Indonesia reduces submarine requirements from 12 to 8 in revised modernisation plan | Jane's 360
Have meaning to post this few days ago..but the sites under maintenance..good upgrade on the so far though..
This decision to reduce the plan Submarine to 8, basically is more in line with realistic calculation that by 2024, additional 3 submarine (thus make it to 8 frm current 5 ) are the most they can get in that time frame.
However this is also depend on current administration (especially mindef), in changing their executional track record. As I mentioned in previous post, the current defence ministry track record on executing their own plan (called MEF 2), is questionable. Most procurement currently still based on contracts (whether frm domestic or foreign suppliers) that being executed in previous administration era (MEF 1). If they want to have those 3 additional Subs available by 2024, then they need to executed the contract by 2018..
For fair few of current admin original MEF2 contract has been executed. However based on parliement data, (come frm one of ruling parties, thus this admin allies there) it's only 30% of MEF2 contract being executed. This only related to contract execution, since the fullfilment of contract will begin to come on next administration era.
This's something that many current administration supporter in various media did not understand (or deluding them selves)..
MEF1 contract that executed frm previous admin, will come on this admin term (including payments)..Current MEF2 contract that can be executed on present term, will come to fruition by next admin term.
If current Admin did not finish the MEF2 contract by this term, and they lost the next election, then new admin will come to place which potentially means to revise MEF2 that not yet being executed, while in same time MEF3 that should come on next term can be jeopardise..
This then making mess to whole Indonesian defense planning..
But then, current admin is good in image building, and many media tycons are in current admin stance..
Thus perhaps they don't care on some failures on execution, as long as they have their image building machines work hards on every media..