Ananda
The Bunker Group
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- #21
What we want to do is playing 'catching up'. Except Philipines, from the original Asean 5, our overall air force capabilities already slightly behind Malaysia & Thailand and definetely behind Singapore..we used to have the most capable air force in SEA in the 60's..siiighhhI think Indonesia could make do with 2 squadrons of F 16 E Block 60 aircraft for air superiority, strategic air strike, and air defense suppression defense capabilities. Couldn't they use their older F 16s (refurbished) and turboprop light attack fighters for everything else? It isn't like Indonesia has any potential regional military adversaries.
I'm not bring in Block 60..cause nobody's except UAE being offered ones, and also US already hinted possibility for getting Block 52..
However I'm trying to be realistically..like I said before under current budget constrains even with 5 years plan to 2014, in my oppinion it's unlikely we can afford to have F-16 Block 52 with Sukhois 27/30 side by side.
The current defence minister and the air force already repeated their intentions to reduce the aircraft types, but in the same time still trying to keep the numbers of squandrons intack. Thus in my oppinion it's 1 sq of turboprop COIN, 2 sq of High Performance Figthers, and 4 sq of Secondary Fighters. Plus 1 sq of LIFT, 1 sq of Trainers, and 1 sq of Basic Trainers. That's the numbers of current Fixed wing fighters..and again the secondary fighters its' unlikely to be F-16. unless the US suddenly wants to sell Block 52 half price
That's why this agreement with South Korea seems opening new possibilities on the secondary fighters type..off course it's laso related if the current administration survive the next elections
BTW the current F-16A already calculated only having just another decade max on operational lifetime
Except our A-4..but that's in Soeharto era in very hush-hush thus public only knows after he's demoted..But he's the dictactor...and he can get away with it Remember he's the only President that dare's meet and invite current Israeli PM (that time Yisthack Rabin) to Jakarta. But Rabin it's not regular Israel PM though...that's why he's being assasinated..Keep in mind that Indonesia, in the past was not adverse to buying Israeli products and services. I'm not sure about the current climate but I'm sure Ananda can provide an indicative current response.
Guys..the dispute with Singapore, In my oppinion is more on border line clarifications. Its more on economics though..with border line formarly acknowledged..it's more to signal everybody else that Singapores have limited sea line and potential land reclamation. Thus if needed nearby land, and BATAM is OPEN.. It's about the same with Singapore and Malaysia dispute..basically also to provide potential of JOHOR's as nearby facilities..Please also note that Singapore has not been traditionally seen as a threat to Indonesia and often supports Indonesia's position in ASEAN. Kindly ask Ananda for more information about current boundary disputes and other considerations, after East Timor.
At this moment we have a boundary dispute with Malaysia. On the eastern side of Kalimantan/Borneo there is an area, Ambalat Blok, rich of mineral resources, and Malaysia claims it belongs to them.
No of those three wants to make the lucrative Malaca and Singapore Straits as potential hot spot...it's just way too much to lose...
While the dispute in Ambalat related to different maps being used..the Malaysian used British map, Indonesian used Dutch map..this is the dispute that's being unresolve since colonial era..same's as border line between Singapore and Indonesia...by using different maps and claims base on what British and Ducth original claims..
It's surfacing after Soeharto's fall...because despite being a Dictactor the old general is uniformly adored by our nerby neighbours..(Mahathir and Lee Sr both adores and get along well with him)...
Heck...in many rural area in Java and outside Java (excluding Aceh, Papua and East Timor off Course)...many still look up for him..and many still did not understand why the 'smart' people in Cities wants him gone..