ARG availability is also an issue. We tried several times to exercise the ARG, and several times it was thwarted for several reasons. It comes down to two big ships being the key part of the operation, and if one of those ships isn't available, Choules has very different capabilities and there is no way to make up for that loss. Even with careful planning the whole thing is very fragile. Even forming the expanded ARU/E can become fragile.
Army is a lot more modern than it used to be, more mechanized and more networked. Its certainly bulkier and heavier. Aslavs and M113's won't be with us forever and the LARCV has had its day too.
View attachment 48589
View attachment 48590
Source pintrest
The items require pretty much a complete rethink. Its not just a little bit heavier, they are multiple times as massive. Way more capable. Its the right choice, but it pretty much blows apart the original ARG, and the ships we have were designed around smaller vehicles like ASLAV and M113's. While the heavy deck can handle them, you then need connectors, is that deck area big enough for what you want? Can smaller ships do more of what we want? Are they the connectors?
Do JSS make sense, when you are cutting down the lift to 70% that of Choules? Does that scale? Or does it make it useless?
IMO bigger platforms are the go. 3 LHD's provides 3 full sized docks, and 3 fullsized heavy decks. If you make the landing craft bigger, it can hurt your connector delivery rate, so having another full sized dock addresses that. We need bigger landing craft from the LHD's. Is the army likely to use bigger heavier equipment in the future? We also gain superior deck space. With 3 ships deployment flexibility and resilience.
Then complement this with some sort of LST of say 4-6 ships. ~2000t.
The basic elements would be 1 LHD, 2 LST. We could scale amphibious ops down to a LST, and up to a hail mary surge everything.
But like I said, I think its a bit early to select this kind of detail yet. Army needs to know what its going to look like. Realistically we are talking only about regional amphibious capability, we won't be landing in Europe or Africa, or north Asia. While amphibious capability is important, it may be that the LHD are going to shift a bit, in that they may swing into ASW or other important roles. With a decent fleet of LST's, and 3 LHD's, you could swing them around and rotate training and operations etc. You could split elements, mix up what you want.