The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

[Bob53]

So what? That's no reason to refuse to provide the F-16 to Ukraine. F-16s have a far better chance of evading the S300 SAM than the current Ukrainian Mig-29s and Su-27s. The Ukrainians need to be able to dispute the control of the air over the battlefield and defend its own airspace. An IADS comprising both combat aircraft and GBAD is the only reasonable and practical option. If Ukraine cannot compete in the air it will lose the war.

This article argues why Western AirPower is needed. i Hope the Dutch F16s get through and that becomes the leading edge of further Western aircraft to Ukraine. I just hope things happen too late to make a difference. Don’t want to lose Ukraine? Empower Kyiv with airpower - Breaking Defense

 

[Omo23]

This article argues why Western AirPower is needed. i Hope the Dutch F16s get through and that becomes the leading edge of further Western aircraft to Ukraine. I just hope things happen too late to make a difference. Don’t want to lose Ukraine? Empower Kyiv with airpower - Breaking Defense

Do you think th west will want to put the F16 to test in this war?

 

[tonnyc]

Do you think th west will want to put the F16 to test in this war?

The West isn't a monolithic block with a single will. Even a single nation is a mess of competing interests. Especially since many nations are democracies where the leaders still have to convince the senate/congress/equivalent body to go along with his/her plan. So there isn't a real answer to your (rhetorical) question. There will be some high-ranking people who thinks that they should let Ukraine has F-16 and use them in this war and there will be high-ranking people who thinks otherwise and it's too early to tell which group will be more successful.

 

[Feanor]

So what? That's no reason to refuse to provide the F-16 to Ukraine. F-16s have a far better chance of evading the S300 SAM than the current Ukrainian Mig-29s and Su-27s.

How do you figure and what F-16 variant did you have in mind? To be clear, it's not impossible to operate F-16s in Ukraine. It's also not impossible to operate MiG-29s and Su-27s. They're currently doing so.

The Ukrainians need to be able to dispute the control of the air over the battlefield and defend its own airspace. An IADS comprising both combat aircraft and GBAD is the only reasonable and practical option. If Ukraine cannot compete in the air it will lose the war.

I suspect a dense GBAD grid would dispute control of the air over the battlefield just fine. Remember Russia hasn't managed to wipe out Ukraine's air defenses up until now. This is what led to Russian jets hugging the ground and lobbing unguided missiles. Until the recent advent of gliding munitions, Russian airpower was largely negated. But I also once again wonder, what are we talking about here? Brand new top of the line F-16s? That's very expensive. What about AEW?

 

[Feanor]

Ugledar update.

After the recent Russian failures there it appears Ukraine attempted a counter-attack. There were two smaller probing attacks, a recce by force, and then a bigger push involving MBTs. The attack was repulsed, and so far we have some helicopter footage allegedly showing a Ka-52 taking out 3 Ukrainian tanks. Interestingly enough the pilots reports spotting 4 tanks and 3 IFVs at one point. These kinds of probing attacks have been the norm for Ukrainian forces and we are likely to see more of them as they test various sections of the front line. Some of them are no doubt meant to obfuscate the real eventual targets of Ukraine's offensive. Others likely meant to test Russian defenses and reaction to attacks.

Colonelcassad

Угледарский участок обстановка по состоянию на 15.00 18 апреля 2023 года Вчера украинские формирования попытались штурмовать российские позиции к югу от Угледара. Одна диверсионная группа 72 омбр ВСУ провела разведку боем у лесополосы севернее Никольского. Ещё один штурмовой отряд на лёгкой...

t.me

https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2023/04/18/20230418152913-73001b35.jpg

Colonelcassad

Отличная работа пилотов ударного вертолета Ка-52 под Угледаром. Во время последней попытки противника атаковать в районе Угледара, чтобы оттеснить наши войска от города, только этим Ка-52 было уничтожено 3 танка ВСУ.

t.me

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[vikingatespam]

So what? That's no reason to refuse to provide the F-16 to Ukraine. F-16s have a far better chance of evading the S300 SAM than the current Ukrainian Mig-29s and Su-27s. The Ukrainians need to be able to dispute the control of the air over the battlefield and defend its own airspace. An IADS comprising both combat aircraft and GBAD is the only reasonable and practical option. If Ukraine cannot compete in the air it will lose the war.

Is a handful of F-16 going to be able to make a difference in an area awash in AA ? Sure, if you had enough, and had enough pilots trained in SEAD, you might make a difference. I have nothing against sending or training pilots for them, but right now, I suspect UKR needs more air defenses.

 

[Feanor]

Update. Mar. 5th-6th

Kherson-Nikolaev-Odessa.

Russian quadcopter munition drops on a boat used by Ukrainian forces, Kherson region.

Colonelcassad

Операторы БЛА обнаружили плавсредство украинской ДРГ и подожгли его. @zhivoff

t.me

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Russian Eleron-7 UAV team operating in Kherson region.

Colonelcassad

Кадры боевой работы расчёта БПЛА «Элерон-7» подразделения Росгвардии в Херсонской области. @milinfolive

t.me

Ukrainian mobilization efforts in Odessa.

Colonelcassad

Пошло-поехало. Одесский военкомат "вышел" на охоту для отлова водителей леопардов и абрамсов.

t.me

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Oskol Front.

Russian mortar strikes against Ukrainian infantry in the woods of Kremennaya.

Colonelcassad

Меткое попадание миномётной миной в группу украинской пехоты в лесах под Кременной. @rian_ru

t.me

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Russian artillery fires in the woods near Kremennaya.

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Ukrainian pickup truck getting hit near Kremennaya.

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Russian Shahed strikes landing in Kharkov.

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Ukrainian Furiya UAV allegedly downed near Svatovo-Kremennaya.

Colonelcassad

На направлении Сватово-Кременная с помощью дронобойки была посажена украинская «Фурия». @vorposte

t.me

Russian T-90M and BMP-3M near Svatovo. Nakidka on the turret but none on the hull. A questionable choice considering the engine is the largest heat source.

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Colonelcassad

Наступление на Сватовском направлении @btr80

t.me

LDNR Front.

Allegedly Ukrainian forces shooting up a residential building with civilians in it. It's hard to tell what they're firing on here though. Location is the western outskirts of Artemovsk/Bakhmut. If the geo-location is correct, this isn't on the front lines with Russian forces.

Colonelcassad

На кадрах военное преступление ВСУ, которые расстреливают жилые дома с мирным населением, покидая город. (координаты) @z_arhiv

t.me

Ukrainian infantry, 28th Mech Bde, with the UAR-10 rifle, near Artemovsk/Bakhmut.

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Russian airstrikes against targets in Avdeevka continue. The increase in strikes suggests that this is a priority axis for Russian forces to complete the taking of Avdeevka.

Colonelcassad

Российская авиация уничтожает опорные пункты противника на Авдеевском направлении В результате точных ударов ВКС России по украинским боевикам, было уничтожено 6 единиц бронетехники, 4 единицы автотранспорта и до 90 человек личного состава. @nm_dnr

t.me

Colonelcassad

Кадры уничтожения огневых позиций ВСУ в районе н.п. Авдеевка. @The_Wrong_side

t.me

Colonelcassad

ВКС РФ точечными ударами поразили ПВД и склады противника в Авдеевке Наша авиация продолжает методично уничтожать выявленные разведкой цели на авдеевском направлении. Ударами с помощью управляемого оружия были поражены несколько пунктов временной дислокации и складов противника.

t.me

Colonelcassad

Еще кадры нанесения самолетами ВКС России ударов корректируемыми авиабомбами по позициям ВСУ на Авдеевском направлении. @ChDambiev

t.me

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T-90M and BTR-82As operating in the ruins of Mar'inka.

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Russia is continuing to strike the Yuzhnodonbasskaya-1 mine facilities east-north-east of Ugledar.

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Russian mortar fires on an alleged Ukrainian strong point near Ugledar.

Colonelcassad

Наши парни крошат опорник противника минометным огнем. Угледарское направление. https://t.me/voin_dv/1972

t.me

Russian Ka-52 downed near Ugledar.

Moscow calling

Угледарское направление, предположительно, сбитый Ка-52 ВС РФ. Дата падения вертолёта и судьба лётчиков неизвестны.

t.me

Russian SpN retrieval team that got the downed pilots from the Su-34 the day prior.

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A fragment of the rare Ukrainian Smerch variant, the Ol'kha, Donetsk region.

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Russia.

Ukrainian Kraken fighters using an FPV drone to strike an FSB border camera post in Bryansk region.

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Russian Pantsyr deployed to the piers in Tuapse, likely in response to recent strikes there.

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Misc.

Ukrainian forces taking Ukrainian POWs allegedly after an exchange of grenade tosses. Location and context unclear.

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Ukraine's rare M-240 mortar getting hit by a loitering munition.

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Ukrainian FPV drone hitting a Russian MBT in the rear of the turret. Results are unclear as the camera cuts out.

Moscow calling

Украинский VPN FPV-дрон поражает движущийся танк ВС РФ. В верхнюю полусферу, как положено... Интересно, сколько лет пройдёт от момента массового выстёгивания российской техники гражданскими БПЛА, до формирования МО РФ ТЗ на штатную глушилку для таких дронов в каждой единице техники (работающая...

t.me

Russian ATGM launch allegedly taking out a Ukrainian tank. They hit something, based on the explosion, but I can't make out what.

Colonelcassad

Расчет ПТРК спецназа ЦВО ВС России уничтожил танк украинских националистов. видео: @btr80

t.me

Russian ASVK anti-material rifle fires, location, context, and date unclear.

Colonelcassad

Снайпер заколачивает пули в противника. Работа разведчика - снайпера из 12,7 мм АСВК. Дата и локация не известны.

t.me

Various destroyed Humvees, location and contexts unclear.

Colonelcassad

Наш солдат продолжает сжигать американские "Хаммеры".

t.me

Russian forces using the high-caliber OSV-96 anti-material rifle.

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Russian T-90Ms with ERA being mounted on their ERA.

Защита для защиты

По звезде показали репортаж о работе ремонтных подразделений РФ. Кроме свойственных им задач там также заняты и спасением позорных мешков с ДЗ одного выдающегося разработчика. Сшитые из самой дешевой парусины мешки ДЗ разваливаются при воздействии влаги, фурнитура соответствует материалу…

andrei-bt.livejournal.com

A modified Ukrainian Maxim gun intended to make it easier to fire without it's wheeled carriage.

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Ukraine's 18th Aviation Bde operating Mi-24s, location unclear.

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NATO/EU.

Ukrainian forces training on AS-90s in the UK.

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Ukrainian service members training with Paladins and Strykers.

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Apparently two Ukrainian pilots are undergoing evaluation training on F-16s in the US. This is likely a prelude to the eventual and in my opinion inevitable supply of F-16s to Ukraine.

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A rare Spanish Oto Melara Mod 56 in Ukrainian service, a 105mm howitzer.

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[ngatimozart]

How do you figure and what F-16 variant did you have in mind? To be clear, it's not impossible to operate F-16s in Ukraine. It's also not impossible to operate MiG-29s and Su-27s. They're currently doing so.

The RNAF (Netherlands), RDAF (Denmark), RNoAF (Norway), &, USAF, along with the Bahraini AF operate(d) the A & B models which they pt through the MLU program. Amongst upgrades they received:

"The Westinghouse AN/APG-66(V2) Fire Control Radar (FCR) which... include a 25% improvement in detection and tracking range, an enhanced Doppler Beam Sharpening mode (DBS), enhanced air-ground and ground mapping modes, a medium resolutions DNS, an enhanced ECCM, and a color display compatibility. The MLU kit and the receiver will also have an 40% improved reliability over previous versions."​

​

"An Electronic Warfare Management System (EWMS) developed by Terma Elektronik AS in Denmark provides centralized EW control for entire EW suite : management of threats (RWR), ANQ pods and advanced chaff/flare systems." And HMD, MFD, etc.​

I think that the F-16s that went through th MLU would be quite capable in Ukraine, more so than the MIG-29 & SU-27. In the short term I would think that any F-16s that Ukraine received would come from the RNAF, RDAF, and RNoAF, all of whom are replacing their F-16s with the F-35. In the longer term new build F-16V Block 70 would be on the cards. I actually think that eventually a F-15EX / F-16V combination would be ideal for Ukraine.

I suspect a dense GBAD grid would dispute control of the air over the battlefield just fine. Remember Russia hasn't managed to wipe out Ukraine's air defenses up until now. This is what led to Russian jets hugging the ground and lobbing unguided missiles. Until the recent advent of gliding munitions, Russian airpower was largely negated. But I also once again wonder, what are we talking about here? Brand new top of the line F-16s? That's very expensive. What about AEW?

AEW&C is important and the Ukrainians will have to acquire it at some stage. The E-7A Wedgetail would be the best choice but it's expensive so they may have to opt for something like the SAAB AEW system. AAR is another capability that they would require as well. However at present the most urgent requirement is for the F-16s.

Is a handful of F-16 going to be able to make a difference in an area awash in AA ? Sure, if you had enough, and had enough pilots trained in SEAD, you might make a difference. I have nothing against sending or training pilots for them, but right now, I suspect UKR needs more air defenses.

AAA only has so much reach, although SAM are another story. The Ukrainian aircrew only need to be taught how to fly the F-16. They already are accomplished aircrew with combat experience against a near peer enemy. NATO cannot provide instructors with such experience because the wars that they have fought since 1991 have never been against a near peer enemy. Even Iraq's air defence capability in 2003 was quite degraded when compared to its 1991 IADS which was the most advanced in the world at the time.

With today's modern weapons a F-16 driver doesn't need to get down in the dirt to provide CAS. That can be provided with stand off weapons. That's how it was done in Afghanistan and the USAF even used the B-52H for such a role. It also used B-1Bs as well. They only USAF aircraft to get down low and dirty was the A-10 Warthog and it could handle the enemy small arms fire. However the A-10 wouldn't survive to well on the modern battlefield in Ukraine with the preponderance of MANPADS.

Thank you for the answer, follow up question.

if we keep in mind that in this hypothetical scenario, the F-16s find a gap in Russian GBAD and evades the Mig-31s with R-37s and go head to head with Russian fightert does it come down to who fires the AIM-120 vs who fires the R-77 first? Also does the f-16 onboard radar available on upgraded pre Block 40 planes outrange the VKS fighter's onboard radars?

No probs. See what I have written in reply to Feanor at the beginning of this post. A point to note is that IAF (Israel) F-16s have generally outperformed any opposition using Russian equipment, that they have encountered. Part of it is the capabilities of the F-16 itself but a large part would be the training and skills of the aircrew coupled with IAF strategy and tactics. One real failing of the Russian system is their institutionalised control freak system. Their aircrew have nowhere near the flexibility of western aircrew. In a situation where instant decisions are required, the Russian fallback is to seek orders from higher up the food chain.

This is the video that I referred to in an earlier post and said that I would look for.

Of note at one stage it is mentioned that after German unification and the Luftwaffe took the MIG-29s over, there was a high failure rate of former DDR MIG-29 pilots because despite their former MIG-29 service with the DDR, they couldn't meet NATO flying standards. The DDR aviation forces wasn't comprised of idiots but it appears that their quality was nowhere near that of the NATO aircrew. I would suspect that the DDR aircrew quality would've have been better than their Soviet compatriots because the DDR military had many former Wehrmacht officers in charge during its formative years and they carried Prussian, Imperial German and Wehrmacht training. culture, and traditions through into the DDR military.

 

[swerve]

...
AEW&C is important and the Ukrainians will have to acquire it at some stage. The E-7A Wedgetail would be the best choice but it's expensive so they may have to opt for something like the SAAB AEW system. ...

E-7 isn't only expensive but AFAIK it can't be built quickly. There's a waiting list for the platforms, & integration onto a new platform would probably take a long time.

Erieye can go on smaller platforms & there are some SAAB 2000s in storage. There are also some oldish Erieye systems flying which might be available for trade ins for new ER sets, if the owners can accept a gap. I don't think any E-7s are even potentially spare. It's possible there might even be a spare Erieye set hanging around.

So, potentially (not necessarily in reality, I know) there could be a couple of Erieyes available much sooner than any E-7. Slower, lower platform which'd reduce performance, but much better than nothing.

And maybe the Israelis could provde something relatively soon.

Oh, & any spare E-2s?

There are also some other radars which could provide limited AEW & could be fitted to existing platforms quite quickly. How long did the original Sea King AEW take? Ah yes - 11 weeks from start of work to flying & available for emergency use.

 

[Terran]

The first issue with getting E7 is the airframes. They were built on 737-NGs not MAX. Boeing downgraded production of the 737-NG versions when it launched the Max. Though they are still building NGs it’s primarily as corporate jets and special mission aircraft and has a long lead time. That why the USAF isn’t expecting E7 until 2027. it will take 2-3 years before Boeing has an opening and then another year to rebuild to Wedgetail. The British birds are being built from used airframes with still a year of work before delivery.
if it’s a donation then it’s E2. If you want longer term then you could get a newer model but Wedgetail is a hard if not impossible choice.
Globaleye, R99, Gulfstream CAEW maybe Embraer’s P600 concept.

 

[ngatimozart]

There has been a claim that Ukraine is starting its counteroffensive. It appears that they are preparing the battlefield for their offensive.

 

[swerve]

The first issue with getting E7 is the airframes. They were built on 737-NGs not MAX. Boeing downgraded production of the 737-NG versions when it launched the Max. Though they are still building NGs it’s primarily as corporate jets and special mission aircraft and has a long lead time. That why the USAF isn’t expecting E7 until 2027. it will take 2-3 years before Boeing has an opening and then another year to rebuild to Wedgetail. The British birds are being built from used airframes with still a year of work before delivery.
if it’s a donation then it’s E2. If you want longer term then you could get a newer model but Wedgetail is a hard if not impossible choice.
Globaleye, R99, Gulfstream CAEW maybe Embraer’s P600 concept.

Globaleye & Gulfstream/IAI CAEW are the upper tier of bizjet/prop AEW aircraft. The older Erieye systems are built on smaller, slower, lower ceiling platforms, & unless upgraded to Erieye ER have a lower performance radar. The Embraer P600 is another relatively small platform, & the radar's smaller & perhaps lower performance than that on CAEW.

 

[Terran]

Globaleye & Gulfstream/IAI CAEW are the upper tier of bizjet/prop AEW aircraft. The older Erieye systems are built on smaller, slower, lower ceiling platforms, & unless upgraded to Erieye ER have a lower performance radar. The Embraer P600 is another relatively small platform, & the radar's smaller & perhaps lower performance than that on CAEW.

That’s kinda the point, isn’t it?
I mean E7 is an Exquisite AEW platform an upgrade over the E3 it will replace for USAF and RAF but not a realistic option for the UAF. Lead time is a killer and you would be hard pressed to convince any of the existing users to part with them. If anything they want more of them already.
CAEW is top of the line and a few units are in NATO states Italy and the USN if that was deemed necessary it might require paying for replacements down the line. Lead time on new will be a while but as the USAF is using it as the basis of the compass call II not too long, a few years.
Erieye based like Globaleye, SAAB AEW or Embraer R99 then come in. The R99 has a number of units in Greece that could be transferred if they were Amenable. Otherwise it’s starting conversations using either new airframes to Globaleye or older sets and airframes. Either way atleast a year’s conversion then training cycle. unless you can get Sweden to transfer its existing units still likely atleast a year until the gap is filled followed by months of training. With Sweden being on the Russian border you don’t want to take any thing away from them.

Which leads me to P600. If your looking at atleast a year plus of work might as well look at an option that doesn’t create a gap. The whole concept is basically written for this situation. A lower end less security risk. Still it’s not a solution without issues. None exist to date, it’s an emerging capability set. Though smaller and lower end that might just be the Goldilocks call.

So isn’t that the Point? If you absolutely had to get Ukraine an AEW capability inside a year then the answer is E2C Hawkeye.
Yet compared to E7, Globaleye, CAEW that’s a substantially lower end capability. Basically if you want to give perfect solutions to Ukrainian military capability gaps the only way to do so would require a Time Machine. As is it’s make mend and look at what’s available or could be made available inside of windows.

 

[Feanor]

Update. Mar. 6th-8th

Kherson-Nikolaev-Odessa.

Russian T-62 fires against an island on the Dnepr. Russian and Ukrainian forces have been fighting over these islands.

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Colonelcassad

Наши танкисты уничтожили дом с ВСУшниками в Херсонской области. @anna_news

t.me

Ukrainian security forces have arrested the former commander of Ukraine's 73rd Naval Special Warfare center. He is allegedly a Russian agent.

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Ukrainian mobilization efforts in Odessa.

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Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk.

Russian airstrikes against Malinovka, Zaporozhye region.

Colonelcassad

Работа русской авиации на Запорожском направлении. Поражение еще одного опорного пункта ВСУ в районе Малиновки. @voin_dv

t.me

Russian strikes allegedly against a Ukrainian strongpoint in Zaporozhye region. Note it's very strange footage. Those are very large explosions. I'm really wondering what munitions those are.

Colonelcassad

Красивые кадры разбора опорного пункта ВСУ на Запорожском направлении.

t.me

Russian ATGM launch allegedly against a Ukrainian camera post.

Colonelcassad

С помощью ПТУР была уничтожена камера ВСУ на Запорожском направлении. Противник остался без "глаз".

t.me

Russian defenses getting built in Zaporozhye area.

Moscow calling

Запорожская область, строительство "линии Вагнера". Осталось мобилизовать несколько миллионов бойцов, выдать им "мосинки" и "максимы", и можно косплеить Первую мировую.

t.me

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Russian Uragan operations, Zaporozhye area.

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LDNR Front.

Russian artillery fires in Artemovsk/Bakhmut.

Colonelcassad

Нанесение артиллерийского удара по позициям ВСУ в Артемовске (Бахмуте). @ChDambiev

t.me

Near impacts of Russian artillery next to Ukrainian 93rd Mech Bde infantry, Artemovsk/Bakhmut.

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Allegedly a Ukrainian BMP-2 maneuvering between houses to avoid the road while retreating, Artemovsk/Bakhmut.

Colonelcassad

Вот так враг отступает из Бахмута. БМП-2 93 бригады проламывает частный сектор, чтоб не двигаться по дороге так как она под огневым контролем «музыкантов». @rtrdonetsk

t.me

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Panorama of the battle damage in Artemovsk/Bakhmut. Fires burn, the ruins stand dark.

Colonelcassad

Вечерний Бахмут, март 2023. @genshtab24

t.me

Russian footage on the outskirts of Artemovsk/Bakhmut.

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Ukrainian vehicle near Artemovsk/Bakhmut got hit, destroying the cargo of RPGs in the back, but apparently leaving the vehicle and occupants in tact.

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More footage from the roads into Artemovsk/Bakhmut with destroyed Ukrainian vehicles littering the area.

Moscow calling

"Да что вы знаете о плохих дорогах" - Бахмут, одна из немногих оставшихся дорог, по которой осуществляется снабжение украинского гарнизона города. Все коммуникации Бахмута находятся под огневым контролем РФ (то есть в зоне поражения их артиллерии), на что намекают разбитые машины на обочине.

t.me

Russian air strikes, Avdeevka. The third and fourth links have unexploded ordinance in them, and it's a regular unguided bomb. Note not a gliding bomb. This suggests Ukrainian air defenses are well away from the area. Note the 7th link explicitly claims the strikes are using unguided bombs, not sure how they know.

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Colonelcassad

Невзорвавшаяся пивтонна бомба в Авдеевке. Такими наши летчики закидывают украинских террористов на данном направлении. Только эта, к сожалению, не сработала. @btr80

t.me

Colonelcassad

ВКС РФ уничтожили склады с боеприпасам. Наша авиация нанесла ряд точечных ударов по выявленным разведкой целям противника на авдеевском направлении. @nm_dnr

t.me

Colonelcassad

ВКС РФ поразили укрытия техники противника на Авдеевском направлении В результате точных авиаударов ВКС России на Авдеевском направлении были поражены укрытия техники украинских боевиков. Уничтожено 3 самоходных артиллерийских установки, 3 танка, 4 БМП и 6 единиц автомобильной техники. @nm_dnr

t.me

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Ukrainian M109 near Ugledar or West of Donetsk getting hit.

Colonelcassad

Поражение САУ М-109 ВСУ ударами БПЛА Ланцет в районе с. Водяное Угледарское направление @voin_dv

t.me

Moscow calling

Ланцето-подобный БПЛА-снаряд поражает 155-мм САУ M109 на Западно-Донецком направлении.

t.me

Ugledar area, Russian 36th MarBde Recon assaulting a Ukrainian position at night.

Colonelcassad

Уникальные кадры ночного штурма опорного пункта противника под Угледаром, работает взвод глубиной разведывательного батальона 36 мотострелковой бригады Борзя. Взвод штурмует под командованием старшего лейтенанта Далаева Жаргала, работа идет под прикрытием оператора БЛА управляющим...

t.me

More helmet cam footage from Russian Marines in the Ugledar cottages.

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Ukrainian infantry ATGM position near Ugledar, getting hit.

Colonelcassad

Результативная работа артиллерии группировки [V] на Угледарском направлении Силами артиллеристов 29 армии был уничтожен опорный пункт противника вместе с ПТРК "Корнет", который доставлял массу неудобств нашим парням @voin_dv

t.me

Russian 3rd SpN taking out allegedly a Ukrainian munition storage position near Makeevka. Note it's unclear whether this refers to the Makeevka near Donetsk, or the Makeevka in Lugansk region

Colonelcassad

В районе Макеевки бойцы 3 обр СпН уничтожили полевой склад БК укронацистов. @kremlinprachka

t.me

DNR area, Russian airstrike allegedly against a Ukrainian staging area.

Народная милиция ДНР

ВКС РФ точечными ракетными ударами уничтожили ПВД и скопление техники противника В ходе ведения разведки на авдеевском направлении были выявлены 2 ПВД противника, в которых находились личный состав и бронетехника. Точными ракетными ударами цели были поражены. Уничтожены 9 украинских...

t.me

Colonelcassad

ВКС РФ точечными ракетными ударами уничтожили ПВД и скопление техники противника В ходе ведения разведки на авдеевском направлении были выявлены 2 ПВД противника, в которых находились личный состав и бронетехника. Точными ракетными ударами цели были поражены. Уничтожены 9 украинских...

t.me

For DNR 3rd MRBde, now 132nd MRBde 2S1 fires against Ukrainian infantry.

Colonelcassad

132-я бригада уничтожает живую силу врага Расчеты САУ 2С1 «Гвоздика» 132 бригады 1 Донецкого армейского корпуса (ранее 3-я бригада НМ ДНР) точным огнем, корректируемым беспилотником, уничтожают украинских боевиков и укрепления ВСУ на фронте.

t.me

Shelling of Donetsk continues.

Moscow calling

Последствия сегодняшнего обстрела Гладовки (микрорайон Донецка).

t.me

Russia.

Allegedly a Ukrainian Tochka strike in Noviy Oskol, Belgorod region.

Colonelcassad

Новый Оскол Белгородской области (до границы Украины - порядка 80 км) обстрелян со стороны Украины. ПВО сбили 3 ракеты "Точка-У". Осколки повредили дома, линии электропередач в нескольких сёлах Новооскольского округа и ранили мужчину — у него осколочное ранение руки.

t.me

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Russian T-72Bs without K-1 era getting pulled from storage. In principle a logical step but suggests that the T-72 stockpile is so far from exhausted that even T-72Bs are still available to pull. Of course it also shows the poor state of Russian repair plants. Upgrading these with ERA shouldn't be that hard. And T-62s are getting thermals, but these aren't?

Очередные "новинки"

Очередные новинки ВС РФ А вот и голые Б-шки с баз хранения выгребли. Кто следующий, предполагаю, что пойдут Т-72, те, что не Т-72А. Если их, конечно, не распилили и не переплавили. Старые фото одной из ЦБРТ

andrei-bt.livejournal.com

Misc.

Ukrainian FPV drone hits a Russian TOS-1 either in mid-fires, or right after firing (unclear if volley is completed). If the former, the ammo is likely to cook off.

Moscow calling

Бойцы подразделения "А" СБУ уничтожили ТОС-1А "Солнцепёк" ВС РФ посредством FPV-дрона, прямо во время залпа. Основной недостаток ТОС "Солнцепёк", наряду с низкой точностью неуправляемых термобарических реактивных снарядов - малая дальность стрельбы (порядка 3,5-6 км), что делает их досягаемыми...

t.me

Ukrainian M777 destroyed by Grad fires, it appears the gun crew bails out, abandoned the howitzer.

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Allegedly 2 Ukrainian M109s getting hit by a loitering munition. Location unclear.

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Colonelcassad

Слаженная работа воинов-дальневосточников 5 армии и морпехов 336 обрмп Балтийского флота по уничтожению гаубицы М-777 БпЛА "Ланцет". @voin_dv

t.me

Apparently Russian forces have begun using tank riders, possibly due to a lack of BMPs.

А вот и танковый десант вернулся

современные танки, Армата, Т-95, Молот, Объект 299, Оплот, Т-84, БТВТ

btvtinfo.blogspot.com

Russian VDV assaulting a building. Location and context unclear. Allegedly combat footage but there's no sign of the enemy.

Colonelcassad

Штурм от первого лица: боевая работа штурмовой группы ВДВ . Подойдя к зданию под плотной дымовой завесой, десантники забросали гранатами отстреливающихся боевиков, ворвались в здание и завершили их уничтожение с помощью стрелкового оружия. В ходе скоротечного боя было уничтожено шесть...

t.me

Ukrainian S-300 TEL allegedly destroyed by a Russian loitering munition. Location, date, and context unclear.

Colonelcassad

Уничтоженный российским беспилотным/барражирующим боеприпасом "Ланцет" ЗРК С-300 ВСУ @voenkorzvo

t.me

A destroyed Ukrainian Maxx Pro, location and context unclear.

Colonelcassad

Уничтоженный американский бронеавтомобиль International MaxxPro, поставленный украинской армии. @Ugolok_Sitha

t.me

A destroyed Ukrainian Kipri MRAP, location and context unclear.

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Russian up-armored Ural. According to the video, the anti-UAV nets can be mounted in ~20 minutes.

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Russian service members returning from Ukrainian captivity as part of the latest POW exchange.

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A rare Russian Tunguska in Ukraine.

Уголок Ситха

Не часто встречающийся в зоне СВО зенитный пушечно-ракетный комплекс "Тунгуска".

t.me

Ukrainian technical with twin Maxim guns.

Всё-таки надо ..., надо (с).

Долго думал, постить к нам или не постить. Всё-таки решил запостить.

shushpanzer-ru.livejournal.com

NATO/EU.

Reportedly Ukraine got its first Patriots.

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Ukrainian servicemembers training in the UK.

Moscow calling

Принцесса Уэльская Кэтрин на тренировке ВСУ в Великобритании. Коня на скаку не тормозит, да и изб в Великобритании не густо, но тоже неплохо, по сравнению со всякими дочками фанерных маршалов...

t.me

French MI AC HPD F2 anti-tank mines have shown up in Ukraine.

Colonelcassad

Мины, которые используют украинские террористы На фото французская противотанковая MI AC HPD F2. являются необезвреживаемыми и неизвлекаемыми. Их использование является нарушением Протокола II к Женевской конвенции о запрещении или ограничении применения оружия неизбирательного действия. Мина...

t.me

 

[ngatimozart]

Globaleye & Gulfstream/IAI CAEW are the upper tier of bizjet/prop AEW aircraft. The older Erieye systems are built on smaller, slower, lower ceiling platforms, & unless upgraded to Erieye ER have a lower performance radar. The Embraer P600 is another relatively small platform, & the radar's smaller & perhaps lower performance than that on CAEW.

There is also the IAI ELTA ELW 2085 CAEW system as well, if the Israelis were willing for it to be exported to Ukraine.

https://www.iai.co.il/p/elw-2085-caew

 

[seaspear]

In regards to Ukraine seeking to acquire western fighters I came across this article suggesting the R.A.A.F Hornets that are no longer used are in storage and are in good condition but if the U.S doesn't want them may be destroyed, under licence agreement this aircraft can only be sold or given with U.S approval
Australia's Mothballed F/A-18 Hornets Should Be Given To Ukraine (thedrive.com)

 

[swerve]

There is also the IAI ELTA ELW 2085 CAEW system as well, if the Israelis were willing for it to be exported to Ukraine.

https://www.iai.co.il/p/elw-2085-caew

Yes, the Gulfstream/IAI CAEW I mentioned: EL/W 2085 radar on a Gulfstream G550. Sold to Italy & Singapore as well as Israel.

 

[ngatimozart]

In regards to Ukraine seeking to acquire western fighters I came across this article suggesting the R.A.A.F Hornets that are no longer used are in storage and are in good condition but if the U.S doesn't want them may be destroyed, under licence agreement this aircraft can only be sold or given with U.S approval
Australia's Mothballed F/A-18 Hornets Should Be Given To Ukraine (thedrive.com)

The US, especially, is hesitant to release US combat aircraft for Ukraine's use. The UK, French and Germans are the others, all claiming that they don't want to escalate the war. The Russians are the ones who have escalated the war by their threats to use nuclear weapons, and the US, UK, France, and Germany are buying into what is Russian blackmail. By not supplying F-16s to Ukraine they are forcing Ukraine to fight with one hand tied behind its back. The question is do the US, UK, France, and Germany actually want Ukraine to win, successfully recovering its territory illegally occupied by Russia? They are letting the Russians win if they continue to buy into the Russian blackmail.

Some people will say "Oh but the risk of nukes going off is to high". Russian has threatened nuclear retribution for so long it's like a stuck record. The US, UK, and France should just tell the Russians that if they set off one nuke, no matter how big or small, then retaliation will be very swift and very severe and the warning should be a very public one. Russia's a bully and the only way to sort a bully out is stand up to it and fight. Will Xi Jinping still stand by Russia if it uses a nuke. A warning to Russia, as suggested, may cause him to rethink his options because he doesn't have a large nuclear weapons stock. This couldn't be done to Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan during the 1930s because nukes weren't available then, but that showed that any weakness by the democracies was seized upon by the fascists and utilised to the full extent. Look what happened; 25 - 40 million killed.

 

[seaspear]

A couple of articles going into the falling prison populations in Russia ,its unlikely there will be official statements the use of the prison population and the losses of life
17,000 Inmates Have Disappeared From Russian Prisons, Likely Joined Ukraine War: Report (ibtimes.com)
Russian prison population sees largest drop in more than a decade as Wagner PMC recruits convicts en masse — Meduza
This New York Times article suggests the choices for prisoners are between a quick or slow death from H.I.V with estimates of up to fifty thousand recruited from prisons for front line combat
‘A Quick Death or a Slow Death’: Prisoners Choose War to Get Lifesaving Drugs - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

 

[contricusc]

A warning to Russia, as suggested, may cause him to rethink his options because he doesn't have a large nuclear weapons stock.

He has the largest nuclear weapons stock in the world. If that is not large, than I don’t know what you would consider as being large.

Except for that, I actually agree with your post.