Russia-Georgia Conflict: News From the War zone

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swerve

Super Moderator
By having diplomatic ties, a new pipeline can be made to flow into Turkey via Armenia.
How would that work? Where would this pipeline come from? Armenias other borders are with Azerbaijan (border closed, soldiers staring down each others gun barrels) & Iran.
 

kato

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
I actually remember a friend of mine from Georgia once proposing he could make some good money by running a fuel truck to Azerbaijan, loading up, going to Armenia via Georgia and dump it there... repeat as often as you like. :lol

Quite seriously, there's no way for any pipeline - or other direct connection - between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

Now, through Iran... that would be a possibility. Not for the West though.
 

swerve

Super Moderator
Now, through Iran... that would be a possibility. Not for the West though.
If the Turks & Iranians got together to build a pipeline from Central Asia, they wouldn't bother to cut in the Armenians. They have a common border.

Once a pipeline was operating, it would supply Western countries, one way or another. Oil is fungible. One example of this is the way some Central Asian oil reaches the outside world: Iran imports oil (& I think gas) from Central Asia, & uses it in the north, e.g. Tehran. This substitutes for oil which would otherwise be transported from Iranian oilfields to Tehran. Instead, that oil is exported.

The exchanges above about pipelines remind me how much I wish more people here (not you) would look at maps. I know it's harder for those who don't carry an atlas around in their head ;), but since they're on the web already, it only takes a minute to find one.
 

nevidimka

New Member
If the Turks & Iranians got together to build a pipeline from Central Asia, they wouldn't bother to cut in the Armenians. They have a common border.

Once a pipeline was operating, it would supply Western countries, one way or another. Oil is fungible. One example of this is the way some Central Asian oil reaches the outside world: Iran imports oil (& I think gas) from Central Asia, & uses it in the north, e.g. Tehran. This substitutes for oil which would otherwise be transported from Iranian oilfields to Tehran. Instead, that oil is exported.

The exchanges above about pipelines remind me how much I wish more people here (not you) would look at maps. I know it's harder for those who don't carry an atlas around in their head ;), but since they're on the web already, it only takes a minute to find one.

Dude, the article i read did mention about a possible routing of pipelines via Armenia.

And regarding maps, I saw the map, n i'm thingking perhaps, they can divert the pipeline after entering Georgia into Armenia and then Turkey. The pipelines wont get close to S.Ossetia.

Also if Turkey and Armenia who hate each other can suddenly make *diplomatic progress, y not Armenia and Azerbaijan?

After all Armenia hates Turks for what they call genocide by the ottomans against them for killing like 2 million Armenians. Surely the Azerbaijani's didnt kill 2 mill Armenian's?
 

bey1919

New Member
Azerbeycan could not accept the pipe lines via ermenia because of karabağ conflict ,the only way to do is solving karabağ issue . even that is solved there is no guarantee turkey would accep or russia let ermania to do that
 

kato

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
Ermm, nevidimka, read up about the conflict around Nagorno-Karabakh a bit.

Both sides claim ethnic cleansing by the other side, some 50,000 people were killed, and somewhere between 1 and 1.5 million refugees resulted from the conflict - and that only 15 years ago, i.e. fresh in the minds of the current generation, and with the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic and Azerbaijan still pointing their guns at each other.
 

ROCK45

New Member
Government breakdown

I did look at the map as well but don't really know who's friendly to who in that general region nor the history behind it. That's why I asked what the effects might be because I don't know what's really possible there. I didn't know about the ethnic cleansing kato mentioned but I'm learning.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
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Cheney publicly made statements in regards to speeding up the membership process for Georgia into NATO during his visit to Italy, but was almost immediately overturned by the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs which said that the process will be neither sped up nor frozen.

Ok tell me if this sounds like a conspiracy theory. Leader figures in the USA forsaw that Russia would rise again after the fall, possibly as early as the mid 90's, and eastward NATO expansion is a race to prevent a resurgent Russia from reclaiming control over the region.
 

nevidimka

New Member
Ermm, nevidimka, read up about the conflict around Nagorno-Karabakh a bit.

Both sides claim ethnic cleansing by the other side, some 50,000 people were killed, and somewhere between 1 and 1.5 million refugees resulted from the conflict - and that only 15 years ago, i.e. fresh in the minds of the current generation, and with the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic and Azerbaijan still pointing their guns at each other.

Ohh forgot about that, but again that could still make the pipeline move into Georgia, and then into Armenia and then Turkey.
 

bey1919

New Member
basically there is no way turks and Azeries also turkmenistan will accept armenia connection a little brain storming :iran has azeri population around 40 million if they can find to way to unite with azerbeycan, that means breaking up iran in to 2 or 3 pieces then pipe line could pass and reach turkey and ceyhan or from north iraq to syria.This is also hard because russia and turkey dont want second iraq in the region !this means change of all maps in mid east many will resist clearly

[Mod edit]
Bey1919 - last warning. Read the rules & follow them. Your posts should be readable.[/mod edit]
 
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Feanor

Super Moderator
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And in another interesting development, president Aliev (Azerb.) said that the war in Ossetia united the caucasian nationalities around Russia. This statement comes shortly after a visit by Cheney during which Aliev spoke against the Nabucco pipeline project. Realisticaly we are looking at domino theory in action. American failure to act on behalf of Georgia is shattering confidence in American support for post-Soviet governments in the CIS. Meanwhile Timoshenko in Ukraine is possibly planning to propose herself as the presidential candidate for the next election. Since her recent radical shift in political orientation, she is now widely recognized as a more pro-Russian figure due to her refusal to support president Yuschenko on the Georgian crisis.
 

swerve

Super Moderator
Ohh forgot about that, but again that could still make the pipeline move into Georgia, and then into Armenia and then Turkey.
Once again, LOOK AT A MAP! Then explain 1) why it would make geographical sense, & 2) how routing a pipeline through an additional country would add anything to it except more political risk.

A pipeline from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey is logical geographically, but politics prevent it. Once that option is ruled out, there is no reason for any pipeline to pass through Armenia. It neither reduces the cost, nor reduces the political risk.
 

swerve

Super Moderator
Dude, the article i read did mention about a possible routing of pipelines via Armenia.

And regarding maps, I saw the map, n i'm thingking perhaps, they can divert the pipeline after entering Georgia into Armenia and then Turkey. The pipelines wont get close to S.Ossetia.

Also if Turkey and Armenia who hate each other can suddenly make *diplomatic progress, y not Armenia and Azerbaijan?

After all Armenia hates Turks for what they call genocide by the ottomans against them for killing like 2 million Armenians. Surely the Azerbaijani's didnt kill 2 mill Armenian's?
1. All that proves is that someone wrote an article without thinking, or knowing anything. Very common.
2. It takes it further from S. Ossetia, but not out of reach of Russia, & adds additional political risk, by diverting it through another country, which has quarrels with other countries on the pipeline route.
2. Turkey doesn't hate Armenia. It's not important enough to Turkey to be hated. Armenia has a long-standing grievance against Turkey, but those events were before all but a tiny number of very old people were born, & there's no fear of a repetition. The Nagorno-Karabakh issue is recent, & still live, with Armenian troops occupying a large area of Azerbaijan, & Azeris displaced from it demanding the government get their homes back. The Azeris aren't going to co-operate in building a pipeline across that land.
 

swerve

Super Moderator
I did look at the map as well but don't really know who's friendly to who in that general region nor the history behind it. That's why I asked what the effects might be because I don't know what's really possible there. I didn't know about the ethnic cleansing kato mentioned but I'm learning.
Might I suggest that a little background reading is a good idea before making suggestions. Even Wikipedia can give you the basics.
 

jennery587

New Member
Mate i have to disagree with you there. The Russians have shown their regional power status by this conflict (realistically this was allways going to be the outcome), but if you think Putin is going to intervene military with a NATO member then you're crazier than he would be. By its very foundations any military action on a NATO member means a full millitary response from every member. If any member refused to defend the Ukraine the alliance would effectively dissolve, and no major EU power (or the yanks) are going to let the cornerstone of their security evaporate over a minor conflict with the Russians.

This aggressive action will have two effects in Russia's FSU neighbors. If they have the option they will align even closer with a competing power (i.e. the west or China) or they will cow to the Russians. In the case of the Ukraine, a nation who already has significant (and popular) western leanings and NATO membership intentions, this will only drive them headlong into the hands of the west, who will realize that the only thing that will stop Russian aggression is NATO membership. If anything this little Georgian adventure will swell the ranks of NATO.

As for the breakup of the Ukraine, somehow i doubt that.
RUSSIA SHOULD ACT LIKE AMERICAS DOES IN LATIN AMERICA, SUPPORT COUP DETA FOUND ANTI GOV GROUP INVADE IS NEIGHBORD LIKE WE DID IN NICARAGUA, IRAQ, ETC:shudder

Mod edit: Please do not post in all CAPS, that is "shouting" and is considered annoying and rude. Using all CAPS for certain key words/phrases to emphasize or make a point is fine, but not for an entire sentence or post. Also, no one-liners, they really are too short to add anything constructive to a discussion or debate.
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jennery587

New Member
cheney Publicly Made Statements In Regards To Speeding Up The Membership Process For Georgia Into Nato During His Visit To Italy, But Was Almost Immediately Overturned By The Italian Ministry Of Foreign Affairs Which Said That The Process Will Be Neither Sped Up Nor Frozen.

Ok Tell Me If This Sounds Like A Conspiracy Theory. Leader Figures In The Usa Forsaw That Russia Would Rise Again After The Fall, Possibly As Early As The Mid 90's, And Eastward Nato Expansion Is A Race To Prevent A Resurgent Russia From Reclaiming Control Over The Region.
Europ Make They Own Mistak By Supporting Georgian Leadears, Again And Again, Is Not In Poland Georgia Ukraine Interests To Act Like Theire Are, Russia Is Recogniz Super Power, They Geting Bigger Then Ever, This Times He'll Be Only Russia Not Soviet Union
 

Firehorse

Banned Member
In an interview with public broadcaster Czech Television, Saakashvili said a potential flashpoint is the politically tense Crimean peninsula on the Black Sea, which is part of Ukraine.
'Russia has already distributed more passports in the Crimea' than in the Georgian breakaway provinces of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Saakashvili said. 'I think we should not be blind.' http://www.monstersandcritics.com/n..._more_territorial_conflicts_involving_Russia_
I wonder if it's true about Russian passports in Crimea?
There are indeed tangible benefits for all involved to bypass Georgia and get armenia into pipeline business!-
ANALYSIS-Georgia war boosts Turkey-Armenia thaw
http://wiredispatch.com/news/?id=334313
 
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