The idea an 1800t warship is going to be “ignored” in a high intensity conflict where AShM’s are being fired is a fantasy.
Everything we put to sea will be at risk. Even if we literally hauled them out of the water and put them on hardstands they may still be attacked.
I don't imagine they are high priority. Australia is still very far from China. I think you have a point if items are located within easy firing range of the enemy. I think OPV's and coast guard type ships are likely to be targets in the South China Sea, I think Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines, certainly are going to see those ships targeted. They are likely to be in visible distance of Chinese possessions and Chinese ships, firing off something and sinking it would be absurdly easy. If the Arafura's were in that region, they too would be moving targets. They probably shouldn't go further north than Australia's EEZ. Not even to Indonesia.
TBH they would be out gunned by pirates in other waters. Around Indonesia, Malaysia, sure, probably at greater risk of being lost to pirates than the PLAN.
However, targeting something 9,000 km away, is a different matter. We are talking about China using an ICBM, to take out effectively an unarmed OPV, in Australia. That ICBM costs more than the OPV. The opportunity cost is even greater, possibly by a million.
These ships aren't really designed to accept any sort of defensive missile, and as configured, offensive one. Even the gun would be pretty marginal. There was a fair bit of criticism about them even when they were selected, as the other contenders were larger and more capable. Even lurrsen has more capable and suitable designs, a CV90 with no weapons would be easy and cost basically the same.
I always assumed that there was perhaps some interest in perhaps a pacific partner picking them up, or at least jointly deployed with them if they were ever deemed excess to requirement or if the strategic situation ever over took their original design. Even then, I think we should have built 90m ships. And in that kind of context, I think despite all the headaches, we would gladly hand them off to allies in the region, if it cemented alliances, and if it gave them useful capability, even money well spent. In that context, a helo hangar, an other such excess are not needed. Australia is likely still going to be required to fuel and maintain these ships, which even as spec, would burn holes through small nations budgets. Australia would have to assist with manning and operation.
In that context, up gunning these ships make less sense. Having them only fitted with a 25mm is probably the most suitable fitout for them. That would be enough to chase off civilian vessels. Acting on anything larger would require an alliance partner, namely Australia. I am sure that everyone would be happier with that. Even moving against larger Chinese fishing vessels and fleet would require Australia. They are more capable than the Guardian class. So for Fiji, East Timor, PNG, these ships would be massive capabilities, if home ported there. More importantly it would be a sign of the commitment with Australia. Not being full war ships with specifically low weapons fit out, would also be inline with their symbolic status. We aren't basing Destroyers out of those ports, but OPV's to help train and protect those locally and their waters. But in having a base there, with people, fuel, port facilities, if anything bigger needed to arrive in the area, it could..
Tier 2 exists, and I think has pretty much bipartisan support. I don't think its a labor thought bubble. In fact many aspects are decisively non-labor, like the overseas build portion. But Tier 2 also hasn't happened yet.