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Strategy, making a technological powerhouse out of a 2 island nation and a plane
The AN70 would require that NZ create a small boutique industry to fulfill its need. But what that really means is pulling in the specialized small business' that already exist within NZ and giving them the life blood they need to move forward and beyond the AN70.
Foundation
The most crucial factor here is that you have an excellent platform that has already been built. It is a lot easier to quantify project deliverables based off an existing platform with the goal of getting said platform into production. It is something real and tangible that can be mastered by many. You are not modifying an aircraft that is in production already, you are fine tuning a design in order to make it into production.... Big difference and a hell of a lot cheaper.
Antonov will partner with anybody to get this project going and may well sell the rights to NZDF commercial entity outright.
Market
New Zealand is the big dog in the South Pacific. Australia might have some muscle, but really, NZ has the influence. You don't think there is a market there for the taking if a platform like the AN70 turned up? There is and it isn't in military. Its in commercial. Chile and Argentina would be 2 prime candidates for their "adventourous" Antarctic basing policies. Fiji, Tonga Brunei, Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia are all countries that have expressed a need for a transport like the AN70, or (more importantly) technologies that would be created by building the AN70.
Agility
Those small companies that you developed in the program would be a well spring of aerospace technologies that could be applied to everything from aerospace to medicine, to alternative power sources. You just have to make a plan that recognizes that you can't make a squillion off just building the platform. You have to be adaptable. If you create such an agile "conglomerate" ( a Company of companies if you will), then it has every chance of success.
Its a challenge. So many people have failed in similar endeavors, but, I think that is an advantage given the current climate. Those failures turn into "lessons learned" and done right from the start, you would be onto a winner, not just for the NZFD, but for the economy and the nation as a whole.
If you need to look for lessons learned, just look West. Look at the Colins and look at Austal. If you look farther, look at Airbus and Boeing. Two companies that have put it all on the line based on one product. Lunacy. That is why you have to begin building a solid biz plan now based on the technologies that will be developed and how they can be applied to the broader spectrum of the commercial market.
For example: Avionics= medical examination equipment. The US medical industry represents 19% of 2003 USA GDP alone. Defense was, what 7%? Point being most military types think the US defense industry is huge. It isn't compared with commercial industry.
Leadership
Anyway, the major hurdle in this "Biz plan" is finding the right people and getting them to throw their hat in (like IAI and Boeing Australia... particularly Boeing Australia, those guys must be sweating bullets).
Risk
As to risk, if you want ot invest in something, there is always risk. But there is always one thing that holds true; You can't make a better investment then investing in yourself. If NZ start this thing, they must make it adaptable and not expect to make money off selling planes. Build the industry, secure the through life support, exploit the technologies.
In the long run it will make NZ stronger and the NZDF would have a logistical punch that can deliver real results in real time far and above what would normally be expected of them.
cheers
W
let me guess, this is going to make it to the beehive now?:lol3
Tempting... Sorely tempting. The time is right IMHO to commence good business practice and make a business plan for doing as I suggest. Doesn't cost the government any cash apart from man hours they would have paid for anyway. Then after reviewing the plan, they have done due diligence and can make the correct choice which is in the interests of the NZDF and New Zealand.Whiskyjack said:
The AN70 would require that NZ create a small boutique industry to fulfill its need. But what that really means is pulling in the specialized small business' that already exist within NZ and giving them the life blood they need to move forward and beyond the AN70.
Foundation
The most crucial factor here is that you have an excellent platform that has already been built. It is a lot easier to quantify project deliverables based off an existing platform with the goal of getting said platform into production. It is something real and tangible that can be mastered by many. You are not modifying an aircraft that is in production already, you are fine tuning a design in order to make it into production.... Big difference and a hell of a lot cheaper.
Antonov will partner with anybody to get this project going and may well sell the rights to NZDF commercial entity outright.
Market
New Zealand is the big dog in the South Pacific. Australia might have some muscle, but really, NZ has the influence. You don't think there is a market there for the taking if a platform like the AN70 turned up? There is and it isn't in military. Its in commercial. Chile and Argentina would be 2 prime candidates for their "adventourous" Antarctic basing policies. Fiji, Tonga Brunei, Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia are all countries that have expressed a need for a transport like the AN70, or (more importantly) technologies that would be created by building the AN70.
Agility
Those small companies that you developed in the program would be a well spring of aerospace technologies that could be applied to everything from aerospace to medicine, to alternative power sources. You just have to make a plan that recognizes that you can't make a squillion off just building the platform. You have to be adaptable. If you create such an agile "conglomerate" ( a Company of companies if you will), then it has every chance of success.
Its a challenge. So many people have failed in similar endeavors, but, I think that is an advantage given the current climate. Those failures turn into "lessons learned" and done right from the start, you would be onto a winner, not just for the NZFD, but for the economy and the nation as a whole.
If you need to look for lessons learned, just look West. Look at the Colins and look at Austal. If you look farther, look at Airbus and Boeing. Two companies that have put it all on the line based on one product. Lunacy. That is why you have to begin building a solid biz plan now based on the technologies that will be developed and how they can be applied to the broader spectrum of the commercial market.
For example: Avionics= medical examination equipment. The US medical industry represents 19% of 2003 USA GDP alone. Defense was, what 7%? Point being most military types think the US defense industry is huge. It isn't compared with commercial industry.
Leadership
Anyway, the major hurdle in this "Biz plan" is finding the right people and getting them to throw their hat in (like IAI and Boeing Australia... particularly Boeing Australia, those guys must be sweating bullets).
Risk
As to risk, if you want ot invest in something, there is always risk. But there is always one thing that holds true; You can't make a better investment then investing in yourself. If NZ start this thing, they must make it adaptable and not expect to make money off selling planes. Build the industry, secure the through life support, exploit the technologies.
In the long run it will make NZ stronger and the NZDF would have a logistical punch that can deliver real results in real time far and above what would normally be expected of them.
cheers
W
let me guess, this is going to make it to the beehive now?:lol3
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