contedicavour
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- #21
Yep I agree. The international community is putting pressure on the TNG to act in a consensual way by trying to coopt the moderate elements of the former ICU. Some African states are starting to commit to troops.Ethiopian troops began pulling out from Somalia about a month ago. The initial plan was to pull out a third of their troops then gradually pull out competely and replaced by AU peacekeeping troops. Its very costly to maitain the approximately 10,000 Ethiopian troops present in Somalia who are very unpopular with the locals. The international community should help strengthen the central govt. and in return the govt. of Somalia would be expected to govern in a transparent manner. The reason the ICU came to power was because the because the locals didn't have any confidence in the govt. who was corrupted.
My fear is that guerrilla (especially the urban version) will force the AU troops to ask European or US help and that we might end up like in 1991.
That's why I believe it is the moment to strengthen government troops (even if they include a bunch of former warlords) with some heavy equipment so that guerrillas don't feel emboldened.
cheers