먼저 글 다듬어서 다시 올립니다. 제 지식이 일천한 바, 제 담벼락의 글들은 일반인들이 보시는 것을 전제로 작성하오니, 정보의 양과......
bemil.chosun.com
I put the link to Bemil Chosun site on their analysis on how KFX will be use by ROKAF in the case situation getting hot with the North. I know it's not official analysis but so far Bemil Chosun is quite 'realistic' media/forum on South Korean military.
The main point of what they wrote seems related to KFX being use as support role for F-35. They are very clear on the analysis that in no way KFX even in the form of more 'stealthy' development in Batch 2 and Batch 3 will be equivalent to F-35.
What ROKAF looking is platform that are more advance then their F-4 and F-16, and still relative cheap enough to acquired and operate.
The scenario talk about first day of the war with the North, and F-15K will provide volley of long range cruise missiles from around the border (they talk on Taurus Cruise Missile), with F-35 enter deep penetration SEAD and KFX will then provide cover (I suspect on way back) for potential Air Adversaries that will follow F-35 back.
The way I see it, KFX in the Batch 1 have semi recessed AAM missiles (can be AMRAAM or Meteor), which perhaps even though they have under wing pilons, will not be used when they covering F-35 way back journey. This means KFX will still be used as secondary assets by ROKAF on their net work strike roles especially in the early days of conflicts. Even if they manage to develop batch 2 and 3 with more stealthy profile of inner bay covering those 4 missile as compared to semi recess possition in Batch 1, the scenario still the same.
Then the challenge will be for KAI to produce KFX that can provide substantial saving in cost of procurement and operating compared to F-35 and not much higher then FA-50.
This's quite a challenge considering KFX will be operational on the end of this decade as the fastest (this with the condition of the prototype will be flying in 2022/23). By that time the cost of F-35 procurement and operating predicted to reduce significant from present time, even calculating inflation factor.
For SEA nation like Indonesia, Philippines, or Thailand that being targeted as potential export market as TA/FA-50 now, then the question will be by 2030, can they have access to F-35 ? If yes, why the need of KFX considering for secondary role they can procured more numerous light fighter like FA-50. Even now KAI already developing FA-50 blk 2 with consider can be used as replacement for F-5 and early models of F-16 in ROKAF.
Looking to the comments section, there are quite a number of Korean enthusiast that ask (in my opinion) legitimate question. If the cost of F-35 will go down, is KFX still needed ?
South Korea now is one of two countries (with Turkey) outside US that have manufacturing facilities for F-16. Will then they will go with manufacturing under license F-35 ?
Off course the idea for KFX as part for domestic/indigenous fighters manufacturing, always have some merit.
It will then back to how far this KFX cost really turn out compared to F-35. KFX in my opinion will have lower cost then F-35..the question is the lower cost significant enough that provide what ROKAF aim for ?
That's the question in my opinion.