The Biggest Loser - Who Will It Be?

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A

Aussie Digger

Guest
AD,

You clearly don't appreciate the strategic considerations and analysis which underpin the arguments presented by APA.


:)
Fair enough. Like everyone else in this debate I am more than happy to listen to your opinion.

It's enough to say I disagree with the strategic rationale underpinning APA's arguments. Most of what I have read at APA's website, it's submissions to the JSCFADT, Dr Kopp's writings in Aust Aviation, Defence Today, Air International and ASPI dating back years, seem based on unsupported speculation about "possibilities" not the "hard data" that APA wishes were involved in this "debate".

If you wish to think I am incapable of understanding your arguments, good luck to you. It's your opinion only and you know what they say about opinions...

However continuing further down this line of thought is likely to lead to another issue APA wishes wasn't involved in this "debate" "playing the man".

Consequently I am happy to finish the "debate" with you specifically right here.

Cheers

AD.

:)
 

Tasman

Ship Watcher
Verified Defense Pro
Dear Tasman, you're utterly idealistic ;)
Look at Austria for example. The government is so keen on dropping the Eurofighter contract no matter if it's the best solution for Austria or if their military wants it, they are now starting to act really dirty. That's just because they promised it during their election campaign.
I tend to understand the whole process as a constant struggle between the military who want the best equipment and the politicians who have other things in mind (budget, elections, etc.).
Here in Germany the military loses most of the time as supporting a military buildup is the safest way to lose votes
You are probably right! :D

Mind you the fact that I believe politicians should act in a particular way doesn't mean that I actually expect they will. In fact my expectations in this regard are quite low and I now expect a 'dirty tricks' campaign from both sides of politics as each election approaches. We've seen plenty in of this in Australia in the past, along with defence decisions based purely on ideological grounds. I still remember the political decision that killed off the fixed wing fleet air arm as it had been proposed by the party concerned when it was in opposition and was then implemented with no discussion with the navy when that party came to power. :mad:

I guess I am concerned that the air combat debate in Australia could be highjacked by politicians with no consideration of the wishes of the defence force. I accept that there are aspects of the present situation where this may already be the case but I don't want it to get worse. The good thing in Australia is that the advocates on each side of the debate are pushing for what they see as the best possible air combat force that Australia can afford. APA has a preferred solution and the ADF/Defence Minister prefers another. At least we are not debating whether there should be an air combat force at all as happened across the Tasman! :rolleyes:

Cheers
 

Tasman

Ship Watcher
Verified Defense Pro
What might happen if the government changes?

I can see from a response from Gary in the thread F/A-18E/F officially selected for Australia that my comment in Post 36 above when I said that "the FA-18F is likely to be an important part of the RAAF's force structure for some time and that, like it or not, the F111 will soon be gone", together with a follow up comment that "if we can't even discuss a future force mix that does not include the F111 then we are wasting our time," may well have been premature.

I suggest that everyone interested in this should read gf's comments.

http://www.defencetalk.com/forums/showthread.php?p=99473#post99473

It seems that a new government, with a defence policy that seems to be a bit of a shambles, may review the SH purchase with the aim of keeping the F111 going with minimal expenditure until the JSF comes into service. Delays in the JSF program, which seem to me to be increasingly likely, would result in a situation where a capability gap occurs as the F111/FA-18A/B force inevitably runs down.

No 'side' in the debate we are having seems likely to emerge as a winner if this occurs. Keeping the F111 but not 'evolving' it or supporting it with a high end fighter like the F-22 certainly won't please the APA lobby. Creating a substantial capability gap which has the danger of a future government accepting a reduced number of available air combat aircraft (say 60-70 instead of 100) as a permanent rather than a temporary measure won't please the JSF advocates either.

I certainly plan to lobby my local candidates re this issue as I think there is a real danger that the RAAF and Australia's regional air superiority stands to be the biggest loser.


Cheers
 
A

Aussie Digger

Guest
I share your concern to a degree, but there's an awful lot of "what ifs" in that scenario.

Labour has to actually get in for IT to happen at all. Then Labour has to overrule RAAF and cancel the SH project. Then it has to disregard RAAF's advice again and continue to operate the F-111 WITHOUT upgrading it and then make a decision about NACC, as the F/A-18's ARE going to wear out sooner rather than later...

A LOT of strange decisions there for all this to happen...

Personally my "opinion" is that the Liberals will be re-elected, which will just about sound the death knell for these arguments. SH will then be acquired and so will JSF in due course and all these arguments will fade into history just like the F-111 and life will go on just as it is now, without the end of Australia being a sovereign nation... :eek:nfloorl:
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
I share your concern to a degree, but there's an awful lot of "what ifs" in that scenario.

Labour has to actually get in for IT to happen at all.
Exactly!

I was at a conference the other day in Melb where Peter Garret was the guest speaker. he was far more cautious and very very realistic. he made a point of mentioning that Labor had to get more than 17 seats in critical electorates to get over the line.

He certainly doesn't see it as a sure thing.

From my own discussions with other Lab party front rowers at similar venues, I get the distinct feeling that ADF will get hammered and converted into a peace keeping model if they get their way. Even if the F-22 opportunity was different - and I seriously doubt it as I know they've had briefings on some issues, then you can seriously forget about a Lab govt spilling money for that platform. They'll be investing in blue helmet capability.

Beasley must be absolutely despondent.
 

Tasman

Ship Watcher
Verified Defense Pro
I share your concern to a degree, but there's an awful lot of "what ifs" in that scenario.

Labour has to actually get in for IT to happen at all. Then Labour has to overrule RAAF and cancel the SH project. Then it has to disregard RAAF's advice again and continue to operate the F-111 WITHOUT upgrading it and then make a decision about NACC, as the F/A-18's ARE going to wear out sooner rather than later...

A LOT of strange decisions there for all this to happen...

Personally my "opinion" is that the Liberals will be re-elected, which will just about sound the death knell for these arguments. SH will then be acquired and so will JSF in due course and all these arguments will fade into history just like the F-111 and life will go on just as it is now, without the end of Australia being a sovereign nation... :eek:nfloorl:
I hope you are right but opinion polls currently have Labor way out in front! :D Regardless, I agree that it would be politically difficult for a new government to justify the above actions.

Whatever happens Oz will certainly survive. We've survived plenty of hopeless governments in the past - actually I'm trying to think of when we had a good one but I can't. My memory must be going! :eek:nfloorl:

Cheers
 
A

Aussie Digger

Guest
I hope you are right but opinion polls currently have Labor way out in front! :D Regardless, I agree that it would be politically difficult for a new government to justify the above actions.

Whatever happens Oz will certainly survive. We've survived plenty of hopeless governments in the past - actually I'm trying to think of when we had a good one but I can't. My memory must be going! :eek:nfloorl:

Cheers
Precisely.

Doom and gloom sells (hence the "broadsheet" interest in APA's POV), but the day the Government completely ignores ADF's advice on multiple defence issues, will be a strange day indeed.

One that I can't forsee either quite frankly...

Oppositional politics is all well and good. You don't HAVE to worry about actually running anything then. I daresay it's a bit different when you have to hold the purse strings and be (somewhat) accountable to the public for your decisions...
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
but the day the Government completely ignores ADF's advice on multiple defence issues, will be a strange day indeed.

One that I can't forsee either quite frankly...
In broad terms I agree with you, but there are two examples which demonstrate that Govt will ignore advice.

Collins. The majority of navy wanted the super sized 209. (ie a 3000 tonne super HDW 209). However some in Navy didn't want subs at all, some still thought that sub warfare was "ungentlemanly". Some wanted Carriers instead. Govt went against the evaluation preference and selected Kockums. The rest, as we know is history. Of course the irony in that is that Kockums is now owned by HDW. All the critical improvements were done by australian companies and with an assist from USN and DARPA/NAVSEA.

Seasprite. Cloves of garlic, silver bullets and and polished crosses out everyone. :eek:nfloorl:
 
A

Aussie Digger

Guest
In broad terms I agree with you, but there are two examples which demonstrate that Govt will ignore advice.

Collins. The majority of navy wanted the super sized 209. (ie a 3000 tonne super HDW 209). However some in Navy didn't want subs at all, some still thought that sub warfare was "ungentlemanly". Some wanted Carriers instead. Govt went against the evaluation preference and selected Kockums. The rest, as we know is history. Of course the irony in that is that Kockums is now owned by HDW. All the critical improvements were done by australian companies and with an assist from USN and DARPA/NAVSEA.

Seasprite. Cloves of garlic, silver bullets and and polished crosses out everyone. :eek:nfloorl:
True, but surely the Kockums design was still presented to NSC as an "option". Not simply picked out of the Blue by the Defmin looking at a brochure...

Same with Seasprite, though I understand it was still Navy's preferred option over Sea Lynx, which shows how wrong Defence can be...

Even MRH-90 seems a good example of Government ruling over the top of ADF's preferred options, however my point was directed at the idea that Government would make it's own Defence acquisition choices without ANY advice from Defence...
 

Tasman

Ship Watcher
Verified Defense Pro
In broad terms I agree with you, but there are two examples which demonstrate that Govt will ignore advice.

Collins. The majority of navy wanted the super sized 209. (ie a 3000 tonne super HDW 209). However some in Navy didn't want subs at all, some still thought that sub warfare was "ungentlemanly". Some wanted Carriers instead. Govt went against the evaluation preference and selected Kockums. The rest, as we know is history. Of course the irony in that is that Kockums is now owned by HDW. All the critical improvements were done by australian companies and with an assist from USN and DARPA/NAVSEA.

Seasprite. Cloves of garlic, silver bullets and and polished crosses out everyone. :eek:nfloorl:
Hmm... The old boys' network of gentlemen! When I first showed an interest in a naval career as a teenager I remember being shattered when I was told that it was a pity I wasn't attending a good private school rather than Hobart Technical High School. Subsequently I demonstrated my incompetence in Maths and Physics so it was a non issue and I ended up in education instead!:dunce Hopefully that generation of naval officers has passed into history!

Re Seasprite I have my stake ready! :eek:nfloorl:

Cheers
 
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Todjaeger

Potstirrer
-Also stated in this paper:In April 2000, the Clinton Administration
announced it would give special export status under the ITAR to both
the UK and Australia—this would exempt these two countries from most
arms-export controls. This move would put these countries on par with
Canada, at that time the only country to enjoy this level of ITAR
status.
Is there a link or source for this? As far as I am aware, the Executive branch does not have the legal authority to exempt the UK and Australia. The exemption granted to Canada is a matter of law, which is drafted by the legislature. Congress could give the Executive branch the discretionary authority to give an exemption to the UK and Australia, but as far as I am aware, has not done so.

The battle space speed at super cruise and being able to loft SDB and JDAM at super-sonic release at 50-60k and you have some serious range that contempt of engages most known SAM systems. After that it still has 2 AMRAAM on board and 2 AIM-9 for clean up if needed. However that isn't as important as the sortie rate. An F-22 with super cruise will sortie rate the hell out of JSF. More targets serviced per day per air frame. Not all and certainly most targets do not require a 2000lb warhead. After large SAMs and airpower are killed off JDAM-ER from F-111 could be dropped or any 2000lb JDAM non-ER and medium SAMs, trashfire, AAA, MANPADS couldn't even engage it. Kick the door down with F-22 and F-111 will do the remaining clean up. Not an especially hard exercise to pull off.
USAF already knows that F-22 can go into stiff IADS where an F-35 would have trouble. This is already documented.
A few points here. I could be mistaken, but I don't believe that the SDB/JDAM be be safely released at high speeds. I'm looking for the post, but I believe Big-E mentioned that the SDB is released at around 300 km/h, don't remember the exact number. As for the "documented" ability of the F-22 to go into IADS that the F-35 can't... How is that documented? The F-22 just reached IOC with the first sqd mid to late last year, and the F-35 had it's flight test last year... Neither indicates to me a change to expose either to a sophisticated IADS, never mind document the performance.

Will post more once I have the chance.

-Cheers
 
A

Aussie Digger

Guest
Is there a link or source for this? As far as I am aware, the Executive branch does not have the legal authority to exempt the UK and Australia. The exemption granted to Canada is a matter of law, which is drafted by the legislature. Congress could give the Executive branch the discretionary authority to give an exemption to the UK and Australia, but as far as I am aware, has not done so.



A few points here. I could be mistaken, but I don't believe that the SDB/JDAM be be safely released at high speeds. I'm looking for the post, but I believe Big-E mentioned that the SDB is released at around 300 km/h, don't remember the exact number. As for the "documented" ability of the F-22 to go into IADS that the F-35 can't... How is that documented? The F-22 just reached IOC with the first sqd mid to late last year, and the F-35 had it's flight test last year... Neither indicates to me a change to expose either to a sophisticated IADS, never mind document the performance.

Will post more once I have the chance.

-Cheers
Your mistaking the mistake that all "arm chair generals" make and that is allowing reality to get in the way of an obsession over a pet project don't you know? :)

All sorts of things are stated about what an F-22 can and an F-35 can't do and fact is besides the actual operators and designers, no-one has a REAL clue about their actual capabilities...
 

Todjaeger

Potstirrer
Seasprite. Cloves of garlic, silver bullets and and polished crosses out everyone. :eek:nfloorl:
GF, you forgot the holy water, host, and my personal favorite. Thy Holy Hand Grenade! Take that you :vamp's!

And now for something completely different.

Your mistaking the mistake that all "arm chair generals" make and that is allowing reality to get in the way of an obsession over a pet project don't you know? :)

All sorts of things are stated about what an F-22 can and an F-35 can't do and fact is besides the actual operators and designers, no-one has a REAL clue about their actual capabilities...
D'Oh!:nutkick

I knew I was including something that wasn't supposed to be there... Reality.

-Cheers
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Is there a link or source for this? As far as I am aware, the Executive branch does not have the legal authority to exempt the UK and Australia. The exemption granted to Canada is a matter of law, which is drafted by the legislature. Congress could give the Executive branch the discretionary authority to give an exemption to the UK and Australia, but as far as I am aware, has not done so.
To give a working example:

The US was publicly declaring that Australia had been elevated to the same security access provisions as the UK - that does not include ITARS issues.

Point in fact.

  1. I'm aware of a project that has been attempting to get a technology in place for the AWD. That tech is far below the overall sophistication level of F-22. We can't get clearance and release - even with hi-level approaches
  2. We've (my company) has just bought into another US technology. It took 3 years to get through State Dept clearances - and that was to ensure that the military elements of that tech was non ITARs caveated. That tech is far below the overall sophistication level of F-22.
  3. Australian access at a higher security level has some curious timing. It converges with a decision to bring the US into partnership with integrating JORN into other US sensor grids.
I can think of at least 3 other techs that are ITARs limited and Australia has asked for. One of them personally rebounded on me as I'd revved up DSTO about its potential - only to be told we couldn't get it due to ITARs restriction. (the vendor thought that we would get access and was just as surprised)

F-22? I seriously doubt it - and thats based on my own personal and actual experience with existing technologies.
 

Grand Danois

Entertainer
A bit on terminology

Narrowband stealth. A nice construct that focuses on the limitations (negative, detracting), rather than the more accurate optimised for certain bandwidths.

However, wrt "narrowband":

Narrowband refers to a situation in radio communications where the bandwidth of the message does not significantly exceed the channel's coherence. It is a common misconception that narrowband refers to a channel which occupies only a "small" amount of space on the radio spectrum.

[...]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narrowband
Yeah, know it is Wiki, but it seems it is correct.

"Narrowband stealth", is apparently not a term that describes anything meaningful, neither in the technical sense nor in a wider context.
 
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ELP

New Member
Your mistaking the mistake that all "arm chair generals" make and that is allowing reality to get in the way of an obsession over a pet project don't you know? :)

All sorts of things are stated about what an F-22 can and an F-35 can't do and fact is besides the actual operators and designers, no-one has a REAL clue about their actual capabilities...

Hi AD, that is a real nice way of trying to downgrade someones statement but it doesn't substitute for putting down any fact. I am pretty comfortable with my diverse industry and military (U.S.) contacts that I interact with on a weekly basis and the things that I see with my own eyes.... for over 25 years.

Hi, Todjager,

F-22 Supersonic Drops with GBU-32 were done already.

http://www.lockheedmartin.com/wms/findPage.do?dsp=fec&ci=17723&rsbci=1&fti=133&ti=0&sc=400

SDB is still in testing for F-22 certification. SDB supersonic release was performed already using an F-111 for the initial test.

http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-SDB.html

Unless the BRU-61/A rack has any problem or there are some other issues, doing the same with F-22 shouldn't be difficult. However a wait and see until the tests are complete would be a good idea. Thank you for mentioning that.
http://www.f-16.net/news_article2225.html

High Grand, Yes lets talk "meaningful". JSF is made to degrade most weaponeering radars, Fighters, AAA, some SAMs etc. Even more important is that is not all aspect stealth. Overselling it as if it were able to go into a double digit SAM environment is a serious dangerous over-sell. ( see one of the last slides from the April U.S. Navy brief on the download section of JSF.mil. claiming double digit SAM IADS prowess with no qualification. Scary. )

-"The JSF is not a substitute for
the F/A-22A. In fact, the JSF will rely on the F/A-
22A for air dominance. The F/A-22A offers the
aerodynamic performance and manoeuvrability
required to counter advanced ‘double-digit’ SAMs
[Surface-to-Air-Missiles developed in the Soviet
Union during the 1980s and later by Russia with
NATO reporting names higher than SA-10] and
next generation air threats that are growing
throughout the Pacific Theatre of operations. The
F-35A JSF is a low cost, multi-mission aircraft
primarily designed for air-to-ground operations to
replace Air Force F-16s and A-10s. "


That is quote from an interview of General Deptula, in an Australian publication: Defence Today.

That is a big leap from someone claiming or advertising pretty diagrams of a non-all aspect stealth aircraft weaving through a stiff IADS and claiming day one deep penetration into same. For F-22 working the big SEAD/DEAD threats...That includes big SAM and IADS radar hunting with the 30 odd antenna in various places around the airframe skin supporting the AN/ALR-94 RF. JSF will have wonderful sensor fusion however it still won't have an ultimate stealth design needed for stiff threats. So this along with the F-22 battlespace speed and JDAM and SDB, will be very very good at kicking down the door and offering good survival.

The F-22 and JSF are not in the same class of stealth quality. "You did want the low price did you not?" That is want JSF is.

Hi GF0012. Yeah that is interesting. RE: the F-22. One has to consider that F-22 offers seriously limited Australian workshare. That, given the current government, is the big unspoken failing of F-22. Where JSF offers a fair bit... and if the JSF program does well, there is opportunity to do much much more. That was part of the initial brief years ago, opportunity ( note as I am sure you are aware the JSF program vendor selection is based on "best value" ( although I seriously wonder with the Turkey deal ($5billion in offsets by any other name being looked at ) ) .. Anyway, anything ( like different aircraft selections ) that gets in the way of JSF home industry Australian workshare is going to be, belittled by Defence as we are seeing now. Defence comments on meek requests for F-22 are show. And oh by the way Australia jumped on to the JSF program years ago. The JSF program and all of the politicos here in the U.S. certainly don't want to see anyone jumping $hip. In the case of Japans recent F-22 noise, they at least have advantage of not having already signed up for the JSF program. F-22 does not offer any usable workshare compared to commitments/promises already made to JSF. Lets not forget also that JSF was selected before Air 6000 was completely reviewed. The dollars signs for home industry workshare for Australia were good enough. X, y, z capability of any particular airframe is secondary to that fact. Also the fact that JSF was designed with export as an option. Anyone wanting the War College study at Maxwell for that, let me know and I will email it to you. The PDF link at Maxwell seems to be down and the html copy is dodgy. I have a copy of the PDF that goes into extensive export thinking with the F-22 program. My opinion is that anything that gets in the way of all of the money sunk and future potential workshare for JSF will be minimized at every opportunity. One should read all of the madman Albright letters (link (PDF) Cohen are some of many examples) on file from the Clinton era. Not complete by themselves but an indicator of how important the ABC's are. Including our security sharing on SIGINT/COMINT issues etc. Which are crown jewel security assets. Very illuminating on how much value we then placed on Australian trust for military secrets. The "ABC"s. Australia, Canada, and Britian.... and no matter what anyone else says, no one has the cache with us that those three countries do. Canadian defence spending is and was in the dumps. UK had Eurofighter and other money woes. It is unfortunate that Australia signed on to JSF without at least hearing out AIR6000 to the end. Now that you have signed up for the big cash cow (potential) that is JSF, nothing else is "competitive".
 
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A

Aussie Digger

Guest
Some comments from AVM John HARVEY TODAY that are germane to these discussions and carry a bit more weight than the "unnamed military and industry" contacts who state differently...

QUESTION: I have a question for Air Vice-Marshal Harvey. Trevor Thomas from the Australian Defence Business Review.
Can you comment in terms of the second… I'm sorry, first pass consideration for the JSF. Cabinet came back and directed to make some extra investigations which have subsequently confirmed as the F-18F. I was wondering if prior to that, before Senator Hill had made the decision on the JSF, Defence had been commissioned to run a series of studies on different options.
Now, once Senator Hill had made that decision, I understand Defence had stopped making studies into the other options. So I'm wondering has there been a gap of a couple of years in terms of Defence's knowledge of other aircraft programs running up to the first pass decision or when the direction came up that the Cabinet was looking at going down and looking at the F-18F, did you go back and have a look, a refresh, at all those other aircraft options?

JOHN HARVEY: What happened in 2002 when Senator Hill or Government made the decision to join the Joint Strike Fighter project, we stopped actively soliciting information from the other contenders. We went out with a very extensive Request For Information back in 2001 for all the potential providers of aircraft out there, and based on the analysis, the JSF was the preferred approach.

Since that time, however, we've kept what we call a watching brief on all the contenders out there just to see if there's any major changes in the programs that would affect our original decision or to have backups available. So we kept have a watching brief on all those contenders throughout that time and DSTO is taking the lead on that. So we have up to date information on all the contenders available.

QUESTION: A question actually for Air Marshal Harvey. Last week the Defence Minister unveiled a letter from the Deputy Secretary of the US Department of Defense, saying that the F-22 wasn't available for Australian acquisition. Was this in response to the watching brief which Defence was maintaining which or was it in context to something else like a direct request?

JOHN HARVEY: The response from Mr Gordon England was in reply to a letter the Minister sent late in December last year advising of our intention to join the next phase of the Joint Strike Fighter program and as part of that we said we would like to keep up to date on all the programs and the status of them and in that letter Mr England reconfirmed that the JSF wasn't available for export. So it wasn't a request a statement of that's the fact via congressional legislation.

Courtesy of www.defence.gov.au/media/SpeechTpl.cfm?CurrentId=6394

Believe the contacts you are unwilling to name if you wish guys, me I'm going to take the word of the AVM that's ACTUALLY in charge of this project...
 

gf0012-aust

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
double post but relevant:

Inside the Ring


By Bill Gertz

April 20, 2007



F-22s to Japan

Japan wants to purchase up to 100 of the Air Force's ultramodern F-22 warplanes, and the subject is expected to be on the agenda of the meeting next week between President Bush and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

Pro-China officials in the Bush administration are working against the sale of the advanced warplane, which has stealth characteristics and is expected to bring harsh criticism from China, which views Japan's more internationalist military posture as a threat.

The F-22 sale to Japan is favored by conservatives who say Japan, the closest U.S. ally in Asia, needs the warplanes to counter threats from both North Korea, where missiles could be pre-emptively attacked before launch, and China, which is building up forces opposite Taiwan, where China has deployed about 900 missiles within range of the island.

"One hundred F-22s in hands of Japan could change the Taiwan balance of power for two decades," said one official in favor of the estimated $30 billion sale. "The F-22 based in Okinawa could not only fight off [China's People's Liberation Army] air force but strike inside China; it is invisible to radar."

An Air Force spokesman said sales of the jet to Japan would require changing a 1998 law that prohibits the Pentagon from selling any F-22s to a foreign government.

China scored a political victory last year when the Bush administration headed off a planned request by Taiwan to buy upgraded F-16 jets. As a result of production schedules, any future sales of F-16s will be delayed until 2011.



http://www.washingtontimes.com/national/20070419-114228-8449r_page2.htm



And here :



http://www.aviationweek.com/aw/gene...2 attractive to Japan as missile threats grow
 

ELP

New Member
Some comments from AVM John HARVEY TODAY that are germane to these discussions and carry a bit more weight than the "unnamed military and industry" contacts who state differently...

QUESTION: I have a question for Air Vice-Marshal Harvey. Trevor Thomas from the Australian Defence Business Review.
Can you comment in terms of the second… I'm sorry, first pass consideration for the JSF. Cabinet came back and directed to make some extra investigations which have subsequently confirmed as the F-18F. I was wondering if prior to that, before Senator Hill had made the decision on the JSF, Defence had been commissioned to run a series of studies on different options.
Now, once Senator Hill had made that decision, I understand Defence had stopped making studies into the other options. So I'm wondering has there been a gap of a couple of years in terms of Defence's knowledge of other aircraft programs running up to the first pass decision or when the direction came up that the Cabinet was looking at going down and looking at the F-18F, did you go back and have a look, a refresh, at all those other aircraft options?

JOHN HARVEY: What happened in 2002 when Senator Hill or Government made the decision to join the Joint Strike Fighter project, we stopped actively soliciting information from the other contenders. We went out with a very extensive Request For Information back in 2001 for all the potential providers of aircraft out there, and based on the analysis, the JSF was the preferred approach.

Since that time, however, we've kept what we call a watching brief on all the contenders out there just to see if there's any major changes in the programs that would affect our original decision or to have backups available. So we kept have a watching brief on all those contenders throughout that time and DSTO is taking the lead on that. So we have up to date information on all the contenders available.

QUESTION: A question actually for Air Marshal Harvey. Last week the Defence Minister unveiled a letter from the Deputy Secretary of the US Department of Defense, saying that the F-22 wasn't available for Australian acquisition. Was this in response to the watching brief which Defence was maintaining which or was it in context to something else like a direct request?

JOHN HARVEY: The response from Mr Gordon England was in reply to a letter the Minister sent late in December last year advising of our intention to join the next phase of the Joint Strike Fighter program and as part of that we said we would like to keep up to date on all the programs and the status of them and in that letter Mr England reconfirmed that the JSF wasn't available for export. So it wasn't a request a statement of that's the fact via congressional legislation.

Courtesy of www.defence.gov.au/media/SpeechTpl.cfm?CurrentId=6394

Believe the contacts you are unwilling to name if you wish guys, me I'm going to take the word of the AVM that's ACTUALLY in charge of this project...
Wow. I really convinced now. ;) Does "actively looking" at other contenders mean throwing away Air6000 before that process was completely looked at? As far as the F-18F, Defence has no clue about legacy aircraft in that category by proof of Dr Nelson's page that commented on the F-15E where almost everything mentioned about it was... Wrong. Sorry, I'm not up to believing a political hack or any of his toads. This is the same group of clowns that created the fantasy that F-111s could fall out of the sky past 2010. Wrong also. None of this is about capability any way, it is about the home workshare offered for JSF ( and to be fair looking out for that is of course a good thing )...and as for the Super Slow Hornet, a slick sales job to a clueless gullible buyer.

What is important, and in the end very sad, is that Defence believes everything hook line and sinker from U.S. Defence lobbying firms like (NDIA) http://ndia.org/ Organizations like this have one mission: Sell defence gear. In the case of the Super Hornet the sales job was done by a USN retired Rear Admiral that was the head project manager for the Super Hornet when it did fleet Opvals. When these guys retire, many of them have a golden revolving door right into the defence industry. I'm not blaming them because a lot of that is our (U.S.) own doing in a corrupt system. What I am blaming is Australian Defence going right along with whatever U.S. PowerPoint brief comes down the pike. Since you have very little useful Defence over-watch on military defence spending decisions, ( a joke really ) the taxpayer who is paying for this, is locked out of the whole process. Now one of the reasons in the case of the Super Hornet that you WANT a competition of other types is that the deal can be sweeter. Lets say Super Hornet wins in a competition.... look at India, if Super Hornet were to get selected there, there is a 30% Indian workshare written into the deal. What is Australian workshare on Super Hornet? Zip.
Here is that DSCA release notifying congress of the Australian Super Hornet sale:
http://www.dsca.osd.mil/pressreleases/36-b/2007/Australia_07-13.pdf

Where this becomes even more important is if JSF goes real bad and Super Hornet fills the ranks of ALL of your fighter aircraft. Since there was no competition, there is really no need for Boeing to initially offer a new deal that offers home workshare.

Not a very good way for government to watch over the taxpayers money.
 

ELP

New Member
Hi GF,

Yeah, changing that law won't be especially hard. In the case of Japan, they don't have the albatross hanging around their neck of being a JSF partner. Lockheed is helping generate interest in this. They can do that. There was noise like this over a year ago, it didn't go very far but I am sure LM will keep hacking away. Part of the laws state DOD can't generate interest in F-22 FMS. ;) However, LM can. As there is already an active technology risk assessment inside LM for F-22 export, their submission will have every "i" dotted and every "t" crossed. As there is an election year coming up for us (U.S.), LM will again hand out tons of cash to politicos that want to get elected/re-elected. LM's phone calls get answered. So by that, not especially hard to do. Of course nothing is absolute... except political graft to politicians. And at the end of the day, this is all part of the U.S. Military Industrial Congressional Complex (MICC).
 
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