As history recorded, almost all contract that has been signed will be respected by Jokowi administration. We can see now how Su 35 contract is likely to be effective since the squadron that will get the fighter have already had SU 30/27 and Russian ambassador keep doing meeting with Prabowo
Since you refer to my previous post on Defence Industry Policy consistency. Let me ask you this, How a barter trade deal for SU-35 will be beneficial for our local Industry ? The trade deal will got some local Industry product, but will by pass local Defense Industry involvement. Thus what the benefits for local defense industry..which Jokowi himself stated time and time again as his administration framework on any defense procurement
Let me ask you if any previous deal with Russian (from previous MinDef) including BTR-3F that involves local Industry ?
The official framework since SBY and Jokowi's is to have Tech Transfer and Local Defense Industry involvement.
It doesn't matter from that perspective whether to get Su-35, Rafale, F-16V..but there should be local Industry involvement, which can be various scheme from license production, spare parts production, MRO capabilities, Avionics co-op, or even not really related to Flankers but involvement on other area Tech Transfer..it can be in a missile tech, etc.
However if you do it only on following the previous deal on Su-35..then what tech transfer and local Industry involvement ? They say Rosoboron will facilitate spare parts manufacturing locally..turn out it will be on separate deal/additional deal outside Su-35. When F-16 being bought in early 90's, IPTN got direct off set to build parts.
So what's important is the consistency on the framework on any procurement. I don't like Flankers not because it is not a good Fighter, but more on economics on maintenance and support compared to other aircraft that more or less provide similar capabilities.
However if it's still being choose, then this administration has make sure as their own framework dictate, the benefits for local defense Industry. If not, then what I said on several previous posts in various threads proved rights. This administration framework, plan and Implementations has no consistency.
Hope on the second term, this administration shown much more consistency on their procurement planning and Implementations. You can say previous MinDef also shown consistency, but if it's so..then why the projects being done mostly legacy from SBY projects..while many their own projects implementation got delay or booged down on procurement process ?
Blaming Ministry of Finance I have to say is wondering way of the problem. Many times Minister of Finance and their officials already talk that Defense Ministry has to improve their budget to be more in line with the expected costs. How you blame Finence Minister when Defense put the budget they are not calculating detail cost on implementation ? How many times they have to redo the budget cause there's changing cost in financing and other costs cause they change the specs ?
I can't provide all the problem, since most only got from informal conversation with my colleagues in Finance Ministry. However you can see even from media how many times the talks of Defense Ministry official that the procurement process delay in Ministry of Finance.
If previous MinDef doing the job well those kind of problem should be handle during procurement process planning and not when you already put procurement process to Ministry of Finance.
This all what about why Ministry of Finance now demand more on better planning. All this talk of multi year budget are part of that.
Again consistency on the policy framework and better planning is the one that need to be improve.