If there was another full scale war, with the modern weaponry out there, what is there that suggests we would have six months? By the time we mounted weapons etc to our ships, or built new ones, it could be all over.:ar15
That is what I am saying, at most you would have 6 months before the war began to make reasonable preparations, before the first shot or first open declaration.
Once the war starts, supplies will be impossible to get, because every other nation will be after them as well. On top of that, trade will start to cease and regular systems will stop or be halted or be made inefficent.
I would say currently Australia is building as many sizable hulls as she can.
19 Pacific Patrol boat replacements
12 OPV's
9 Future frigates
3 AWD's
12 new Submarines
~ 55 new "ships" as the prime minister put it. The FFG's and the Anzacs while old aren't in terrible condition so while these are replacements, the older ships still exist and could be useful. Crews from smaller ships might be able to be combined to operate these older ships if needed, and these smaller ships gifted or up armed, and crewed by magic elves. So new ships could a bit a bit in addition in a war time situation.
On top of this you have the stuff we are contracting out for, the new ice breaker, the AOR's, etc.
Hell of a peace time build program for a tiny democratic nation like Australia.
Australia spending 2% of GDP is a good target and one we can afford, that is not too aggressive. The Australian economy is growing, so defense spending can grow with it. We will never be a mighty power like the US, but we could certainly deter anyone from picking on us.
Before they pick on us directly, they would have to take out or subjugate Japan, South Korea, the US, Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines and Indonesia etc.Its possible, but its not going to be easy, even if they are lucky.
In any conflict Australia is going to be the mighty uppercut coming up from the south at anything that has reached out too far. We need a force capable of delivering that upper cut as well as general harassment and capable of projecting power to ensure security generally. The current planned ADF is capable of that. Arguably now with the AWD coming on line, subs operating at full tempo, the upper cut is going to pack some significant power.
The question is how many of those 55 ships will be in the water by the time comes. Every day we get closer to more of them.