I remember reading a joke somewhere that human-induced climate change was a conspiracy to invade Russia. A play off of the history of failed invasions of Russia due to the brutal winters there.
While it is not a serious statement by any means, perhaps it does raise an important observation that the Arctic is becoming increasingly accessible, whether that is through climate change or modern technological advances, and the implications it has for Russia's security and defense concerns.
The way will be opened up to tapping many resources present in the Arctic. If enough sea ice melts, it could also mean new shipping lanes. If we use our imagination and think ahead very long term, it's easy to see a lot of development and disputes happening in the region, with a lot of economic implications. An interesting thought is that we may even see the rise of booming Arctic coastal cities, but that is pure speculation.
Although there is a sort of agreement going on with the Arctic Council and various treaties, I am inclined to think that thinking there will be multilateral and tension-free resolutions to any disputes is optimistic. That may just be me.
Current international issues center around Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and the Pacific, but perhaps someday in the future the Arctic will take center stage as the number one issue in global politics. When that day comes, nations will want to have leverage.
Maybe it is with these long term considerations in mind, that Russia is prioritizing its ability to aggressively influence the Arctic with its military, as evidenced by even its deployment of SAM systems.
Thoughts?