Europe and Nato have known for years that interceptor production can’t keep up with demand and now disaster looms, says Jack Watling, senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute
www.theguardian.com
...night after night Russia strikes Ukraine’s infrastructure with impunity. This tragedy was long foretold, and there are no quick fixes.
-Wait, no analyst mentioned that to Boris? No one was looking at Russian missiles production and NATO interceptors production, future production and sharing it's implications? Because, if it was foretold, that would had been like prodding Ukraine into disaster?
While the military narrative of the war has largely been of cheap mass-produced Ukrainian weapons overwhelming exquisite Russian military hardware, most of the serious damage from Russia’s long-range strikes has come from cruise and ballistic missiles, and Ukraine’s campaign has suffered for want of them.
-I thought it was about the cheap produced Geran. Anyway, the "40 Days" (and everything else?), a wishlist?
It is generally recommended to fire two to three interceptors against each ballistic missile. When you also factor in that the launchers themselves can only protect a relatively small area, and Ukraine is a vast country, then it becomes clear that Kyiv would ideally have three to four times the annual global production capacity of Patriot missiles to protect itself.
-So, it is evident, no geniality, no surprise, that some drones will hit Russia, a country even bigger. And again, no one thought how Ukraine (meaning NATO, obviously) was going to get 3 to 4 times the Russian production of missiles in interceptors?
Or someone did, but those missiles were going to hit Ukraine, anyway.
A portion of Iran’s missiles were also advanced. In one instance, it took 17 Patriot interceptors to defeat a missile.
-I didn't read about that one.
Ukraine is not going to receive enough Patriots between now and the winter to save its critical national infrastructure, irrespective of whether some countries make the political gesture of releasing a few more from their stockpiles.
-Is that the real "window of opportunity" Zelenski was talking about?
Kyiv is trying to convince the US to activate Starlink satellite navigation modules over Russian territory to enable its drones to hunt for the Russian missile launchers.
-Or more Wildberries?
Another line of effort in Kyiv is to attack the production of Russia’s ballistic missiles. These factories are well defended. To succeed, Ukraine’s partners will need to expand the funding and industrial capacity behind Ukraine’s nascent cruise-missile industry, or reopen questions of providing weapons systems .
-To provide a lot more interceptors, a lot more money and materials and a lot more weapons systems. Again, Ukraine 0, NATO +++.
Another point would be
if Ukraine can use Starlink, what means Ukraine has to carry it out and how effective it's going to be. Even if it is a "60 Days" campaign against launchers (aircraft?) and missiles factories. Just another wishlist?
The point of the article (in theguardian even if the author works for RUSI) is don't give to Ukraine, forget about Patriots and get our own European system, it is about bloody time.
I am pro-reality, mate.