!!
Let's keep this discussion on topic please. This thread is about Russia's war with Ukraine. Relations between Russia and the USA, and the redeployment of US subs to patrol Twitter in response to Russian officials trolling in social media are well beyond the topic.
 

vikingatespam

Well-Known Member
Do you think armies do not-credible plans? There is plan for the neutralization of Kaliningrad, that is a direct threat to Russia, no matter how credible you think it is. Then you use the word "actual", should Russia only make plans for the next week? It is not about what it "gets" to NATO, it is not if it can be ready in three months. The only point is what Russia considers a threat. (When is Russia going to invade Germany?)
All Countries make contingency plans, such as "War Plan Red". These are staff exercises for the most part, and do not in and of themselves constitute a threat. Should Canada devote themselves to a nuclear weapons program due to the existence of War Plan Red ? Of course not.

You keep avoiding the point because it is not how "rational" it is to you, but to Russia.
I am literally not avoiding that point. It is the very point I have been making. Fear of NATO invading Russia is not a creditable, valid, logical, happening to anyone in Russia, even from the RU perspective. A NATO invasion requires a number of prerequisites that do not exist, nor are ever likely to exist. You might was well claim RU has a valid fear of martians invading from space.

If you read the report, Ukraine is a bastion against Russia (planted and cultivated by the West),
Well, it certainly is now, isnt it ? I wonder how that happened ? Is everyone in RU suddenly incapable of rational thinking ? Of course not.

it can (did?) carry out "hostile actions" against Russia.
...after RU invaded it. Seriously, is the average person in RU outraged that UKR is hitting back ? Is this so unexpected ?

Is Poland expecting the Russian invasion... In a couple of weeks?
Given the current state of the RU army, I think we can all agree, no.

The Kursk invasion was irrational (Zaluzhni: Then what?), Zelenski carried it out.
The Kursk invasion had valid military reasons and goals. Sadly, UKR stayed too long.
 
Top