1. Superior tanks, I seriously doubt any T-90 taking out an xk-2
2. Poorly defended strategic air defense units
3. S.K.'s active troops are 3 times the size of Japan
1. I'm pretty sure Type-90 would give a good account of itself against a tank that hasn't even entered service yet. And I'm as fascinated as anyone to learn how you plan to get this all-conquering force onto the beach in the first place. I hope your plan doesn't depend on the regions premier Navy falling asleep. And battles ain't just won with tanks my friend, look at Iraq.
2. Poorly defended by whom? One of Asia's most professional air forces? Not to mention the fact that the JGSDF's SAM launcher numbers stand at about 800 (200 alone of which are I-HAWK) backed up by a very modern ground-based radar, AWACS and C4I system. For near on 50 years, the Japanese have done
nothing butdefend their airspace against the Soviets.
S.K.'s active troops are 3 times the size of Japan
3. Yes that is true. South Korea's army however relies on conscription. The starting salary for a conscripted Private 1st Class in the ROKA is 30 US Dollars a Month (
Jane's World Armies, online update 19 June 2007). For the Accountants among us... Compare that to a South Vietnamese PFC in the ARVN back in 1975 - they were on 7 US Dollars a month. I have one word - Inflation!
The JGSDF on the other hand is an all-volunteer force with a retention level actually higher than that of any NATO army. Highly trained, well led,
well paid, blessed with some excellent kit (their artillery is second to none) its also seemingly very well motivated - I have a feeling that 3 to 1 advantage would count for very little indeed.
And for my most important points -
1. Japan spends twice as much on defence than South Korea does and has the capacity to spend even more. Could South Korea realistically do likewise and elevate itself to one of the top-6 defence spenders in the World so easily?
2. You say that in such a conflict (as far-fetched as it seems to me), ground forces count the most. As stated though, you have to get there first, which in my humble opinion would be impossible. Japan's Navy would have a field-day with the JASDF mopping up whats left.
3. Fascinated by numbers? ROKA may have a 3 to 1 advantage in manpower at the moment. The population of Japan is 3 times bigger than that of South Korea. If mobilised, Japan would
always have a clear advantage.
4. Finally Japan's unique defence doctrine. Although committed to "self-defence" and a lot of 'spin' by the Japanese Government has gone into maintaining this image, but the simple truth is that Japan has developed everything necessary to if 'push-comes-to-shove', very rapidly become a nuclear power. Granted, South Korea too has the capacity to develop nuclear weapons - but what a pointless arms race that would be for East Asia's two leading democracies.
Anyway, this is not the topic of this thread. I honestly hope your view is not the general opinion of the South Korean nation. With both Pyongyang's regime and that in Beijing, I would rather see South Korea and Japan work together to promote democracy, human rights and free trade in a region that has seen its fair share of conflict.